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Neither Hillary Nor Bernie Is Up to the Task of Holding the Obama Coalition Together
National Review ^ | 08/12/2015 | Jonah Goldberg

Posted on 08/12/2015 6:19:05 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

‘We are trying to be reasonable,” an organizer for Bernie Sanders’s Seattle rally said.

The black female protesters who stormed the stage became enraged. “We aren’t reasonable!” they shouted back. “If you do not listen to [us], your event will be shut down,” one of them declared to the crowd.

Sanders caved to the protesters from the Black Lives Matter movement and gave activist Marissa Johnson the microphone. “I was going to tell Bernie how racist this city is, even with all of these progressives, but you’ve already done that for me. Thank you,” she said, apparently in response to members of the crowd who booed her. I suppose if you’ve already conceded that you aren’t reasonable, it’s not hard to argue that booing an uninvited rabble-rouser is “racist.”

It’s understandable that all eyes have been on the insane food fight Donald Trump has instigated on the right. Even Trump’s biggest detractors — and I count myself among their number — have to concede that Trump is awfully entertaining. But while the spectacle on the right seems like a canceled TV-reality-show pilot — call it Desperate Billionaires of Manhattan Gone Wild — the spectacle on the left is no less fascinating or significant.

Sanders, the lifelong independent socialist running for the Democratic nomination, has been gathering historic crowds, much larger than anything Hillary Rodham Clinton or Trump have been able to manage. A second rally Saturday in Seattle drew 15,000 people. The following night in Portland, Ore., 28,000 reportedly attended. The best Clinton has done — in her adopted home state of New York, at her kickoff event no less — was 5,500.

The Clinton team is clearly nervous. Her poll numbers have been plummeting as Sanders’s have been surging. The campaign moved up its ad buys from November to this month. She’s been tacking ever further left.

The trouble for Clinton and the Democrats generally is that while Barack Obama was able to unite the factions of the Left to get himself elected, it’s not clear anyone else can.

The trouble for Clinton and the Democrats generally is that while Barack Obama was able to unite the factions of the Left to get himself elected, it’s not clear anyone else can. Obama wanted to be a Reagan of the Left, a “transformative” president who moved the magnetic poles of American politics leftward. The jury is out on that project, but he did succeed in at least one sense. Reagan united foreign-policy hawks, social conservatives, and economic conservatives — the famous three legs to the stool of the conservative movement.

Obama did something very similar on the left. He united the civil-rights or identity-politics wing, the economic or egalitarian wing, and the more elitist technocratic wing. Obviously, these movements overlap — just as the different factions of the Reagan coalition overlapped — but each has its own priorities and passions.

Aided by his experience as a former community organizer and his historic status as the first black president, Obama held the coalition together through force of personality.

The Democratic party has always had internal conflicts. Franklin D. Roosevelt’s coalition contained socialist Jews and blacks and Southern segregationists. That coalition held for 20 years after his presidency. But the Obama coalition seems to be fraying while he’s still in office. The black Left is angrier at the end of his presidency than it was at the beginning. The egalitarians think the country is worse off, and the technocrats are left trying to explain why their plans are so great, despite the fact that the economy has never really recovered on their watch. Moreover, none of Obama’s presumptive heirs have the charisma or skills to repair or sustain the coalition.

Sanders has charm, but the Jewish socialist transplant from Brooklyn has spent his political life in a state that has only about 7,500 blacks. He lacks the vocabulary to appeal beyond the white Left. Meanwhile, the black Left, an indispensable voting bloc, has no standard-bearer in the primaries and is clearly cross about it.

Clinton’s most comfortable in the role of elitist technocrat, which is great for fundraising from Wall Street and wooing Beltway journalists, but it’s not so useful for wooing voters in a populist environment. Thanks to her husband, she still has goodwill among African Americans. But she lacks the charisma, passion, or personal story to excite either the black Left or the white Left. The woman who left the White House “dead broke” makes five times the average American’s annual income per speech.

The GOP’s Trump problem will eventually melt away. I suspect the Democrats’ troubles are far more durable.

— Jonah Goldberg is a fellow at the American Enterprise Institute and a senior editor of National Review.


TOPICS: Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2016election; bernie; bernie2016; berniesanders; clinton; democrats; hillary; hillary2016; jonahgoldberg; sanders2016; trump2016; trumpproblem
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1 posted on 08/12/2015 6:19:05 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

All they have to do is hire Valarie Jarrett.


2 posted on 08/12/2015 6:21:46 AM PDT by TYVets
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To: SeekAndFind

I think they should run Jesse and Al on the same ticket, against Hillary! and Bernie.


