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Cruz, Trump, Rubio? Who gets the 'Iowa bump'?
CNN ^ | January 30, 2016 | Timothy Stanley

Posted on 01/30/2016 1:27:19 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

(CNN)--Iowa is upon us. After all the ads, the debates and the insults, a campaign that feels like it started in 1776 is finally going to count some votes. For the Republicans, the choice seems to be between two rebels: Donald Trump and Ted Cruz. The polls favor the former, history looks more favorably on the latter, though Cruz is now thought to be fighting for his survival.

This has been a peculiar electoral season. Neither party is merely thinking about how to win in November -- both are debating the kind of party that they want to be.

Mobilizing the grassroots seems to matter more than reaching out to moderates. This is because both parties have been shaken up by the presence of mavericks who have forced political elites to get back in touch with their bases. Bernie Sanders has driven Hillary Clinton to the left, where she looks about as comfortable as Rick Santorum in a gay bar.....

(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Extended News; Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: canadian; cruz; ineligible; rubio; tedcruz; trump
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Editor's Note: Timothy Stanley is a historian and columnist for Britain's Daily Telegraph. He is the author of "Citizen Hollywood: How the Collaboration Between L.A. and D.C. Revolutionized American Politics." The opinions expressed in this commentary are solely those of the author.
1 posted on 01/30/2016 1:27:19 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump out polled Cruz even though Trump didn’t show up. Rubio did well though. Kudos 2 him.


2 posted on 01/30/2016 1:30:32 PM PST by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

None of them are any match for Cruz’s ground game, and his massive army of volunteers.


3 posted on 01/30/2016 1:32:59 PM PST by GodGunsGuts
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I would say: Trump; Rubio; Cruz.....


4 posted on 01/30/2016 1:33:40 PM PST by HarleyLady27 ("The Force Awakens"!!! TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP!!! 100%)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The big story is often not who wins but who “does better than expected.”


5 posted on 01/30/2016 1:34:27 PM PST by Republican Wildcat
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Probably nobody, and since most of the recent people who have gotten the “Iowa bump” have never gotten the nomination, I’m not sure it matters anyway.


6 posted on 01/30/2016 1:34:33 PM PST by livius
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To: GodGunsGuts

massive armies always do well, just ask Hitler and Napoleon.


7 posted on 01/30/2016 1:34:55 PM PST by euram
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To: Don Corleone

Ron Paul used to “out poll” a lot of people, but it didn’t translate into wins, did it?


8 posted on 01/30/2016 1:35:29 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: HarleyLady27

After the shaming letters it may well be Trump, Rubio, Carson.


9 posted on 01/30/2016 1:36:43 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: HarleyLady27
I think the most enthusiastic will vote.
10 posted on 01/30/2016 1:37:27 PM PST by TornadoAlley3 ( Proud To Be An Okie From Muskogee)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

"Iowa, bump, eeehhh? Here's yer Iowa Bump!"

11 posted on 01/30/2016 1:37:32 PM PST by Fido969 ("The hardest thing in the world to understand is income taxes" - Albert Einstein)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

I can see that happening also....

Trump called ‘Iowans’ Stupid; Cruz came out with a ‘report card’ and showed them ‘stupid’, who do you think people are going to vote for?


12 posted on 01/30/2016 1:38:06 PM PST by HarleyLady27 ("The Force Awakens"!!! TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP!!! 100%)
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To: GodGunsGuts

“None of them are any match for Cruz’s”

shaming letters. :-)


13 posted on 01/30/2016 1:38:56 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Georgia Girl 2

Good job!!!


14 posted on 01/30/2016 1:39:28 PM PST by HarleyLady27 ("The Force Awakens"!!! TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP!!! 100%)
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To: livius

Like Dubya, Obama and Carter?


15 posted on 01/30/2016 1:40:15 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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To: euram

“...just ask Hitler and Napoleon.”

Godwin’s Law at post #7. I’m sure it’s not an FR record, but it’s gotta be 95th percentile.


16 posted on 01/30/2016 1:42:34 PM PST by HoosierDammit ("When that big rock n' roll clock strikes 12, I will be buried with my Tele on!" Bruce Springsteen)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Who gets the bump.

We have to wait for media to tell us.


17 posted on 01/30/2016 1:43:21 PM PST by SaxxonWoods (Trump and/or Cruz, it's all good)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump wins and will go on to win New Hampshire and South Carolina.


18 posted on 01/30/2016 1:44:09 PM PST by Enlightened1
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Huckabee and Santorum won the last two GOP Iowa events.


19 posted on 01/30/2016 1:45:08 PM PST by livius
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To: livius

And neither one had the campaign funds to follow through on their wins. Cruz and Trump do.


20 posted on 01/30/2016 1:47:53 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ 2016)
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