[BigEdLB]

Blue Minnesota is a D+5 state so the oversample is +3, and the GOP candidates are still close to Hillary.... Look at the head-to-head for Trump compared to the others. He is doing all right. Same as Ted Cruz 44-39...

[LS]

I don't buy any head to head match ups yet. The las two cycles McCain and Romney were either ahead or very close at this point. Meaningless til nominee is set.

That said, don't fall (as I admittedly did in the past) for the notions of "weighting". Most polls are pretty accurate, as we found---twice.