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Why Jeb’s Not Catching Fire — And Probably Never Will
Center For Individual Freedom ^ | August 20, 2015 | Troy Senik

Posted on 08/23/2015 6:52:35 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The good news for Jeb Bush is that he’s the perfect candidate for the Republican presidential nomination. The bad news is that he’s the perfect candidate in the year 2000.

That’s the counterfactual scenario that most Bush-watchers have spun over the years. Had Jeb won the 1994 race in which he first pursued Florida’s governorship, the theory goes, it would have been him rather than his older brother who became the GOP’s standard-bearer in 2000. Instead, Jeb narrowly lost the ’94 race to Democrat Lawton Chiles, George W. won his contest in Texas in the same year and the younger sibling looked on six years later as his brother ascended to the White House.

That historical twist may have permanently thwarted Jeb’s White House aspirations. It’s not just that the American people are inherently resistant to the dynastic impulse that would see three consecutive members of the Bush family serve as Republican presidents. It’s also that the legacy of Jeb’s family has ineluctably changed the dynamics within the GOP.

To understand the principle at work here, you have to recall that Jeb’s father, George H.W. Bush, was long regarded as an interloper by movement conservatives. Indeed, it was Bush 41 who coined the phrase “voodoo economics” as a criticism of Ronald Reagan’s economic policy and who pledged a “kinder, gentler America” in the wake of Reagan’s presidency (a promise that prompted Nancy Reagan to reply “Kinder than who?”).

For the conservative base, the elder Bush was a man not to be trusted,a principle only reaffirmed by the violation of his “Read my lips: no new taxes” pledge.

George W. Bush may have done a more thoroughgoing job of ingratiating himself to the right prior to taking up residency in the Oval Office, but by the time he departed office eight years later, many conservatives were starting to feel like they had been taken for a ride again.

The younger Bush had dramatically increased federal spending, presided over a government bailout of the financial sector and pushed through an unfunded entitlement expansion. Indeed, though it’s often forgotten now, the Tea Party movement arose just as much in reaction to the “big government conservatism” of President Bush and a Republican congress as it did to the excesses of Barack Obama. Where the Bush family is concerned, many conservatives have now taken on the mindset of “Fool me once, shame on you; fool me twice, shame on me.”

All of that means that Jeb Bush has a tougher row to hoe than any other candidate in the Republican field: He’s essentially saddled with defending three people’s records instead of one. And it doesn’t help matters any that on two of Bush’s signature issues — immigration and Common Core education standards — he’s advocating policies that make the conservative base deeply uncomfortable.

Here’s the irony: Take a close look at Bush’s record in Tallahassee — not to mention decades worth of writing, speeches and interviews — and you’ll discover a man far more in touch with movement conservatism than either his father or his brother.

What undermines all of that, however, is the rhetorical notes the former governor has struck throughout the campaign: claiming that he’s ready to “lose the primary to win the general”; describing illegal immigration as an “act of love”; referring to his own immigration prescription as “the grown-up plan.”

Fairly or not, many conservatives find in those words an implicit indication that Governor Bush isn’t especially fond of them; that they’re little more than an obstacle he has to overcome on the road to the White House. This, of course, is not necessarily fatal for a Republican presidential candidate. Indeed, both John McCain and Mitt Romney faced similar hurdles prior to earning their party’s nominations. There’s one big difference this time, however: the competition.

Romney triumphed over one of the weakest Republican presidential fields in recent memory. McCain shot to the nomination after Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson had flamed out, with neither Romney nor Mike Huckabee commanding wide enough popularity to give him a serious run for his money. Bush doesn’t have that luxury. Facing the likes of Marco Rubio, Scott Walker, Ted Cruz, John Kasich and literally a dozen others, he’ll have to do something more than fatiguing voters into submission.

The Jeb Bush campaign isn’t based on passion, inspiration or enthusiasm. It’s based on being just good enough for conservatives to reluctantly give in. In most years — and with most fields — that strategy would have a decent shot at working. But not in 2016. For the second time in his career, Jeb Bush is likely to become a victim of terrible timing.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: bush; gop; immigrtion; jebbush2016; medicare; republicans; teaparty
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Let’s please stay out of the Bushes!


21 posted on 08/23/2015 7:01:43 PM PDT by basil
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Why Jeb’s Not Catching Fire — And Probably Never Will

Not only is the country suffering from "Bush Fatigue" this guy is a really terrible Bush. Not that Senior was much better. He was just lucky.

