[gaijin]

so that means you think it wasn’t terrorist? Right? I know what you wrote down is some kind of weapon

Eh, no, I do suspect something like 60% chance of terrorism, to snatch a pretty random number out of thin air.

If in fact the aircraft did achieve and hold an altitude of 33,000 feet then I am strongly dubious that the cause of the crash could have been a small MAN PORTABLE missile, like the SA-7 Grail, which is incredibly prolific.

Larger missile? Yes.

A hostile aircraft? Yes.

A bomb? Yes.

An on-board fight instigated by suicidal fundamentalists? Yes.

But the chances that an SA-7 (small, man portable) missile could have downed that aircraft at an altitude of 33,000 feet is less than 0.1%, since it has a service ceiling of 4.5 km.

The one and ONLY thing I'm saying is that there is no way with this baby.

[dp0622]

Gotcha. Thanks. Scary how many ways there are to take one down.

.01 percent is pretty slim :)

[xkaydet65]

I agree re. MANPAD. I believe the flight was a return charter by a group of vacationing Russians. If so then on board sabotage or action seems unlikely. Unless some Slavic jihadi took a last round of golf at Sharma El Sheik or a last swim in the Red Sea. And I doubt ISIS came up with a flyable Mig, armed with AIMs and a pilot to fly it into guarded airspace like the Sinai.