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Will ‘Electability’ Sink Trump?
Roll Call ^ | Jan. 3, 2016 | Stuart Rothenberg

Posted on 01/03/2016 8:53:05 PM PST by justlittleoleme

Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her.

That raises an obvious question: Could doubts about Trump's strength in a general election derail his bid for the Republican nomination, or would GOP caucus attendees and primary voters simply ignore poll numbers that suggest Trump would be a risky bet in November?

SNIP

But Quinnipiac University's Dec. 16-20 survey showed Trump's image with all registered voters at 33 percent favorable/59 percent unfavorable - dismal numbers, and the highest unfavorable rating of any GOP hopeful.

Trump trailed Clinton by 11 points, 49 percent to 38 percent, in the mid-December Fox News ballot test, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 45 percent and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio held a 45 percent to 43 percent lead over Clinton. The Quinnipiac poll found Trump trailing Clinton 47 percent to 40 percent, while Cruz and Clinton were tied at 44 percent and Rubio trailed Clinton by a single point, 44 percent to 43 percent.

But not every survey showed Trump trailing Clinton so dramatically in hypothetical match ups. For example, a Dec. 17-21 CNN/ORC survey showed the two candidates separated by only two points (Clinton 49 percent, Trump 47 percent). Of course, Cruz held a 2-point lead over Clinton and Rubio a 3-point lead in that survey, seemingly confirming that Trump is a weaker nominee against Clinton than at least two other Republican hopefuls.

But even if additional surveys between now and the Iowa caucuses show Trump's relative weakness in the general election, it is not yet clear that GOP voters - and Trump voters - will care. Opinion about the importance of "electability" as an issue for voters has been divided over the years.

(Excerpt) Read more at 3.blogs.rollcall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: cruzisright; election; elections; ezsleazylawyerted; immigration; nocharismated; stalewhitebreadted; trump; trumpaintright; trumpwasright; trusted
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To: cpdiii

How do you know TRUMP is not a constitutionalist?

Mostly he is a citizen, not a PAC mule pol.


61 posted on 01/03/2016 10:06:52 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: dp0622

Simple. This is the TRUMP media assault the GOPE promised, trying to split the conservatives off from TRUMP.

They can float Cruz filled with air to get that done, and then let his air out, run their establishment picks through the gap.

Except TRUMP supporters won’t split off to Cruz in a primary.

That’s killing the Establishment “splitter strategy”, because, we aren’t going any place.


62 posted on 01/03/2016 10:12:02 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: editor-surveyor

The base? Who is the base? TRUMP is smoking the field.

Cruz is polling in IOWA and then he’s done.


63 posted on 01/03/2016 10:13:37 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: justlittleoleme

One has to go out of one’s way to find negative poll numbers for Trump. Polls now are unreliable anyway. They will be more accurate when it gets close to the election(s) and they poll likely voters.


64 posted on 01/03/2016 10:15:10 PM PST by be-baw (still seeking)
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To: Theo; All

The more Trump is allowed to speak directly to voters the more they connect with him.

More of the public (morons) get their ‘news’ from Facebook if at all or through the biased MSM.

Hillary’s support is very weak. The more you see of her, the more she lies and the more you hate her.

Don’t be fooled.

Trump can beat her easily.


65 posted on 01/03/2016 10:19:06 PM PST by TigerClaws
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To: hoosiermama

“T” for Tsunami!

I am with YOU, girl.


66 posted on 01/03/2016 10:20:11 PM PST by RitaOK ( VIVA CRISTO REY / Public education is the farm team for more Marxists coming)
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To: hoosiermama

If you look at the crowd factor, Hitlery does NOT have enthusiastic support.

How could The Donald be considered the losing candidate between the two of them? The crowds of supporters are unreal.


67 posted on 01/03/2016 10:27:33 PM PST by JudyinCanada
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To: justlittleoleme

No more crap about who is “electable”. . .I don’t give a crap what Karl Rove thinks about who is electable. . .because these pundits don’t know didily. . .I vote for who I want because it’s RIGHT. . .not based on prediction of results!!! If Trump isn’t electable, than America isn’t savable.


68 posted on 01/03/2016 10:29:11 PM PST by McBuff
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To: justlittleoleme

Either Trump or Cruz is very electable against Shrillary, IMHO. And that will become increasingly clear as the year unfolds and Shrillary will no longer be able to get away with her “hidin’ from the folks” routine.


