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Third Term
Townhall.com ^ | November 5, 2015 | Rich Galen

Posted on 11/05/2015 8:46:18 AM PST by Kaslin

I spent the weekend on T. Boone Pickens' ranch, Mesa Vista, with about two dozen really smart people talking about energy and transportation.

As those of you who have ever sat in a meeting - or even had lunch - with me know, I have the attention span of a five-year-old, but I was mesmerized at the breadth and depth of thinking about how we will get from point A to point B in the near future.

My job was to lead a discussion about the political situation. No engineering, geology, or business degree necessary. Degree in speech a definite plus, though.

Let's start with this: A few weeks ago President Barack Obama said that if he were permitted to run again, he thought he could win a third term.

Let's run the numbers.

There are about 7,383 state legislators in the U.S. Prior to yesterday's elections, about 3,245 were held by Democrats; about 4,138 held by Republicans. (About 56% - 44%)

That's a difference of 887 in favor of the GOP. According to the website PunditFact.com (based on data from the National Council of State Legislators) the GOP has won 913 seats since Barack Obama took office as President.

After two Presidential elections and two Mid-terms, the GOP has 33 Governor's seats to the Dems' 17. (This includes the GOP pickup in Kentucky yesterday.

But wait! There's more! Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia and his team have calculated that in addition to those 913 legislative seats:

"Democrats, during Obama's presidency, have lost 11 governorships, 13 U.S. Senate seats, 69 House seats, and 30 state legislative chambers."

Oh. We're not done yet.

According to RealClearPolitics.com the GOP controls 69 out of 98 partisan state legislative chambers and holds a political trifecta (the Governor, control of the State House and Senate) in 22 states. Democrats have the trifecta in just seven states.

Is it any wonder that much of the lobbying has shifted from K Street to Main Street?

Since Senator Obama Became President Obama Republicans regained control of the House (in 2010 on the anti-Obamacare wave) and the U.S. Senate (in 2014 on the anti-Obama wave).

Because of gerrymandering (see control of state legislatures, above) it is unlikely Democrats will regain control of the House any time in the near future. Republicans hold a massive 247-188 advantage and that is unlikely to change much in either direction.

The Senate - as you know a third of the U.S. Senate is up for election every two years - has 34 seats up this year. Republicans are defending 24, Democrats only 10. Under normal circumstances that would mean the Democrats were in excellent shape to regain control of the Upper Chamber, but not this year.

Larry Sabato of the University of Virginia's map show Democrats with no elections, "Safe," "Likely," or "Leaning" seats at 47. Republicans have 50. Three are toss-ups: Nevada (Harry Reid's Democratic open seat), New Hampshire (Kelly Ayotte's GOP seat) and Florida (Marco Rubio's open Republican seat).

Keeping in mind we have a year to go, if those figures hold the Democrats have to hold all of their seats and go three-for-three in the toss-ups PLUS win the White House, so the VP can cast the deciding vote as to which party organizes the Chamber.

That is far from an impossible result, but it is a long way from what we had been hearing after the mid-terms last year - that the Ds would get the Senate back with ease in 2016.

When I got to the Presidential portion of my presentation over the weekend, I said I could answer the question of who would be the GOP nominee in two words:

"Who knows?"

If I had to bet a quarter today - and get odds - I would say that the Republican nominee will be either Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, or John Kasich. I want better odds on the Kasich bet.

In the latest Quinnipiac poll, Rubio and Cruz are essentially tied at 14 and 13 percent respectively. Donald Trump and Ben Carson are tied at 24 and 23 but I still don't believe they will be there when the heavy voting starts.

So, the Congress, the Governors, and the State Legislators have all become bastions of GOP power since the election of Barack Obama seven years ago.

If he wants to run for a third term, I say let's amend the Constitution and let him do it.

Barack Obama may be the best friend the GOP has ever had.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: barack0bama; election2016; stategovernment; statelegisatures
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1 posted on 11/05/2015 8:46:18 AM PST by Kaslin
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To: All

[If he wants to run for a third term, I say let’s amend the Constitution and let him do it.

Barack Obama may be the best friend the GOP has ever had.]

There will be nothing left of the country that is unsullied if such an idiotic thing ever happened. Besides, the GOPe is a DNC branch office.


2 posted on 11/05/2015 8:48:31 AM PST by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: SaveFerris
If he wants to run for a third term, I say let’s amend the Constitution and let him do it.

Never. All of this does not take into account the depths of DemocRat driven voter fraud.

Send this jerk packing so we never have to see or hear from his lying arse again.

3 posted on 11/05/2015 8:55:34 AM PST by Bloody Sam Roberts (Democracy is not freedom. Democracy is simply majoritarianism. It is incompatible with real freedom.)
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To: Kaslin

“If I had to bet a quarter today - and get odds - I would say that the Republican nominee will be either Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, or John Kasich. I want better odds on the Kasich bet.”

Rich Galen is a GoPee syncophant!


4 posted on 11/05/2015 8:56:38 AM PST by vette6387
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To: Kaslin
The only TERM OBozzer deserves is a Natural Life Term +1 Week in Solidarity in Leavenworth Military Prison.
5 posted on 11/05/2015 8:56:46 AM PST by SandRat (Duty - Honor - Country! What else needs said?)
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To: SaveFerris

The negro community organizer from Chicago may decide to simply stay on in office perpetually. Who would stop him? The Republican House & Senate-HaH, HaH, HaH! The degenerate American electorate, they would applaud! The military? They are all his babies.


