I think CNN intentionally messed up the one on Sept 8, Trump too high, so they could show a narrative they wanted. Then they fudge a small bit on this new one, lower Trump a little to complete the package. The one from the end of August is probably accurate for its time. The last two, less so. Also the MOE on the new one is 8% and no internals on Moderates either like there were in the previous two.
Those 40% and 36% polling figures in several polls made me think of that.
Set him up with unreal high numbers, then undercut him with unreal low ones, claiming vanishing support.
That’s why I don’t get overly about high or low polling numbers for him.
It is interesting to watch others, and see their reactions.
Like you, I think we should be wary of this data.
The dislike for Trump is very strong out there, and folks are going to do what they generally do when they don’t like a guy.