69 posted on 01/03/2016 10:32:31 PM PST by House Atreides (Cruzin' and Trumpin' or losin'!)
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To: RitaOK

Ahh yes, electaaaaaaabity!!! The siren call of the GOPe calling our ship toward the rocks of their chosen candidate who also happens to be the MSM’s handpicked loser. As always the siren sings the song of the poll that that shapes opinion rather than reflects it. Trump can’t beat Hillary!! Of course not because, by Jove, the MSM has been telling us Hillary is inevitable since day one. Why would they change their tune now?

I am sick of this dance. I since fear in the GOPe and in the Clinton camp.


70 posted on 01/03/2016 10:36:31 PM PST by FlipWilson
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To: FlipWilson

sense fear, that is.


71 posted on 01/03/2016 10:37:44 PM PST by FlipWilson
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To: DannyTN
The same polls by which you Trumpbots swear, say the exact opposite of what you are claiming. Ted Cruz does consistently better against Hilary Clinton in general election matchups than Trump does. It's time you Trumpbots stopped posting garbage about Cruz not being electable, when it's Trump that is not electable.
72 posted on 01/03/2016 10:39:09 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: jennychase
Cruz is doing better than Trump is in general election matchups. In fact Cruz is doing even better than Reagan was this time in 1980.
73 posted on 01/03/2016 10:41:54 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: freedomjusticeruleoflaw
Trump has a much better chance of winning.

Nonsense

It’s not stupid to notice charisma

Trump has the charisma of hungry crocodile.

74 posted on 01/03/2016 10:44:47 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: SmokingJoe

Oh please!!! And no sooner than if Ted were to take over as the front runner the MSM and fav publications where the GOPe goes to leak would be publishing the SAME crap about Ted being “unelectable.” I am sick of this tripe being used against any candidate not a GOPe handpicked choice (cough JEB!) to try to short circuit the democratic primary process.

Both Trump and Cruz are imminently electable because they have the spirit and courage for the fight ahead. In contrast, Christie and Jeb! and likely Rubio will run a knee pad campaign apologizing for existing in a way that doesn’t meet with the media’s approval. “We are sorry we are suck arse scum, please like us cause we said we are sorry!! Oh and vote for us!! We promise safe zones for all and not to take your free stuff away.”


75 posted on 01/03/2016 10:50:55 PM PST by FlipWilson
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To: SmokingJoe

If these “electable” candidates can’t beat Trump among Republicans, why would one think they would do better than Trump in the general election.

This makes absolutely no sense.


76 posted on 01/03/2016 10:56:50 PM PST by Menthops (If you are reading this..... the GOPe hates you!)
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To: justlittleoleme

Can we have a freaking campaign before a winner is declared?

Campaigns help people decide.

This poll is an attempt to pick the nominee.


77 posted on 01/03/2016 11:04:11 PM PST by joshua c (Please dont feed the liberals)
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To: FlipWilson
The MSM have been attacking Ted Cruz from long before Trump joined the GOP primary campaign. The New York Times even refused to include Ted Cruz's book in their best seller list even though Nielsen Bookscan and every other tracker put him n their top 10.
The very day Ted Cruz declared, there was a nasty hit piece on him in the New York Times.
So don't tell me the MSM is inflating Ted Cruz's poll numbers. You seem to forget Cruz as At RCP 6.6% as recently as October ending as compared. to nearly 20% RCP average today.
If the polls say Cruz is doing better against Hilary than Trump, Cruz IS doing better against Hilary than Trump.
78 posted on 01/03/2016 11:06:29 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: Menthops
If these “electable” candidates can’t beat Trump among Republicans, why would one think they would do better than Trump in the general election.

GOP primary voters = conservatives, evangelicals, etc
General election voters = independents, Democrats, left wingers, etc as well as conservatives etc

It's a different electorate.

79 posted on 01/03/2016 11:10:47 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: justlittleoleme
Most national polls show Republican frontrunner Donald Trump trailing likely Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton and faring worse than other GOP hopefuls against her.

TOTAL BULL!

80 posted on 01/03/2016 11:13:46 PM PST by uncitizen (False flag mass shootings are Americas Reichstag Fire)
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