Posted on 07/21/2015 1:34:27 PM PDT by Academiadotorg
In a Sunday column in The Washington Post, Stop laughing at Donald Trump, a liberal analyst from the Brookings Institution tries to warn the Washington, D.C. beltway elites that they should take the businessman seriously because he has figured out how to win a national electionby taking the white vote. This is the silent majority.
While it is true that minorities and other groups helped elect President Obama twice, the white portion of the electorate, which votes strongly Republican, underperformed in support of John McCain in 2008, and white turnout was down in 2012, when Mitt Romney was the Republican presidential nominee, notes William H. Frey, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a population studies professor at the University of Michigan.
In other words, if McCain and Romney had only come across in a more conservative and assertive manner, and had appealed to more white voters, they probably would have won.
Frey comments that Trump appeals to a vein of the U.S. electorate that will remain a significant voting bloc for several election cycles to come: older whites.
Yet, GOP politicians and Fox News commentators such as George Will and Charles Krauthammer have been attacking Trump and his policy positions. McCain went further, smearing Trump supporters as crazies, before Trump fired back, in comments on McCains war record. Veteran reporter Sharyl Attkisson said Trumps comments were taken out of context and distorted by The Washington Post.
It appears that the crazies include a lot of ordinary Americans who are sick and tired of politics as usual. Trump, in contrast to McCain and Romney, has figured out a way to fire them up and tap their anger and frustration.
A 2014 study by Professor Marisa Abrajano on the coming backlash to immigration policy not only explains the Donald Trump phenomenon, but also why the liberal media are so determined to destroy him. The media know that Trumps appeal threatens the ability of the Democratic Party to continue to fool white voters into embracing liberal policies that destroy their own communities.
Her academic paper, published by the Brookings Institution, was clearly designed to warn liberals about how a broad backlash to immigration could damage the Democratic Party. She said a backlash could not only shift the balance of power between Democrats and Republicans but benefit rightward leaning candidates throughout the country who want to do something about it.
The paper was based on the book, White Backlash: Immigration, Race, and American Politics. co-authored with Zoltan L. Hajnal.
Immigrants may be arriving in historically high numbers, she noted, but they account for only a relatively small fraction of the nations population. Native-born whites still represent 63 percent of the population and, perhaps more importantly, some 75 percent of its voters.
Hence, the key to Democratic Party success lies in manipulating the minority groups and immigrants into voting for Democrats in overwhelming numbers, as they currently do, while also conning a significant number of whites into voting Democrat. This is a con because the Democratic Party has no interest in protecting the interests of white people as a political or special interest group.
The Abrajano report has some interesting comments about media coverage of the issue that may help explain the reaction to Donald Trump. It says, At the aggregate level, we find that when media coverage of immigration uses the Latino threat narrative, the likelihood of whites identifying with the Democratic Party decreases, and the probability of favoring Republicans increases.
Of course, the liberal media never use the Latino threat narrative, and the phrase is meant to suggest that concerns about immigration are somehow racist or improper. Our media have done their best to play down the problem, through such maneuvers as banning the term illegal alien and substituting undocumented worker.
What Trump has done is bring the issue to the fore, making it out to be the threat that it is. The Trump surge, plus the murder of a young American in San Francisco by a Mexican illegal alien and the prison escape in Mexico of a drug cartel leader, have put the dangers on the front pages of our newspapers in a manner that has garnered the attention of the nation. Our media have been forced to cover the issue in a way that captures the peril our nation currently faces. As a result, the Democrats and their liberal media allies fear that white voters have now been dramatically educated about the political stakes and may vote accordingly in favor of their own interests.
The media have no problem with blacks and Hispanics voting for Democrats in large numbers and affirming and protecting their own racial identities. But when whites do it, it suddenly becomes racism. That charge has carried a lot of sting in the past, but with illegals streaming across the border and Middle Eastern Muslims creating enclaves in places like Tennessee, it looks more and more like members of the silent majority are deciding to be silent no more. They are realizing that the lives of their family members and the cultural identity of their nation are at risk.
Immigration and other factors appear increasingly to be pitting the declining white majority against the growing non-white minority, she wrote. That majority may have found its voice in Trump, a man unafraid of the liberal media and the GOP establishment, which wants to continue the losing strategy of pandering to the minorities who overwhelmingly vote Democrat.
Abrajano also wrote, The conventional view of pundits and prognosticators and maybe even most social scientists is that the dramatic growth of the minority population and its strong ties to the Democratic Party portend the demise of the Republican Party. She adds, That may be true in the long term. But that prediction ignores the white population and the possibility of a widespread white backlash in the short term.
It appears that short term has now arrived. His name is Donald Trump.
Abrajanos co-author, Hajnal, a professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego, recently wrote that Republicans opposition to immigration reform actually represents a winning strategy, not a losing one.
Of course, the term immigration reform is code for amnesty for illegals.
