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Inside Trump's Poll Numbers (vy interesting)
campaignsandelections.com ^ | Stefan Hankin

Posted on 08/24/2015 7:06:55 AM PDT by RoosterRedux

With the Iowa caucuses less than six months away, Donald Trump has taken a runaway lead among the GOP candidates.

While Trump has a commanding position in poll after poll, some news outlets are doing everything they can to downplay his candidacy. Whether by comparing Trump to Herman Cain in 2012, citing his inability to garner the grassroots support needed to win the presidential nomination, or by publishing headlines that a majority of Republican strategists and operatives doubt his capability of winning in either Iowa or New Hampshire, the media loves to hate on the New York-based developer.

*snip*

After asking Americans to compare themselves ideologically to the two parties in Congress, we were able to separate out likely Republican primary voters into three groups. The first group, made up of voters who place themselves to the right of Republicans, support Trump with 23 percent of the vote, followed by Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz at 11 percent and 10 percent respectively. Meanwhile, GOP voters who place themselves in line with GOP ideology favor Trump at 23 percent as well, followed by Cruz at 15 percent and Rubio at 12 percent.

Finally, GOP primary voters, who place themselves to the left of the Republican Party give Trump his highest number yet — 25 percent support. What’s truly surprising in these numbers is that not only is Trump leading among all three factions of the GOP, but that Bush, who should be the more establishment-friendly candidate, is running a distant fourth among the Republicans who feel aligned with the party.

Undoubtedly, Trump’s lead among all three groups points to some of his staying power, and is evidence that this isn’t just a flavor-of-the-month scenario like we saw with numerous Republican candidates in 2012.

(Excerpt) Read more at campaignsandelections.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bush; cruz; polls; trump
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To: Jane Long
Finally, GOP primary voters, who place themselves to the left of the Republican Party....

That's the Sanders wing of the GOP - :)

21 posted on 08/24/2015 8:10:00 AM PDT by 11th_VA ("We're not gonna take it ANYMORRRRRE !!!")
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To: odawg
I've HEARD he's very well liked by the monocle and top hat crowd but since they don't invite me to their gatherings, I wouldn't know for sure.
22 posted on 08/24/2015 8:10:23 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: RoosterRedux

Any polls on how Trump is doing with Democrats?


23 posted on 08/24/2015 8:17:13 AM PDT by GOPJ (Immigration, World Poverty and Gumballs https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LPjzfGChGlE)
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To: Vigilanteman
I've HEARD he's very well liked by the monocle and top hat crowd

Are you saying that Mr. Peanut is a Yebbie supporter? I know Mr. Peanut personally and he's for Trump.


24 posted on 08/24/2015 8:17:18 AM PDT by RoosterRedux (First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win. Mahatma Gandhi)
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To: Vigilanteman
I've HEARD he's very well liked by the monocle and top hat crowd but since they don't invite me to their gatherings, I wouldn't know for sure.

Only for the Fatcats.


25 posted on 08/24/2015 8:17:54 AM PDT by Jane Long ("And when thou saidst, Seek ye my face; my heart said unto thee, Thy face, LORD, will I seek")
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To: Kozy

Oh, Bush is a republican. It’s just the rest of us aren’t.


26 posted on 08/24/2015 8:21:56 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: odawg

I think Barbara did - once.


27 posted on 08/24/2015 8:24:51 AM PDT by ilovesarah2012
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To: odawg

Liked Jeb?
Yep, a lifelong Democrat friend of mine.


28 posted on 08/24/2015 8:26:33 AM PDT by bog trotter
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To: RoosterRedux
For goodness sakes!

Right    Middle    Left
23%           23%      25%

A TWO percent difference...

So what is the margin of error?

From the poll:

The Bayesian confidence interval for 1,000 interviews is 3.5, which is roughly equivalent to a margin of error of ±3.1 at the 95% confidence level.

29 posted on 08/24/2015 8:34:05 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (As we say in the Air Force, "You know you're over the target when you start getting flak!")
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To: july4thfreedomfoundation
Quote: Supposed sex scandal

He admitted to keeping up a woman on the side, unbeknownst to his wife. If it was strictly platonic, he should have stayed in the race. I am afraid, he, like Cosby, had a lot more to be discovered, I supported him and gave him the benefit of the doubt, but his red handed admission, after an initial denial, lost me.

30 posted on 08/24/2015 8:39:27 AM PDT by jimmyray
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To: jimmyray

During the primary campaign in 2012, I had an appointment with my doctor.

When he came into the exam room, he was wearing a sweater vest.

I told him, “You look like Rick Santorum!”

The doctor said, “Not my candidate.”

I told him, “I like Herman Cain. I find it hard to believe that a man who had stage 4 cancer was involved with all these women. If he’s got that kind of stamina, maybe he’s the kind of guy we need as president!”

The doctor laughed.

I never knew that Herman Cain admitted to have a woman on the side. I’d still like to see him run for the Senate in Georgia.


31 posted on 08/24/2015 9:00:20 AM PDT by july4thfreedomfoundation (Liberals are like the Taliban and ISIS....destroying cultural icons they don't like.)
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To: Kozy

I’m not so sure that being a “republican” is a badge of honor anymore. All the ones I like are disliked by the party high ups.


32 posted on 08/24/2015 9:10:43 AM PDT by Aria
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To: Helicondelta

We don’t really know if the claims of a sex scandal were true do we? I just figured it was the usual $hit from the rats taking out their opposition - it’s not like the rats care who sleeps with who as long as they’re loyal rats.

I also thought Cain’s wife wasn’t up for the blood sport of D.C. politics.


33 posted on 08/24/2015 9:13:14 AM PDT by Aria
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To: smokingfrog

“People like Trump because they see him as being patriotic.

O-bummer never misses an opportunity to say something bad about America, and people are sick of it.”

True, those Americans in France made me feel proud of us again. Absolutely tired of being beat down and apologized for and guilty about hard won success.


34 posted on 08/24/2015 9:15:48 AM PDT by Aria
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To: Boardwalk
While I loved Cain, I loved him in spite of the fact that I knew he would never be elected. I have a much different feeling with Trump!

Exactly. Carson is this year's Cain. I love him, but I don't think he can defeat the GOPe. I don't think Cruz can get the prize with the deck stacked against him. Trump can, by appealing to the entire spectrum of Republicans, all of whom hate the GOP elites who control our choices. Trump may not be perfect for us conservatives, but if he just takes over the party and fires all the RNC staff, and keeps his promise on the border, he will have saved the country. If he makes Carson or Cruz his VP, he will also set us up for the next election cycle.

The GOPe will all join the Democrats.

35 posted on 08/24/2015 9:21:13 AM PDT by Defiant (I will vote for the candidate that the GOPe and media hate the most.)
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To: Vigilanteman
I cannot figure out any logical reason why Jeb Bush would get even 11% of the voters who consider themselves to the right of the Republican Party.

He gets 11% of voters who told pollsters they consider themselves to the right of the Republican Party.
36 posted on 08/24/2015 11:33:48 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: RoosterRedux
I know Mr. Peanut personally and he's for Trump.

True, but his employer, Kraft Foods, is very much in the John Ellis Bush camp.
37 posted on 08/24/2015 11:39:11 AM PDT by Dr. Sivana (There is no salvation in politics)
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To: july4thfreedomfoundation
I was a big fan, and actually went to a rally, and my daughter got his signature on a campaign poster. I thought he had a chance.

Admission reference 1

Admission reference 2

38 posted on 08/24/2015 4:15:01 PM PDT by jimmyray
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