[imchris]

Trump leading Cruz by 11 points in Iowa per CNN poll today, 1/21/2016.

[Yashcheritsiy]

Okay, I’ll be fair to the Cruzers - I think this poll is an outlier, and probably not real.

[MUDDOG]

Sanders, meanwhile, has opened up an eight-point lead over Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, leading her in Iowa 51% to 43%

That's more like it.

[pgkdan]

I can’t vouch for the poll but if Cruz doesn’t win in IA he’s done. He’ll finish 4th or 5th in NH and then just sink lower. His polling strength, based on just a couple of polls, in IA is what’s kept his campaign alive so far.

[ASA Vet]

Ping

[DoughtyOne]

I tended to agree when I saw one poll say this.

This is the second, unless CNN is rehashing the same poll.

[cdnerds]

Hannity said that this was with 300k people showing up. There were only 150k last year. Though I still think Trump will win Iowa.

[euram]

I’ll wait to see what the polling looks like over the weekend, when they’ve had time to conducted a poll covering the period after the Palin endorsement.

But, if this is correct, it looks extremely good for Trump.

[DoughtyOne]

Emerson Poll: Trump Leads Cruz By 10 Points In Iowa

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3386728/posts

[dragnet2]

This one has Trump 10 points over the next guy?

WOW

[SamAdams76]

Also of some import, Bernie Sanders has opened up an 8 point lead over Shrillary. We already know she is going to get crushed in New Hampshire. So if she loses badly in Iowa before the NH primary, things on the Democrat side will get very interesting very quickly. Already, the Clintons are in desperation mode. You can see it.

I've been following elections since 1972 and this is the craziest election cycle I've seen yet.

[TTFlyer]

It’s okay. Even if Cruz loses he will have a place. I would dearly love to see Ted Cruz as a Supreme Court Justice.

[Hugin]

Doesn’t surprise me. Ted’s Canadianess problem, Palin’s endorsement and Branstad’s attack on Cruz combined to reverse any momentum Cruz had.

[LuvFreeRepublic]

Oh my goodness. Trump is way up in all polls. A beautiful thing!

[Sarah Barracuda]

Yeah I think they are much closer than this this poll doesn’t sound realistic to me.

[SteveSCH]

Emmerson College numbers back this poll up. Also this is post-debate/New York Values, and pre-Palin, Pre-Bandstad.

There is some good news for Cruz here. Among people who caucused in 2012: Cruz 30%/Trump 28%/Rubio 16%.

If Trump’s new supporters don’t show Cruz could still win a tight race.

With that said It’s been a BAD week for Ted. He needs to change the narrative FAST, and after reading about Jeff Roe I assume he’s going to start throwing some DIRTY bombs Trump’s way.

[TBBT]

“The sampling is key for both leaders: Only including voters who previously caucused in their party’s most recent competitive caucus, Cruz is neck-and-neck with Trump, with 30% for Cruz to 28% for Trump. Rubio is steady at 16% in that sample.”

“CNN/ORC surveyed 2,002 Iowa adults by telephone Jan. 15 to Jan. 20, including 266 likely Republican presidential caucus-goers and 280 likely Democratic presidential caucus-goers. Both party samples have a margin of error of plus or minus six percentage points.”

Outlier?

Poll designed to create an outcome/narrative vs. reporting on one?

[dragnet2]

Emerson poll just said about the same, Trump 10 points over 2nd place.

If this is even close, Trump will takes Iowa.

Trump rally on the USS IOWA.

[LS]

Doh, you literally posted this while I was posting mine, cause I searched first.

[TexasCajun]

(Rush)

[Raycpa]

Fat lady clearing throat.