Posted on 02/19/2016 7:13:54 AM PST by justlittleoleme
Iowa and New Hampshire get a lot of attention, but their records in picking presidents, let alone nominees, is spotty (as you can see from the chart above). But that doesn't mean the states don't matter. They have been effective at weeding the field of candidates, and they're about momentum for those later states.
Plus, in the last 40 years, just one person has gone on to win the presidency after losing both Iowa and New Hampshire - Bill Clinton.
-snip-
No Republican has become the nominee in the last 40 years without winning either Iowa or New Hampshire.
(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...
And No Republican has won the White House in 40 years without winning either NH or Iowa.
but let not let the inconvenient facts get in the way of the wishful thinking Meme.
Everyone grinds their preferred axe.
Tell an observer from Kazakhstan that the last two American Presidents, who held office for a total of 16 years, began by winning the Iowa caucuses, and that observer would not reasonably conclude that the Iowa caucuses are meaningless.
Other analysis has shown the highest correlation is between winning NH, being 1 or 2 in Iowa, and haveing a strong lead in national polls at this point in time.
GO TRUMP!
Well SC is definitely a bellweather state so we shall see tomorrow. :-)
And No Republican has won the White House in 40 years without winning either NH or Iowa.
but let not let the inconvenient facts get in the way of the wishful thinking Meme.
Bellweather means Democrats can choose our candidate as in John McCain.
I’m just trying to get through potential October Friday today.. 10 hrs to go...
In other news, I just got an email from John Kasich titled “surging”...
Now is not like then. IA and NH do NOT matter. Super Tuesday matters. And just because a nominee won it in the past doesn’t mean it was necessary. Sometimes the clear frontrunner just wins most everything.
IA and NH do NOT matter.
Bellweather as in indicative of winning the nomination. But nice try though. :-)
NPR = TDS
Yes we will see, I hope whatever happens in the coming months and whomever gets the nomination is the best thing for our nation. I think I know what that is, and that is Ted Cruz. You obviously differ in opinion.
Regardless, I am just praying that whatever is best for our great nation, happens.
Sounds like what a Bushie would say!
How predictive is anything? To the right under Front Page News I see, “Trump extends his lead in SC” immediately followed by “Poll: Cruz cuts into Trump SC lead.”
And a previous FRiend posted that he received an email from Kaisich leading off with “SURGING.”
Geeze Louise! This is getting tiresome.
1. Phony summonses mailed out, scaring people to vote for Cruz.
2. Claiming Carson quit, presinc captains told voters "vote for Cruz"
3. Campaigning in the 800 churches, showing video "vote for me" with his preacher/father stomping for him.
4. "Brilliant" lawyer, did not know he was Canadian citizen and that he is not Natural Born Citizen, not eligible for office of P or VP.
Just enough to beat Trump in IA, apologize, rinse and repeat?
There is nothing that would make them legitimate predictors, but that won’t stop anyone from making wild predictions based on the outcome.
I am of the opinion that Iowa and NH do NOT serve to pick the winner. Rather they serve to knock off the bottom tier of candidates.
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