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CRUDE OIL BREAKS $80: GOING DOWN!
Business Insider ^ | 10/27/2014 | Myles Udland

Posted on 10/27/2014 7:49:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

Crude oil just broke $80.

In morning trade on Monday, the price of crude oil fell below $80 a barrel for the first time since mid-2012 as energy prices continue to plummet around the world.

The most recent drop in oil, which has been a bear market since topping out at about $107 during the summer, follows a cut in oil-price expectations from Goldman Sachs' Jeff Currie over the weekend.

Currie took his oil-price forecasts for WTI Crude to $75 a barrel in the first quarter of 2015 and to $70 a barrel in the second quarter of next year.

Longer-term, Currie expects WTI prices to stabilize near $80 a barrel, and Currie said that "uncertainty around the required price to slow down US shale production growth is a key risk to our forecast."

Currie's forecast relies on three key reasons:

* We have greater confidence in the scale and sustainability of US shale oil production. This implies that the global cost curve has shifted lower and that cost deflation is sustainable.

* We forecast that accelerating non-OPEC production growth outside North America will outpace demand growth, leaving the global oil market oversupplied.

* We believe that OPEC will no longer act as the first-mover swing producer and that US shale oil output will be called upon to fill this role.

(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: crudeoil; energy; oil; oilprice
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To: ryan71

I was listening to a guy’s podcast last year and he predicted that an energy boom would temporarily stave off the full-on collapse.


21 posted on 10/27/2014 8:04:11 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: P-Marlowe

“If I owned a well, I’d shut it off.”

Not if you still needed cash flow to pay back loans that funded the whole deal to start with.


22 posted on 10/27/2014 8:04:51 AM PDT by ryan71 (The Partisans)
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To: P-Marlowe
If I owned a well, I’d shut it off.

Really? A "mere" $80/bbl on 100bpd or more?

But if you had leased your minerals to production company, you don't control the well to shut down.

And if you were an oil company, shutting down the well for a duration means you loose the well and it reverts to the mineral owner to lease to someone else.

23 posted on 10/27/2014 8:05:10 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Reasons to love low oil prices:

Stick it to the Saudis who no longer control the oil market.

Pisses off the lib enviromental whackos.

Pay less for gasoline at the pump.


24 posted on 10/27/2014 8:05:30 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: SeekAndFind

well.. mixed feelings.. it will be nice to fill up at the gas station for less..

But the revenue I get from my families oil and gas leases in Texas will also probably go down :(


25 posted on 10/27/2014 8:07:24 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: Signalman
RE: Reasons to love low oil prices:

Stick it to the Saudis who no longer control the oil market.

Vladimir Putin needs oil prices well over $100 a barrel to keep Russia’s version of Big Oil, Rosnoft, profitable.

We are already significantly below that number; and since the Kremlin gets more than half its revenues from oil and gas sales, the current fall in prices in both commodities world-wide spell big trouble for Putin’s big plans for expanding Russia’s military — and for the Russian economy.
26 posted on 10/27/2014 8:07:50 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (If at first you don't succeed, put it out for beta test.)
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To: Signalman
the only problem is ... fracking is expensive.. and if the price continues to fall production will stop to drop as wells are taken off line that are no longer profitable to run.
27 posted on 10/27/2014 8:09:42 AM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
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To: MrB

Mr. B,
I would think diesel would keep better than gasoline, true? And it would be much less dangerous.


28 posted on 10/27/2014 8:10:10 AM PDT by ryan71 (The Partisans)
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To: SeekAndFind

The last time gasoline prices dropped like this was just before the 2008 election.


29 posted on 10/27/2014 8:10:33 AM PDT by Iron Munro (Legacy of 'Obama The Divider': Racial Revenge)
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To: SeekAndFind

Amazing coincidence that gas goes down during a national election. Kinda like unemployment. It is just magical that way, I suppose.


30 posted on 10/27/2014 8:10:34 AM PDT by WKUHilltopper (And yet...we continue to tolerate this crap...)
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To: ryan71

Yes, just get some PRI-D fuel treatment for your containers.


31 posted on 10/27/2014 8:11:08 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: Eric in the Ozarks

I remember when regular gas was 22 cents a gallon and Ethel was 40 cents. 1971.

Then in 1973 the price shot up to 40 cents for regular. Regular was much higher.

Then about 1975 Regular was lower in price than the new Lead Free gas so everyone started buying those plastic gizmos to put on the end of a Regular gas dispenser and make it fit a “unleaded” gas tank inlet.


32 posted on 10/27/2014 8:11:18 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar

Do you also remember the “test tube” catalytic converter replacement?


33 posted on 10/27/2014 8:12:45 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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To: TexasFreeper2009
wells are taken off line that are no longer profitable to run.

Keep in mind, the majority of the cost is spent putting the well into service. It takes far less to run a well than start a well.

34 posted on 10/27/2014 8:13:25 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer.)
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To: Ruy Dias de Bivar

Regular was much higher.==ETHEL was much higher.


35 posted on 10/27/2014 8:14:56 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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To: IMR 4350
Rolling of the eyes. Please put your tinfoil hat on. So uninformed. The break even price of fracking is about $50 - so don't worry too much.
36 posted on 10/27/2014 8:15:11 AM PDT by Dave W
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To: SeekAndFind

Impossible!

Because “Peak Oil” ....


37 posted on 10/27/2014 8:15:56 AM PDT by Uncle Miltie (I'M WITH CRUZ!)
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To: SeekAndFind
* We have greater confidence in the scale and sustainability of US shale oil production. This implies that the global cost curve has shifted lower and that cost deflation is sustainable.

All happening IN SPITE OF the 0bola regime.
Imagine if we had a real President in charge instead of Al Sharpton with a better suit and normal hair.

38 posted on 10/27/2014 8:16:52 AM PDT by YankeeReb
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To: P-Marlowe

Wow...study up on the issue before posting...please.


39 posted on 10/27/2014 8:17:31 AM PDT by Dave W
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To: MrB

I remember the GT Energy Chamber which would save you several gallons per mile. Then I got some additive for the gas which saved me several more miles per gallon. Then I got some metallic pills which when dropped in the gas tank saved me more miles per gallon. Then I got a magnetic alignment kit which aligned gas molecules to burn better and saved me more gallons per mile.

I saved so much gas I had to stop every 25 miles and drain 5 gallons out of the gas tank to keep it from overflowing! ;-D


40 posted on 10/27/2014 8:19:01 AM PDT by Ruy Dias de Bivar
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