Posted on 11/22/2015 8:25:13 AM PST by RoosterRedux
New polls released Sunday show Donald Trump leading the Republican presidential pack, with significant leads over fellow first-time candidate Ben Carson in the immediate wake of the terror attacks in Paris.
Among Democrats, majorities continue to favor former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.
A new Fox News poll shows Trump with a 10-point lead among self-identified registered Republicans over Carson, 28 percent to 18 percent. Trump is up 2 points from the previous poll, conducted two weeks earlier, while Carson ticked down 5 points. It's the first time since mid-October that Carson failed to reach the 20-percent mark in a national, live-caller survey.
A second poll conducted over the same time period, Nov. 16-19, shows Carson over 20 percent. The new ABC News/Washington Post survey has Carson at 23 percent, 9 points behind Trump, who is at 32 percent. Both are unchanged from the previous ABC News/Washington Post poll, conducted in mid-October.
Beyond Trump and Carson, both polls show Sens. Marco Rubio (Fla.) and Ted Cruz (Texas) following in third and fourth place. In the Fox News poll, Rubio and Cruz are right on Carson's heels, at 14 percent each. But in the ABC News/Washington Post poll, the senators lag behind, with Rubio at 11 percent and Cruz at 8 percent.
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush--5 percent in the Fox News poll, and 6 percent in the ABC News/Washington Post poll--is in fifth place in both surveys.
Ping
He da man. Go Trump!
The explanation, by the way, is that the Fox Poll is likely voters, but the ABC poll is registered voters. Sloppy of them not to explain this.
There have been 3 polls with likely voter screens released in the past 10 days and they're quite consistent:
Trump Carson Rubio Cruz
Fox (11/16-19) 28 18 14 14
PPP (11/16-17) 26 19 13 14
Rasmussen (11/11-12) 27 20 16 13
At this pont, numbers for all registered voters are increasingly pointless. The picture is pretty clear...it's gonna be one of these 4 dudes. And probably not Carson (I continue to believe).
Hank
I think you are spot on the nominee will be Trump, Cruz or Rubio. I will be working hard to make sure its not Rubio. I like Trump but I would be ecstatic with Cruz.
Our challenge here at FR is for us Trump supporters and Cruz supporters to treat each other with respect. We just have to get it right this time. Both of these candidates are out there trying to save America from the Barbarians at the gate.
Woo hoo!!! A 10 pt lead, over the next candidate!!
Was watching Trump on the Lying Steffy Show on ABC, this morning...just before Trump was on, Steffy had Jonathan Karl come on, with this latest poll. Karl was actually seemed excited to present this latest poll. I think he's getting aboard the Trump Train...claimed that ABC was the first to call Trump the frontrunner, and has done so, consistently.
Missed the ABC program. Is it in video yet?
WOOHOO TRUMP!!!
I love it when a plan comes together......
Me too!...Go Trump!
I take your point. We DO need to keep our eye on the fact that any of these are infinitely preferable to the alternative.
And I have been guilty - primarily because I see Cruz as a rare true conservative of the type I would have thought folks here have been longing forever.
But given Trump’s numerous apostasies, I have to tell you it’s very frustrating to hear from some of his supporters that Cruz is a problem because of ONE apostasy (H1B visas) and the fact that some don’t like his wife’s employer(!)
Hank
That'll be like trying to get the Protestant freepers and the Catholic freepers to get along; but hey, I'll play!
Seriously, it's a worthy goal. We should resist trashing any of the other Republican candidates, as well, per Ronaldus' formula. Question the implications of their policy proposals and history, but skip the ad hominems and let them rise or sink on their merits.
SC is thus far being inconsistent again and not rallying to its Loveable Lindsey.
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