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National Poll Surprise! Cruz Tops Trump
Conservative Review ^ | February 17, 2016

Posted on 02/17/2016 7:10:34 PM PST by SoConPubbie

In an NBC/WSJ poll released today, Ted Cruz leads Donald Trump by two points nationally.

Cruz has 28 percent to Trump’s 26 percent. Rubio is third with 17 percent, followed by Kasich at 11, Carson at 10, and Bush in last place at 4 percent.

“The results from the poll -- conducted after Trump's victory in New Hampshire, as well as after Saturday's GOP debate in South Carolina -- are a significant reversal from last month, when Trump held a 13-point lead over Cruz, 33 percent to 20 percent.”

Donald Trump has polled first in 31 consecutive national polls since November, when Dr. Ben Carson briefly led Mr. Trump. Cruz’s lead over Trump comes a surprise given recent polling in South Carolina. Mr. Trump currently leads Ted Cruz by double digits there, with the South Carolina primary taking place on Saturday.

Republican pollster Bill McInturff, who conducted this survey, says Trump's drop could signal being “right on top of a shift in the campaign.”

“When you see a number this different, it means you might be right on top of a shift in the campaign. What you don't know yet is if the change is going to take place or if it is a momentary 'pause' before the numbers snap back into place.”

In hypothetical one-on-one matchups, the NBC/WSJ national poll shows Trump behind both Cruz (56 percent to 40 percent) and Rubio (57 percent to 41 percent).


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 1stcanadiansenator; 1strepost; 2ndrepost; 3rdrepost; 4threpost; 5threpost; 6strepost; agendapoll; canadian; cruz; gangof14; ineligible; nbc; ntsa; phonybaloney; propagandadujour; tdscoffeclutch; tedcruz; tedspacificpartners; usualsuspect; wallstreetjournal; willthemudstick
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To: SoConPubbie

CR = instant discredit ..isn’t that Levin’s little propaganda organ ?


21 posted on 02/17/2016 7:19:18 PM PST by Neu Pragmatist (Will Cruz endorse Trump or Jeb? That is the question... Vote Trump)
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To: mac_truck

22 posted on 02/17/2016 7:19:36 PM PST by Bobalu (I'm spitting on my hands, and hoisting the black flag!)
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To: SoConPubbie
Most informative moments of the MSNBC/Trump Town-hall Meeting (2/17/2016 at 8pm)
Watching MSNBC Trump Townhall tonight | 2/17/2016 | SOL

23 posted on 02/17/2016 7:19:56 PM PST by sickoflibs (Trumpetir : 'I don't care what he says, or ever said. He is the only one I trust"')
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To: Windflier

Let them have their moment.

They get so few.


24 posted on 02/17/2016 7:20:21 PM PST by digger48
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To: SoConPubbie
The guy who did the poll talked with Chuck Todd on his afternoon show... He said he CHANGED the people he was polling by ADDING 10% who said they were "VERY CONSERVATIVE'....

In short he added Cruz voters.

It would be as if a dem added 10% MORE people under age 30... that would boost Sanders numbers.

25 posted on 02/17/2016 7:21:24 PM PST by GOPJ (Hillary has 416 'superdelegates'... Bernie has 14...Democrats don't trust the people - it's rigged.)
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To: SoConPubbie
Open borders Murdoc
26 posted on 02/17/2016 7:21:54 PM PST by Enlightened1
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To: WENDLE

The laws of our nation say otherwise until you get a court to say different.

Shouldn’t be hard to prove you’re right. Cmon


27 posted on 02/17/2016 7:22:47 PM PST by driftdiver (I could eat it raw, but why do that when I have a fire.)
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To: GilGil

HA HA


28 posted on 02/17/2016 7:23:54 PM PST by dila813
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To: SoConPubbie

29 posted on 02/17/2016 7:24:08 PM PST by The Iceman Cometh (The Democrats Must Lose In November)
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To: conejo99

That poll is a fraud poll. Cruz is NOT ahead of Trump!!!

Three Strikes – Third Time This Campaign Season NBC/WSJ Caught Promoting “Agenda Polls”…

The team of NBC and Wall Street Journal (Rupert Murdoch owned) has struck again with their latest highly coordinated and heavily manufactured latest “Agenda Poll.

Here is the full article

http://theconservativetreehouse.com/2016/02/17/three-strikes-third-time-this-campaign-season-nbcwsj-caught-promoting-agenda-polls/


30 posted on 02/17/2016 7:24:20 PM PST by sarasotarepublican (Politicians are like diapers. They both need changing regularly and for the same reason.)
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To: SoConPubbie

Nate Silver ✔ @NateSilver538
NBC/WSJ is an AWESOME pollster, but even awesome pollsters can produce outliers in small samples. Wait for more data to confirm.
2:05 PM - 17 Feb 2016


31 posted on 02/17/2016 7:24:27 PM PST by jennychase
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To: Helicondelta

HA HA


32 posted on 02/17/2016 7:24:30 PM PST by dila813
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To: SoConPubbie

Let the Cruzers crowd have this. They’ve been beat down pretty bad lately. This should give them hope to carry on.I want Cruz to stay in the race and take out Rubio.


33 posted on 02/17/2016 7:24:58 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: SoConPubbie

One poll out of many, posted dozens of times in this forum. Keep giggling ladies, you’ll be crying after Saturday night.


34 posted on 02/17/2016 7:25:07 PM PST by Dalberg-Acton
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To: Las Vegas Ron

If they can post this story 400 times, it will equal the sample size of the poll!


35 posted on 02/17/2016 7:25:18 PM PST by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: mac_truck

CHALLENGE TO YOUR EGGSHELL BRAIN


36 posted on 02/17/2016 7:25:23 PM PST by dila813
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To: Flick Lives

lol !!!


37 posted on 02/17/2016 7:26:13 PM PST by jennychase
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To: SoConPubbie

Yes, this is the moment to put on the pointed party hats and blow those streamer noisemakers.


38 posted on 02/17/2016 7:26:33 PM PST by Yaelle
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To: Dalberg-Acton

FR person Michael West is spanning FB. Today , final able to completely blocked her.


39 posted on 02/17/2016 7:28:00 PM PST by jennychase
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To: SoConPubbie

40 posted on 02/17/2016 7:28:43 PM PST by Enlightened1
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