6 posted on 11/05/2015 8:58:13 AM PST by AEMILIUS PAULUS
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To: Kaslin

Yet despite massive GOP success at the ballot box over the last six years, the GOPe have done nothing to stop to Obama express.


7 posted on 11/05/2015 9:00:19 AM PST by Labyrinthos
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To: Kaslin

What good does it do to have all those Pubs in charge, when all they are going to do is empower the half breed to do more bad things?


8 posted on 11/05/2015 9:04:27 AM PST by NTHockey (Rules of engagement #1: Take no prisoners. And to the NSA trolls, FU)
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To: SandRat

+ One week? He’s gonna be pretty ripe.


9 posted on 11/05/2015 9:04:58 AM PST by Impy (They pull a knife, you pull a gun. That's the CHICAGO WAY, and that's how you beat the rats!)
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To: SandRat

How about a sentence of 250 years?


10 posted on 11/05/2015 9:05:35 AM PST by Kaslin (He needed the ignorant to reelect him, and he got them. Now we all have to pay the consequenses)
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

I have met several people, from all walks of life, who are convinced he will try not to leave.

As we enter this last year, I expect even more nonsense from him.


11 posted on 11/05/2015 9:07:41 AM PST by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: Kaslin; Impy

OK with no consideration for Parole privilege.


12 posted on 11/05/2015 9:09:08 AM PST by SandRat (Duty - Honor - Country! What else needs said?)
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To: Kaslin

This cockroach of a person(R. Galen) has a life that revolves around the destruction that is taking place. While his article is to show his supposed cleverness, it actually shows his real nature: he is ambivalent toward Obama and the ilk of the left. His home, car, wife, family, school, money, retirement, prestige all come from his parasitic feeding on a dying America. He is ambivalent because it is profitable to him. Elections to him are like who is going to be class president. He is dead inside. Morally and spiritually dead. He is the damned. He is Annas and Caiaphas the corrupt priests who found Jesus to be an obstacle to the money system. He is Judas. He is Satan and Lucifer. He is why fallen man is hopeless. Such people will comfortably die in their damnation. He is truly a cursed human being by his own hands. Gained the whole world and lost his soul. Let the dead bury the dead.


13 posted on 11/05/2015 9:09:45 AM PST by Duke of Milan
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To: Kaslin

We have at least 200 Electoral Votes that are going to go to the Democrats regardless of whether they nominate Obama, a German Shepherd or a Ham Sandwich.


14 posted on 11/05/2015 9:10:13 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog
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To: SaveFerris

Author says all that to end with’Obama should run again?’

He’s forgetting the extensive network of corruptocrats obama has in place.


15 posted on 11/05/2015 9:19:57 AM PST by subterfuge (TED CRUZ FOR POTUS!)
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To: Kaslin

Obama would win a third term if he ran, for the same reason FDR won a third term when he ran: he’s have the media in his pocket, every minority in the booth, all cities faking election results, and a GOP nominee who would be demonized in a way that would make Romney look like a saint to the LIV. What is more likely to happen, of course, is that the GOP nominee will win the election, in order that all the SHingTF (which will miraculously be no longer swept under the rug as it is now) can be blamed on the Big Bad Republicans, and the Dems can complete their transformation by being swept back into office in 2020.


16 posted on 11/05/2015 9:21:29 AM PST by chajin ("There is no other name under heaven given among people by which we must be saved." Acts 4:12)
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To: subterfuge

Looks like the author is a Kasich supporter.


17 posted on 11/05/2015 9:21:34 AM PST by SaveFerris (Be a blessing to a stranger today for some have entertained angels unaware)
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To: Bloody Sam Roberts
except we're gonna see and hear from him forever....

forever

18 posted on 11/05/2015 9:24:20 AM PST by Axeslinger (Where has my country gone?)
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To: Kaslin
If Obama declares a national emergency and refuses to step down or invokes an Executive Order declaring he can run for a third term, and wins by cheating at the polls like I believe he did in 2012, he will most certainly have the say in the next one or two Supreme Court justice replacements and they won't be conservatives. This would adversely alter the way of life in this country for decades to come in ways we will not like.

And with Obama not even trying to hide his hatred for America and the US military anymore, he will further destroy the military and continue to transform it into a social experiment for gays, transexuals and bisexual troops to play like soldiers. He will try to eliminate the 2nd Amendment altogether and go all out to confiscate our guns. He will do an Angela Merkel and allow millions of invaders into our country under the auspices of "refugees" to bolster the democRATic voter rolls and to further destroy the American way of life.

This man needs to removed from office, the sooner the better. He's self-absorbed, delusional and narcissistic enough to think he is well-liked enough to "lead" again, but to suggest that he could serve another term as president, is just sounding the death-knell for America.

19 posted on 11/05/2015 9:33:22 AM PST by HotHunt
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To: Kaslin
Barack Obama may be the best friend the GOP has ever had.

^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

Barack Obama is definitely the best recruiter the NRA has ever had.

20 posted on 11/05/2015 9:34:05 AM PST by matthew fuller (BHO strategy: anti-American, anti-Western, pro-Islamic, pro-Iranian, and pro-Muslim Brotherhood.)
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