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Still don’t think Donald Trump can win? This chart should convince you
The Washington Post ^ | 1/9/2016 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 01/09/2016 5:24:06 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel

When people find out I am a political reporter, they usually have only one question for me: "Donald Trump can't really win this thing, can he?" My answer is always the same these days: Absolutely he can.

The reason is simple: Trump is the national front-runner, yes, but he is also ahead in a two key early states -- New Hampshire and South Carolina -- and a strong second in Iowa, the state that kicks the whole presidential process off on Feb. 1.

Could he totally collapse from that position? Sure. As we know from recent history, voters in Iowa and New Hampshire don't start paying all that close attention to the race until about 30 days or so out from the actual vote -- meaning that polling on what the race looks like tends to be an inexact science.

But the fact that Trump is ahead nationally and that he is running first or second in Iowa and New Hampshire is meaningful, argues Sam Wang over at the Princeton Election Consortium.

Wang's argument is that based on recent electoral history and where Trump stands in polling today, the real estate billionaire actually has a very good chance at being the Republican nominee. Look at where the past nominees in each party were at this time in national, Iowa and New Hampshire polling:

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa; US: New Hampshire; US: New York; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bfac; democrat; election2016; gopprimaries; iowa; newhampshire; newyork; nomination; southcarolina; trump; trump2016; win
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Yes!!! Go Trump!!!
1 posted on 01/09/2016 5:24:06 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

All of Trumps rallies are overflowing, nobody else comes even close to the amount of people who come for miles in inclement weather to see Trump.


2 posted on 01/09/2016 5:27:46 PM PST by Daniel Ramsey (Trump to win! He wins, we win, the nation wins!)
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To: Daniel Ramsey

Yep!


3 posted on 01/09/2016 5:29:06 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel (I love JESUS CHRIST because He first loved me! Thank You, JESUS! (1 John 4:19))
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

Just what we need a totalitarian.


4 posted on 01/09/2016 5:30:06 PM PST by Ajnin (Wolves don't lose sleep over the opinion of sheep.)
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain
Trump is Brilliant and he's going to WIN! GO TRUMP GO!
He rightfully pounces on the republicans weakness with a majority against this king/president and his wicked pen of exec. orders.
5 posted on 01/09/2016 5:30:28 PM PST by djstex (Trump Towers Above them ALL!)
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To: Ajnin

Go Trump!!


6 posted on 01/09/2016 5:31:56 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel (I love JESUS CHRIST because He first loved me! Thank You, JESUS! (1 John 4:19))
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To: Daniel Ramsey

Exactly


7 posted on 01/09/2016 5:33:23 PM PST by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

Obama will attempt to bring in millions of non-Trump voters before election day.

Tens of millions, if he can.


8 posted on 01/09/2016 5:33:30 PM PST by Steely Tom (Vote GOP: A Slower Handbasket)
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

If Barack Hussein Obama can be elected President and a rapist like Bill Clinton can be elected President, it is obvious that almost anyone can be elected President.


9 posted on 01/09/2016 5:34:23 PM PST by iowamark (I must study politics and war that my sons may have liberty to study mathematics and philosophy)
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To: Ajnin

Totalitarian,,,,

HECK YES!

TOTALLY AWSOME!


10 posted on 01/09/2016 5:34:26 PM PST by Big Red Badger (UNSCANABLE in an IDIOCRACY!)
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To: Ajnin

Just what we need a totalitarian.

**************

Well there are two other branches of gov’t that have a little say in all this.
It takes budgets to do some things, laws have to honored and Congress does have a
lot of input be it good or bad.


11 posted on 01/09/2016 5:35:25 PM PST by deport
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

Think? He’s the overwhelming favorite. Several slow on the uptake in the media as dunderheads maybe not.


12 posted on 01/09/2016 5:35:48 PM PST by Red Steel (Ted Cruz: 'I'm a Big Fan of Donald Trump')
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To: Daniel Ramsey

Meanwhile at the Pizza Ranch, Ted Cruz was telling the packed restaurant he’d like to spank Hillary....../s


13 posted on 01/09/2016 5:37:42 PM PST by ripnbang ("An armed man is a citizen, an unarmed man a subject")
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To: deport

Yeah that whole other branches of government thing has worked so well with the current dictator..lol


14 posted on 01/09/2016 5:37:52 PM PST by Ajnin (Wolves don't lose sleep over the opinion of sheep.)
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To: Ajnin

GO TRUMP!!!


15 posted on 01/09/2016 5:39:52 PM PST by BullDog108 (A Smith & Wesson beats four aces!)
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To: Ajnin; All
Here, this graphic is for you (and any other Trump haters who wander in here ... )

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
16 posted on 01/09/2016 5:40:53 PM PST by mkjessup (JimRob: "It's Trump or Cruz, all the others are amnesty pimps" And the man is RIGHT!)
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To: Ajnin
Just what we need a totalitarian.

How do you figure? He's a populist champion of the fight against liberal ideology based totalitarianism, which is at a crescendo in the news, and in our daily lives.

17 posted on 01/09/2016 5:42:28 PM PST by dr_lew
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To: deport

Oh give me a break that is sarcasm surely
Love ya


18 posted on 01/09/2016 5:48:09 PM PST by mel (There are only 2 races decent and undecent people)
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To: BlackFemaleArmyCaptain

And Trump has been leading since July never losing pole position even once. And leading big.


19 posted on 01/09/2016 5:49:08 PM PST by Georgia Girl 2 (The only purpose of a pistol is to fight your way back to the rifle you should never have dropped)
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To: Ajnin

“Just what we need a totalitarian”
Unfortunately that is probably true. We have tried to change things by installing a GOP congress only to find that it is owned and operated by the same people that run the Democrats. After what happened in Mississippi and last months spending bill makes this quit obvious.


20 posted on 01/09/2016 5:50:59 PM PST by MCF (If my home can't be my Castle, then it will be my Alamo.)
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