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Yeah, Jeb Bush Is Probably Toast
FiveThirtyEight ^ | 10/29/2015 | Nate Silver

Posted on 10/29/2015 9:17:32 AM PDT by justlittleoleme

"You know, I think Jeb Bush is toast," I told one of my editors after Wednesday night's debate.

"I kinda do too," he replied. "I'm just worried because that's what everyone else seems to think too."

-SNIP-

Bush received poor reviews for his debate performance from political commentators of all stripes (Republican, Democratic, partisan, nonpartisan, reporters, "data journalists"), many of whom also suggested that his campaign might soon be over. The straw poll1 we conducted among FiveThirtyEight writers and editors agreed; Bush's average grade was a C-, putting him at the bottom of the 10-candidate group.

-SNIP-

In the insurgent lane, Ted Cruz, a candidate whose chances were already on the upswing, probably helped himself during the debate. It's possible that Cruz's gains will come at Donald Trump's expense, although I personally thought Trump did fine and that if Cruz gains in the polls, it could come from Ben Carson or some other candidate instead.

But whether it's Cruz or Trump or Carson ahead, the Republican establishment can't wait that much longer to get its act together. And the most expedient way to do that may be to kick Bush to the curb.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; debates; elections; gone; toast
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1 posted on 10/29/2015 9:17:32 AM PDT by justlittleoleme
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To: justlittleoleme

Stale toast.


2 posted on 10/29/2015 9:18:16 AM PDT by cripplecreek (Pride goes before destruction, and a haughty spirit before a fall.)
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To: justlittleoleme

He’s the kind of toast that set off the smoke detector.

Anyone with ties to the uniparty will not survive this cycle.

I think the electorate gets it.


3 posted on 10/29/2015 9:19:44 AM PDT by cicero2k
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To: justlittleoleme
WOW, what was your first clue Nate?

Sheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeesh!

4 posted on 10/29/2015 9:19:45 AM PDT by paratrooper82 (82nd ABN DIV. 1/508th BN Alfa Team Leader 2nd civil war is coming to the USA)
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To: justlittleoleme

Adios, muchacho.


5 posted on 10/29/2015 9:20:01 AM PDT by jpl (Obama lied when Stevens died.)
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To: justlittleoleme

Too early.

Lets see where he is after the first of the year.


6 posted on 10/29/2015 9:20:26 AM PDT by Responsibility2nd (With Great Freedom comes Great Responsibility)
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To: justlittleoleme

FINALLY!


7 posted on 10/29/2015 9:20:57 AM PDT by nfldgirl
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To: Responsibility2nd
There's not going to be any miracle comeback. The only people who like this guy and really want him to be present are his family and a handful of billionaire Wall Street hedge fund managers. Even the old "BushBots" from several years ago have completely disappeared from here.

He's not very pleasant, he doesn't even truly want the job, and it shows.

8 posted on 10/29/2015 9:25:06 AM PDT by jpl (Obama lied when Stevens died.)
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To: justlittleoleme

Talk about understatement!

On the Drudgereport poll Bush was at last place with only 1,422 (0.52%) votes out of a total (so far) of 275,320 votes.

Bush doesn't even have enough bots to pad such onine polls.


9 posted on 10/29/2015 9:25:50 AM PDT by TomGuy
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To: justlittleoleme

Jeb Bush is not “toast” unless and until the GOPe drops him into the slot. The debates and the primaries are relevant only as they influence the GOPe by embarrassing it and it’s insistence on Bush as the Nominee.


10 posted on 10/29/2015 9:26:38 AM PDT by arthurus (Het is waar. Tutti i liberali sono feccia.)
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To: justlittleoleme

>> the most expedient way to do that may be to kick Bush to the curb.

Bush is toast all right, but he’s too well lodged in the R power and money structure to be “kicked to the curb” by a consensus of we the electorate.

The curb-kicking will have to come from the GOPe power structure, or he’ll have to open his own eyes and take himself out.

Pray that the scales fall from his eyes SOON.


11 posted on 10/29/2015 9:26:55 AM PDT by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed was his demon-possessed tool.)
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To: Responsibility2nd

Let’s see if the GOPe donors withdraw their support and/or shift it to Rubio or even Christie.


12 posted on 10/29/2015 9:27:57 AM PDT by arthurus (Het is waar. Tutti i liberali sono feccia.)
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To: jpl

What’s odd is that if you measured desire for the job...Trump maxes out completely, and Cruz probably comes a close second. I just don’t see Carson really wanting the job. Rubio has zero desire.


13 posted on 10/29/2015 9:28:08 AM PDT by pepsionice
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To: justlittleoleme

I don’t like where this thread is headed.


14 posted on 10/29/2015 9:28:12 AM PDT by toast
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To: toast

I see what you did there.


15 posted on 10/29/2015 9:29:55 AM PDT by jpl (Obama lied when Stevens died.)
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To: justlittleoleme
"Bring out your Jeb!"


16 posted on 10/29/2015 9:30:01 AM PDT by Paine in the Neck (Socialism consumes EVERYTHING)
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To: arthurus
I agree that it is hard to say with absolute certainty.

But when even Chris Christie is piling on him over his stupid response re: fantasy football, it is pretty clear that the worm has turned.

17 posted on 10/29/2015 9:31:29 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: justlittleoleme

It’s funny how Rubio and Christie are being congratulated by Fox News Republicans for going after the media when it was Ted that led the charge and got a huge round of applause for it in return. If Ted hadn’t done that and the crowd hadn’t responded the way it did, I highly doubt the others would have gone after the CNBC moderators the way they did.


18 posted on 10/29/2015 9:32:20 AM PDT by vbmoneyspender
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To: justlittleoleme

¡Yeb! was toast before he started campaigning.

Maybe he needs to campaign in a foreign language to foreigners who can’t vote (legally) some more, that’ll help.....


19 posted on 10/29/2015 9:34:15 AM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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To: justlittleoleme

Nate Silver and the liberal elite have realized the GOP Trojan Horse to elect Hillary is toast.

The GOP establishment has slim pickings... they can still try to parachute in Mittens.

After all, it looks like the insurgents will take over the party.


20 posted on 10/29/2015 9:36:10 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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