3 posted on 08/12/2015 6:23:00 AM PDT by originalbuckeye ("In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." - George Orwell)
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To: SeekAndFind

They are white. Dat’s old skool. Unless the Democrats nominate a black candidate, the brothas and sistas gonna stay home.


4 posted on 08/12/2015 6:29:03 AM PDT by Cowboy Bob (Isn't it funny that Socialists never want to share their own money?)
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To: SeekAndFind

FR Purgatory: Finding yourself seated between Marissa Johnson and Jonah Goldberg on a trans-Atlantic flight.
“There’s first class and coach ... why isn’t there a section for normal people?”
Uncle Leo


5 posted on 08/12/2015 6:29:16 AM PDT by tumblindice (America's founding fathers: all armed conservatives.)
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To: Cowboy Bob

‘Coalition’ implies intellegent thought and decision making.


6 posted on 08/12/2015 6:30:21 AM PDT by relictele (WhatPrincipiis obsta & Finem respice - Resist The Beginnings & Consider The Ends)
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To: SeekAndFind

We need Hillary as the nominee. She is beyond damaged and Obama does not want to hand the keys over to her. He knows you don’t piss off the Clinton’s and live happily ever after. He doesn’t want to hand them off to Donald either, but he would take his chances with Donald. This is important because he really does NOT want to hand them to anyone other than Bush. We don’t want Obama tempted to any more electoral shenanigans.


7 posted on 08/12/2015 6:39:05 AM PDT by ballearthout
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To: SeekAndFind

There’s always The Wookie!


8 posted on 08/12/2015 6:40:39 AM PDT by null and void (Support Islamic Repatriation)
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To: TYVets

Mooch for prez, Jarret for Veep...


9 posted on 08/12/2015 6:41:17 AM PDT by null and void (Support Islamic Repatriation)
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To: null and void

Oh, i’m sure they’ve considered her already. She wins if she’s on the ticket, so sad to say. Though it would be fun to test the Obama machine again just to see how strong it really is.


10 posted on 08/12/2015 6:47:53 AM PDT by tenger (Obama will do what he wants because who's gonna stop him?)
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To: SeekAndFind

More happy talk. Saw this all over in 2012. Guess what happened.


11 posted on 08/12/2015 6:52:06 AM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: tenger

A black tranny? That’s gotta have the liberal vote sewn up!


12 posted on 08/12/2015 6:52:29 AM PDT by null and void (Support Islamic Repatriation)
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To: SeekAndFind
One important point that Jonah does not mention is that Hillary is just plain unlikeable. Bubba could always schmooze his way into many people's hearts, a skill that continually mystified me (but I would be a fool to deny its existence).

In contrast, Hillary comes off as hectoring, arrogant, and shrill. She has no personal warm and it's cringe-inducing to watch her try and fake it. She will always have her leftist-feminist base, but that's all.

13 posted on 08/12/2015 7:04:12 AM PDT by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Rempublicam)
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To: TYVets

Yep, VJ is looking for her next gig as PuppetMaster


14 posted on 08/12/2015 7:11:51 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: null and void

As scary as this sounds...you might be on to something.
The MSM still loves the Wookie and VJ has the $$$ and connections.


15 posted on 08/12/2015 7:16:44 AM PDT by Zathras
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To: Zathras

And Iranian born Valerie Jarret is every bit as Constitutionally qualified as the current occupier...


16 posted on 08/12/2015 7:25:47 AM PDT by null and void (Support Islamic Repatriation)
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To: SeekAndFind

For the most part with the help of using all assets of the Treasury as give-aways, “Yes They Can”.

Hillary already started some suggested $350 billion college education bribe.
They will continue the social services bribes and the over paid and over populated government worker bribes.


17 posted on 08/12/2015 7:27:39 AM PDT by A CA Guy ( God Bless America, God Bless and keep safe our fighting men and women)
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To: A CA Guy

RE: Hillary already started some suggested $350 billion college education bribe.

That cannot top Bernie Sander’s FREE. No wonder Bernie is gaining on her.


18 posted on 08/12/2015 7:30:06 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (qu)
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To: SeekAndFind

Bernie is suddenly having problems with the “Black Lives Matter” crowd, and Hillary’s email problems are getting worse. The path is being cleared for Joe Biden.


19 posted on 08/12/2015 7:43:33 AM PDT by GreenHornet
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To: SeekAndFind

Doesn’t really matter. Nothing brings people together like free sh*t. The “free college/loan forgiveness” platform will surely drag them over the finish line.


20 posted on 08/12/2015 7:44:48 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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