Posted on 01/12/2016 10:53:12 AM PST by Red Steel
Public Policy Polling Iowa GOP results
Trump 28%
Cruz 26%
Rubio 13%
Carson 8%
Bush 6%
Paul 3%
Christie 3%
Huckabee 3%
Santorum 2%
...
January 8-10, 2016
Survey of 530 likely Republican caucus voters
Debates won’t do much, at this point. This pretty much has been a Trump/Cruz race for the better part of a month. If Cruz doesn’t have Huckabee’s and Santorum’s supporters by now,it’s not guaranteed they immediately go to him, in my opinion. If it looks like Trump is going to run the table, they may very well just go to him, so I’m not sure about that 10%...could be a split or some other #.
It does seem like Cruz’s run has depended totally on other candidates fouling-up.
If Carson had not seen Egypt as the land of giant grain silos, Cruz would still be in 3rd or 4th place in Iowa.
Latest Reuters National poll....
Trump maintains hefty lead over GOP field
Trump 39%
Cruz 14.5%
Nonsense.
http://nation.foxnews.com/2016/01/11/new-polls-trump-leads-nh-neck-and-neck-cruz-iowa
Fox News: Cruz 27, Trump 23, Rubio 15, Carson 9 (with all others in the mid-to-low single digits).
NBC/Marist: Cruz 28, Trump 24, Rubio 13, Carson 11 (all others at five percent or below).
Quinnipiac: Trump 31, Cruz 29, Rubio 15, Carson 7 (all others at or below five percent).
‘Conservative: Carson’
Haha.
Hahaha.
HaHaHaHa.
HaHaHaHaHa!
So “Surging Ted”’s best showing in last four polls is a tie. He’s down by 2 by 2 and by 4.
You forgot something again heh.
ARG poll Trump 29% Cruz 25%
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3382351/posts
And and CW lookee here. Hot off the presses!
“Poll: Trump Leads In Florida, Virginia, Michigan”
http://dailycaller.com/2016/01/11/poll-trump-leads-in-florida-virginia-michigan/
Exactly what I expected. PPP is the middle, so it confirms the Trump trend. I look for 3-4 point Trump margin of victory when it’s all done.
Er, no. Three of four latest have Trump leading with one tie. No recent poll has Cruz up.
Actually going back to DMR poll, Trump has gained about 7 and Criz has lost 7.
It looks like a real horse race.
http://overtimepolitics.com/trump-holds-a-9-point-lead-in-virginia-over-ted-cruz-28-19/
http://overtimepolitics.com/trump-holds-15-point-lead-in-michigan-over-rubio-33-18/
:-))
Cherry pickin again. The FOUR latest are 3 Trump leads and a tie.
You can give up on your four-way breakdown now. It ain’t unfolding that way. Cruz won’t get IA back.
Cruz has a problem. A snippet from a Business Insider article about the latest Iowa poll.
- - - - -
“The new survey found that only 46% of likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers realize that Cruz was born outside the US. (More Iowa Republicans believe Cruz was born in the US than President Barack Obama.)
But just 32% of GOP caucus-goers said that someone born outside the US should be allowed to serve as president, while 47% think such a person should not be able to serve as president.” -end snip-
http://uk.businessinsider.com/donald-trump-ted-cruz-canadian-birther-iowa-poll-2016-1?r=US&IR=T
Well, I think I said two weeks ago that I didn’t know Trump’s reason for these comments but that he doesn’t do anything without a purpose. He apparently had some intel on this.
-— You can give up on your four-way breakdown now. It ain’t unfolding that way. Cruz won’t get IA back. -—
Not sure what you’re point is. Other people probably understand.
That seems about in line with what I’d expect, though I’d look for a larger margin if Trump can turn out a lot of newbies. I can’t help but think that Trump has an ace up his sleeve to make that happen.
The poll also confirms my suspicion that the NBC issue hasn’t yet filtered out to all of the voters. I believe it will be a bigger issue than Cruzers and talk radio think.
Trump is up, right now, in S.C.!
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