good carma will follow your donation to free republic
But there is nearly unlimited spin every cycle from media, polls and politicians on the intricate mechanisms and variables. And they spin to their advantage.
Iowa boils down to what it's always been:
Weather and turnout.
Currently wind and snow predicted for Monday night, which sometimes leads to low turnout. But doesn't always lead to low turnout. It depends on the wind...yeah, that's it...or the phase of the moon or something.
Sounds to ne like the type of weekend to just tune out the news, get a movie series on dvd or a stack of books.
I wish and hope Cruz is laying down the gauntlet with the GOP elite:
Either cast your votes to my side— or Trump is the nominee.
If Rubio and Carson would join Cruz, Trump could be defeated.
The fact that the elite is saying they like Trump is an absolute strategic lie on their part.
They hope to knock Cruz out of the race at Iowa— which will not happen— and then at some point refuse to endorse trump after he takes out Cruz.
I honestly think McConnell will vote for Hillary or Bernie Sanders. I think he and many GOPE are that treacherous.
I’ve never understood how so late in the game someone wouldn’t know who they were going to vote for. Maybe I’m too organized my self to visualize operating like this. I mean it’s not like one wouldn’t have heard about the candidates by now. It’s not like walking into a local deli and making a snap decision between the daily special and the corned beef.
The voters who prefer Trump are the most “sticky” to their decision.
That’s no surprise with this bunch.
What I’d like to know is why in Hell does the entire country obsess over the votes of about 120,000 people in Iowa? OK, they are as important as any other 120,000 people (or however many actually vote on Monday), but why are THEY taken as such a bellweather? They are only about 1/1000th of the total electorate. If they were so damned prescient or influential, Rick Santorum would’ve been the nominee in 2012, not Romney.
Its just first, that’s all.
Well we all know just how critical winning Iowa is!
After all just ask Presidents Santorum and Huckabee how their wins in Iowa cemented their evetual nominations.
As far as I know, no Republican presidential primaries have been held so far. Are we all in a time warp?
Suppose you go to a caucus as a supporter of Bush, Kasich, Christie, Paul, Fiorina, or Rubio, or are truly undecided (rare).
Then a fight breaks out between 40% of the people who want Trump and 35% of the people who want Cruz.
What do you do?
How the others break is the key. Will they break towards Trump? Cruz? Stick with their loser guy?
What do y’all think?
Looks like a Rino effort to keep hopey and changey alive. : )
They’ve done it before. Ron Paul was leading by a significant margin in the runup to the caucus in 2012. Santorum won it, coming out of nowhere.