Why inform a pollster what you intend to do, if it is contrary to what the media corporation says they want you to do?
The “polls” didn’t fail. They said EXACTLY what the pollsters manipulated them to say.
In the Modern Era, Media Polling is now designed to DRIVE the opinion of the Low-Info Voter to politically-approved Leftists, not to measure opinion.
Funny that the British BETTING POOLS got it completely correct, but the leftist-leaning Media polls were wildly off, isn’t it?
"Voters are becoming harder to contact, especially on landline telephones. Online polls have become commonplace, but some eschew probability sampling, historically the bedrock of polling methodology. And in the U.S., some pollsters have been caught withholding results when they differ from other surveys, “herding” toward a false consensus about a race instead of behaving independently."
Yeah, that happens when your polls start with an agenda.
Let’s see, the NEO-STALINIST Media Megalopoly which whet its appetite on See It Now March 9, 1954 and Mark Feldt-Howard Hughes $100k, sees its role as MAKING rather than reporting “news”, and the professional eunuchs complain about lost jewelry.
Nate Silver is an idiot shilling for the hussein regime. His recent article about sports statistics in the ESPN magazine was a bunch of pin-headed nonsense. He knows nothing about facts and reality.
And yet in the US, he's viewed as an Oracle who can predict the US elections several months out with 90%+ certainty.
Silver is no longer the gold standard of polls?
While I am certain Nate Silver is a sharp guy, his Obama prognostication in 2008 and 12 seem to be the outliers in his success rate. I have no idea how he got those SO right when he can’t seem to get close to accurate in other areas. In 2008 I figured he just used inside data to get his numbers. However in 2012 he picked the states exactly right. He definitely has some model that gets these electoral votes correct.
Oh no! Does this mean we may have to wait until actual voters have spoken to determine winners and losers?
The one thing Silver fails to factor in.. is his own liberal bias.
He is usually good at predicting liberal wins, but it’s becoming more and more obvious he is horrible at predicting conservative ones.
More like wishful thinking on the part of a biased pollster....
Polls are failing us? What have those pesky polls done now?
He even got the Germany versus Brazil World Cup wrong.
Not a soccer fan, but it looks like the data is showing him to be just another prognosticator.
Polling today is being skewed primarily by the most concentrated and accessible contacts which is made worse by growing non participation in polling. Households increasingly don’t pick up the phone when it is from an unknown or unsolicited source. The media also knowing the power of polls to create impressions doesn’t always have an interest in trying to really capture the sentiment of voters but instead make some voters feel like they are so outnumbered that it’s not any use for them to vote. Its massive implementation of peer pressure. A good example of how bad polling can be is the 2014 MD governor’s race where only one pollster got it right with one other pollster within the margin of error.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2014/governor/maryland_governor_race.html
Polls are much like “climate change” models. GIGO.
In today’s world Polling has indeed become tougher.
Polling people with Cell phones are probably not going well as they do not want to tie up the phone doing this, I know I don’t.
So the people they poll that are still using land line phones tend to be older and give the pollsters very skewed results.
Time to retire Nate.