Posted on 08/31/2015 5:34:26 PM PDT by Red Steel
Real estate mogul Donald Trump has broadened his lead over his rivals for the Republican presidential nomination, a new poll shows, as more Republican voters begin to see the bombastic billionaire in a favorable light.
The Morning Consult survey shows Trump leading among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents with 37 percent of the vote, compared with just nine percent for the second-place finishers, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson.
Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (R) are tied for the next spot with six percent. Former Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R) claims 5 percent of the vote, barely ahead of Sens. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and Rand Paul (R-Ky.) at 4 percent.
Ahead of next month’s second Republican debate, to be aired by CNN, the poll finds former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina edging Ohio Gov. John Kasich (R) for the 10th and final position on the debate stage. Fiorina’s campaign has taken issue with CNN’s methodology, which would, for the moment, leave her out of 10th place.
Though earlier polls have shown Trump building a broad coalition, a slight gender gap is beginning to emerge. More male voters, 41 percent, say they back Trump than female voters, 32 percent. Trump also gets a disproportionate amount of support from those without a college education, from Republicans in urban areas and from voters who say national security is their most important issue.
(See full crosstabs here)
Trump is almost universally known among registered voters, though just 42 percent say they have a favorable opinion of him. But among self-identified Republicans, 66 percent say they view Trump favorably, markedly better than any other candidate seeking the party’s nomination. By contrast, just 52 percent of Republicans say they view Bush favorably.
Bush’s unfavorable rating among Republican voters, 36 percent, is higher than the 32 percent who say they see Trump unfavorably.
Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton appears to have arrested her summer slump. Clinton leads the Democratic field with 52 percent of the vote, 29 points ahead of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.).
Clinton’s lead, which stood at 43 percent at the end of July, slipped precipitously during August, as Sanders gained traction among liberal voters. Clinton leads Sanders among self-described liberals by a 52 percent to 31 percent margin, though Sanders is far less popular among moderate and conservative Democrats. Clinton also boasts much bigger leads among African American Democrats (49 percentage points) and Hispanic Democrats (31 percentage points).
Among all registered voters, Clinton continues to lead all of her potential Republican rivals, though narrowly. She leads Bush by only a 43 percent to 41 percent margin, and she has just a one-point edge — 43 percent to 42 percent — over Trump. Clinton leads Paul, Walker and Rubio by wider margins.
But amid a rising crime rate and a stumbling global economy, voters are in a pessimistic mood, one that could harm Democrats’ chances of maintaining control of the White House. Just 42 percent say they approve of the job President Obama is doing, compared with 55 percent who disapprove.
Only 29 percent of registered voters say the country is headed in the right direction, while 71 percent say the country is headed off on the wrong track. That’s higher than the 65 percent who said the country is on the wrong track in a July Morning Consult survey.
The new Morning Consult survey polled 2,015 registered voters between August 28-30, including subsamples of 769 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents and 913 Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents. The full sample carried a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percent. The margin of error for the Republican sample is plus or minus 3.5 percent, while the Democratic sample carried a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percent.
Who are these 9% for Jeb people and where the heck are they?I don’t know one person who supports Jeb,not one single one!
A worthless online poll.
No surprise Trump is up, thanks to Whore-Hey Ramos.
Trump stuffed Ramos like a piñata!
Onward and upward.
Unskew those polls! Lol.
Mogul and bombastic in first sentence. New record?
Apparently somebody’s trying to sustain the illusion that Jeb is electable.But 9%,really?
I guess that 25% ceiling all the pundits and trolls were talking about was more of a sun roof.
” The interviews were conducted online”
Anyone know how that works?
It’s not a BS “online poll”, but what is it?
The margin of error is plus or minus 3.5 percent.
The poll is good.
Bush’s voters in the primary are crossover Dems working Op Chaos 2016 to install the softest target.
The strategy can work IF Hillary never develops any serious challengers.
Apparently somebody’s trying to sustain the illusion that Jeb is electable.But 9%,really?
The poll is a joke.Just compare Cruz and Bush.One of them puts people to sleep when he speaks.
Trump is the only one running even saying the word “deport” illegals
And the only one talking against China and against Mexico and saying build a Wall etc.
That’s because all the other politicians running are owned by foreign interests and rich internationalist donors, and owned by China and Mexico.
Trump is the only one that can save America
Trump is not owned by anyone and doesn’t need the donors’ money. The others do want their money.
Immigration is the only issue. with more immigrants the left will cement all their issues like legalized abortion forever. so Only Trump will build the wall as he is the only one saying .
We are close to losing the country forever to liberals/democrats .
With just few million more Legal and illegal immigrants then liberals/democrats will have a few million more voters and then the USA is lost forever. And then all the Issues like abortion will be cemented for ever.
Trump 37% . Cruz 4% LOL
Go Trump!
The poll is a joke.Just compare Cruz and Bush.One of them puts people to sleep when he speaks.
Trump is getting close to 40% now in most national polls, this one is 37% the OAN had him at 40%
Ha HA HA! turn out the lights the party’s over! for Jeb the illegal that is lol. Go Trump!
Trump is destroying Jeb Bush! We owe him thanks for that!
Don’t pronounce Bush dead until the Dems have a real race going on their side in the primaries.
Until then, Jeb has Op Chaos 2016 to boost his totals.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.