That aside, he acknowledges that Republicans win or lose largely depending on white voters. Whites still make up the vast majority of voterssome 75 percent in 2014and whites tend to favor the Republican Party by large margins. Republican congressional candidates garnered 60 percent of the white vote in 2014. All told, 89 percent of all Republican votes in 2014 came from white voters. Put simply, the Republican Party doesnt really need the minority vote.
Since the Republicans have a winning strategy, what holds them back from using it? Its called political correctness, which holds that appealing to people based on their fears of immigration destroying their country is racist and wrong. Trump didnt care what the media thought and decided to address the issue anyway. The response speaks for itself.
Its not surprising that GOP presidential candidates like Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio would go after Trump. For whatever reason, perhaps because they want to appear inclusive, they are desperate to appeal to Hispanics, a voting bloc that is essentially owned by the Democrats.
This is not to say that some Hispanics do not agree with Trump.
Maria Espinoza launched the group America First Latinos, in order to prove, once and for all, that the majority of Latino citizens are solidly behind the U.S. Constitution and a secured national border. Espinoza also launched the Stolen Lives Quilt project, whose members appeared with Trump at his July 10 news conference. The group remembers the victims of illegal alien crimes in the U.S. and is coming to Washington, D.C. this week to press their case against criminal aliens coming across Americas open borders.
Cliff Kincaid is the Director of the AIM Center for Investigative Journalism, and can be contacted at cliff.kincaid@aim.org
How racist of academia!
“In a Sunday column in The Washington Post, Stop laughing at Donald Trump, a liberal analyst from the Brookings Institution tries to warn the Washington, D.C. beltway elites that they should take the businessman seriously because he has figured out how to win a national electionBY TAKING THE WHITE VOTE.”
Boy, someone ON THIS SITE has been saying that for MONTHS now...it would have been nice if the Republican Party had taken my advice (and it’s backed up with data on my ‘about’ page), but if has to be Trump, then SO BE IT.
“Abrajanos co-author, Hajnal, a professor of political science at the University of California, San Diego, recently wrote that Republicans opposition to immigration reform actually represents a winning strategy, not a losing one.”
One doesn’t have to be a PROFESSOR OF POLITICAL SCIENCE to realize that Republicans STOPPED the Senate Amnesty bill in 2014 and went on to have a HISTORIC VICTORY over the Democrats.
Only the media and Republican Insiders and ‘advisers’ (most of them gay, by the way) would argue otherwise. And for the handful of people on this site that have trouble understanding why Republican Insiders want Open Borders, the answer is CHEAP LABOR (and reliable labor, sadly). It Big Business can get their CHEAP LABOR, they will support whoever brings it...and oppose whoever tries to stop it (i.e., Trump and Cruz).
Makes me wonder if people are just cowardly conceding defeat, or if they were only pretending to care in the first place.
Right on, the day we stop fighting for the rights of those among us least able to fight for themselves, is the day we forfeit our claim to those rights as well.
We only have inalienable rights if we ALL have those rights, and derive them from God, not from men or men’s institutions.
“The Latino Bund propaganda inflates its numbers to appear as if they are a “voting bloc.””
True, while in the real world, a lot of 2nd and 3rd generation hispanics are as “white”, culturally speaking, as anyone else. They may be a little tanner, or have a Spanish last name, but that doesn’t mean they support amnesty, any more than the descendants of other immigrants.
“The petulant rich kid act is tiring.”
I don’t think it’s an act.
Indeed!
Exactly!
The GOP candidates that are attacking Trump are for open borders and Amnesty.
This is why they attack Trump. They are nothing but frauds.
Amen.
“How many FReepers are pro-abortion and pro-homo”.
You mean like Jeb Bush, Chris Christy, George Pataki, or John Kasich? Trump says he changed his positions. These uber RINOs have never changed positions. None gives a damn about marriage and both believe in murdering babies if they don’t like who the father is. Pataki is 100% pro-abortion and queer “marriage”.
Wow EV.... Your Post #40 is AWESOME!!!
Thanks.
Thanks for your Post #42 Bob. I’ve been racking my brain saying: “Who is the FReeper whose been saying that over and over and over again?” So, it was you; huh? You go man!
That could be. Personally, I think the Trump cult of personality is just that strong, for some unfathomable reason.
I can't count how many times Trump fans have responded with "But the other guy does it" or "He couldn't be any worse than so-and-so." Hardly a ringing endorsement nor a reasoned basis for support.
"Trump says he changed his positions."
Oh, yes. He has done a complete 180 on just about every position he used to hold.
And conservatives are buying right into it, no questions asked.
This all well and good, but I am a non-white who is as Conservative as my pigment deprived neighbors who support the what Trump and Cruz are saying.
Trump has been pro-life for many years now . Against gay marriage .
"Hence, the key to Democratic Party success lies in manipulating the minority groups and immigrants into voting for Democrats in overwhelming numbers, as they currently do, while also conning a significant number of whites into voting Democrat. This is a con because the Democratic Party has no interest in protecting the interests of white people as a political or special interest group."
The guy who wrote, "The Art of the Deal" knows this. .
Why would anyone ever vote for a democrat?
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