It's TRUMPNADO!!!!
Iowans suddenly feel the urge to surge!
Posted on 01/11/2016 3:41:25 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
These strike me as the most plausible optimistic and pessimistic scenarios for the top three candidates:
Ted Cruz Upside Scenario: A Commanding Position by February 20
Cruz wins Iowa going away. This isn't hard to imagine; in fact, I'd guess today that he wins by 8-10 points there. With some momentum into New Hampshire, Cruz finishes second there, behind Trump. For good measure, Rubio is beaten by, say, Chris Christie, and finishes fourth. The "establishment lane" fails to produce a strong, viable contender and Cruz goes mano a mano with Trump in South Carolina and gets enough mainstream Republican support to beat him and establish a dominant position for the nomination.
Ted Cruz Downside Scenario: Trumped!
In what would play as an upset, Trump beats Cruz in Iowa. Cruz has no momentum in New Hampshire and finishes fourth or fifth there. He goes into South Carolina trying to stop Trump, who has probably gone two for two in Iowa and New Hampshire. Even worse would be if Rubio finished strongly in both Iowa and New Hampshire and is competing with Cruz for very-conservative and somewhat-conservative voters. Cruz loses South Carolina and begins to look like a Trump spoiler going into the rest of the South....
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
Scenario #3.
It is insane to think that even a Cruz victory in IA will change his position in NH.
I didn’t read the whole article. What happens if Trump runs the table? By the time Super Tuesday comes around, are the 4th and lower tier candidates staying in so they can remain on Trump’s radar for a VP nod? Since money is no longer an issue, who stays in?
There are 48 other states.
Paul LePage would be an interesting choice.
Iowa-—Trump-Cruz coin flip.
The rest, Trump sweeps.
I suspect a certain percentage of NH just don’t want to rubber stamp IA, regardless of what IA does.
The most likely scenario..and trump may eek out a victory in Iowa based on today's 2 new polls.
LOL!
There are NO MODERATE VOTERS in any of his scenarios.
Come on now, that’s funny: both ‘ha ha’ and ‘strange’ funny.
The pundits should all check themselves into nuthouses.
That’s what I think too and this race this race is unstoppable,if you happen to be Donald Trump. Little time left. . .
Scenario 8: Yeb Downside Scenario - same as the upside scenario.
Trump wins in Iowa and runs the table.
It’s NR, so they’re going to pimp every scenario out there except the likely one: Trumps runs the table and the nomination is fait accompli by the end of March. Note the suden movement in the polls favoring Trump. The left media doesn’t want to look loke complete fools, so they’ll report a sudden surge....that was there all along.
Paul Le Page would be a good choice. I favor Dave Brat: rock solid conservative credentials, he’s in an arch conservative district so the seat will go to another conservative. And with eddie munster running the house, Dave Brat won’t be missing much. Plus DT and Dave seem to get along.
Paul LePage? Try Sec. of the Interior..lol.
Naaah. Secretary of State. Or HHS.
From the article:
Trump Upside Scenario: Bring Your Broom, Because This Thing Is a Sweep
Trump wins Iowa. Maybe it’s a surge of new voters. Maybe he’s gotten more serious about attacking Cruz and it has worked. Maybe he pulls something like his Muslim-travel-ban proposal in the last few days and it pushes the race his way. Validated by his win and with momentum, Trump posts a crushing win in New Hampshire, with more mainstream Republicans still fractured four ways. Better, John Kasich finishes a distant second there. The establishment is panicked but with Cruz weakened and no other viable candidate emerging and the even more massive media coverage from his victories, Trump wins South Carolina. He has now shifted to a more serious, unifying tone, befitting his dominant position in the nomination battle.
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