22 posted on 08/23/2015 7:01:48 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: Jack Hydrazine
The guy is a wimp par excellence. He probably could not tell the difference between Gyromytra and Morchella. That monomethyl hydrazine does strange stuff to wimps of all ages.
23 posted on 08/23/2015 7:02:29 PM PDT by Fungi
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

>> he’s ready to “lose the primary.. “

Your lips to GOD’s ear, Yeb...


24 posted on 08/23/2015 7:02:36 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed was his demon-possessed tool.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Walker has now cemented his anchor, as well.


25 posted on 08/23/2015 7:03:25 PM PDT by ConservativeMind ("Humane" = "Don't pen up pets or eat meat, but allow infanticide, abortion, and euthanasia.")
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To: COBOL2Java

Great post! :)


26 posted on 08/23/2015 7:03:43 PM PDT by DiogenesLamp ("of parents owing allegiance to no other sovereignty.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Jeb’s pants are on fire.


27 posted on 08/23/2015 7:03:51 PM PDT by Sasparilla (If you want peace, prepare for war.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

bush is a nice guy. He is like the next door neighbor but you wouldn’t want him as President. We need -a “KILLER” negotiator to bring jobs and prosperity to all of our people and we need to close that border shut or we are not a sovereign country


28 posted on 08/23/2015 7:04:05 PM PDT by WENDLE (How did Hillary get Top Secret docs out of the Dedicated Secure Network facility?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
'Indeed, it was Bush 41 who coined the phrase “voodoo economics"...'



Yes, I'll answer ya, Ben. Bush 41 was a loser, too!
29 posted on 08/23/2015 7:04:07 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C4CJaujuVSY

Go home, Jeb.


30 posted on 08/23/2015 7:04:21 PM PDT by PGalt
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To: basil

“Let’s please stay out of the Bushes!”

Read my lips. No new Bushes!


31 posted on 08/23/2015 7:04:57 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I just can’t believe the donor class chose Yabe as their man. It shows how out of touch they are. Anyone on the street could tell you no more Bushes. If Jeb gets the nomination, he will lose to any Democrat.

What are these big donors thinking?


32 posted on 08/23/2015 7:05:12 PM PDT by Empire View
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To: Lurkinanloomin

The only thing I have heard him say, other than repeating things other candidates have said that got a positive response, was to support Mexico. Period. Nothing about how to make America great again, to get rid of freeloaders and to make life better for hard working Americans. Nada. Zilch.

HE HAS NOTHING TO OFFER.

Dump these frigging political families already.


33 posted on 08/23/2015 7:05:14 PM PDT by Cowgirl of Justice
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To: nascarnation

>> most Dems will be told to vote in their own primaries

Interesting point.


34 posted on 08/23/2015 7:05:28 PM PDT by Nervous Tick (There is no "allah" but satan, and mohammed was his demon-possessed tool.)
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To: Jack Hydrazine

I like their wives better than the guys—

They are a classy lot, IMO.


35 posted on 08/23/2015 7:11:42 PM PDT by basil
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The biggest problem the conservative movement faces is that most principled conservatives have no interest in pursuing a career in government. As a result, we end up with two types of presidential candidates: (1) career bureaucrats who are as dumb and as inspirational as a pile of rocks, or (2) successful professionals who don't have anything left to prove in their own fields, and get into politics almost as a hobby.

Those who fit the first description (McCain, Bush, Kasich, Perry and Rubio, for example) are losers who can't win, but who attract the strongest support from the GOP establishment. Those who fit the second description (Romney, Fiorino, Paul and Carson, for example) usually aren't hard-nosed and aggressive enough to win.

36 posted on 08/23/2015 7:12:40 PM PDT by Alberta's Child ("It doesn't work for me. I gotta have more cowbell!")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

37 posted on 08/23/2015 7:13:16 PM PDT by AmericanCheeseFood (“I happen to agree with it 100 percent,” - Trump on imminent domain)
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To: Fungi

You think he’s been sniffing the MMH too long?

I think MMH has estrogen in it like soy does!


38 posted on 08/23/2015 7:13:16 PM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

He is boring....


39 posted on 08/23/2015 7:13:42 PM PDT by mfish13 (Elections have Consequences.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
(Jeb)...describing illegal immigration as an “act of love”; referring to his own immigration prescription as “the grown-up plan.”

The article need not have said anything more than the above phrase.

.

40 posted on 08/23/2015 7:14:03 PM PDT by Seaplaner (Never give in. Never give in. Never...except to convictions of honour and good sense. W. Churchill)
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