Posted on 11/10/2015 7:59:57 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Put aside all the daily campaign controversies, and the 2016 election will hinge on one thing: Will the coalition of voters who twice showed up in large numbers to elect President Obama turn out to vote for Hillary Clinton, the assumed Democratic nominee?
Horse race polls, favorability ratings, those will all fluctuate many times between now and next November. But if Clinton can't find a way to engage unmarried women, millennials and minority groups — it's going to be over for her.
That's why this Democratic poll released on Monday, taken by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research on behalf of several liberal groups, should be seen as so troubling for Democrats.
Though, on the surface, it points to a real opportunity for Democrats to retake control of the Senate, beneath the surface it shows a lack of interest among millennials, unmarried women and minorities relative to the interest being shown from more traditional Republican voting blocs.
Specifically, 71 percent of seniors said they were "extremely interested" in the presidential election; 70 percent of conservatives and 70 percent of Republicans said the same. In contrast, just 65 percent of Democrats, 63 percent of minorities, 60 percent of unmarried women and 42 percent of millenials said they were "extremely interested."
Liberal Greg Sargent of the Washington Post notes that, "The basic problem outlined by Greenberg (and noted by other Dem pollsters) is that, even if Democratic economic policies are broadly popular, this isn't enough on its own, because many Americans don't believe government can or will actually deliver on those policies."
This is a key point, and the challenge for Clinton is two-fold. First, she isn't as inspiring of a figure as Obama.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
The real action is the Republican Presidential nomination.
Our guy is highly likely to win, no matter who it is.
So let’s get the most conservative guy possible:
CRUZ.
Hillary’s next stroke will settle the issue.And she WILL have another one,she’s following her father’s pattern.
I’ve said for some tie that she doen’t have the stamina to last through a campaign.
Yesterday Trump said she is running in order to stay out of jail.
I'm the same way.
I said it before, I hope the Dems stay home in November 2016. It will be a “blah” kind of day for them.
I like Cruz and he’s my man.
Two issues of concern:
1) The average RCP poll of one on one matchups against Hillary does not show him doing well ( Dr. Carson does the best ).
SEE HERE:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html
2) Establishment Republicans hate his guts. They are unlikely to support him.
“...see any cars with a single sticker for any other candidate.”
It’s a safe bet your car won’t be destroyed!
Yes. That. Most of the Bernie stickers are on cars I'd expect to see them on. Subarus and Priuses (Priui?). The one that surprised me was on a new Camaro. The very thing that a Bernie administration would send to the dustbin of history. A car that symbolizes American muscle, ingenuity, drive, and desire for performance. Morons.
“..the challenge for Clinton is two-fold. First, she isn’t as inspiring of a figure as Obama.”
The black vote really came out for Obama. But I see a lot of blacks that plan on voting for Trump. So Clinton cannot count on that segment.
IMHO establishment Republicans are going to face a Moment of Awful Truth in which they are going to be forced to decide whether to back Cruz or acquiesce to Trump.
And I will thoroughly enjoy watching their nausea and profuse sweating.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.