You might want to turn on your TV...
Bring Out Your Dead
Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.
The purpose of the Bring Out Your Dead ping list (formerly the Ebola ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.
So far the false positive rate is 100%.
At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the Bring Out Your Dead threads will miss the beginning entirely.
*sigh* Such is life, and death...
The prospects of getting it are low.
You’ll be at greater risk from the flu and drowning in your bathtub than from dying from exposure to ebola.
The things that can kill you - are not what’s hyped in the media.
If you're so sure of that, why don't you go hang out with his neighbors?
First sentence is wrong.
Dangus asserts we need to bathe in ebola victim “bodily fluids” and still have a 50/50 chance of contracting it.
And Sierra Leone is now dealing with this virus that is hard to transmit by basically saying to its people go die at home.
How long has it been. We’re told it can take up to three weeks for symptoms to appear. It’s been what? Two weeks? Give it one more week and then we’ll know whether or not we’re being played.
Ebola, the October Surprise.
Hate to burst your rosy bubble, but:
Texas healthcare worker tests positive for Ebola
And if that weren't enough, CYØ is already in high gear:
A top federal health official says the Ebola diagnosis in a health care worker who treated Thomas Eric Duncan at a Texas hospital shows there was a clear breach of safety protocol.
Dr. Tom Frieden, head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, says the worker had treated Duncan multiple times after the Liberian man was diagnosed.
Frieden tells CBS' Face the Nation that all those who treated Duncan are now considered to be potentially exposed. Frieden couldn't give an exact number.
Informative graphics coverage as well ...
And that was just one. I am sure there are plenty more on the way.
I have friends and family in Dallas who are so complacent, it’s scary! (P)the way in which this healthcare worker got the virus is probably the same way Nancy Sniderman’s camera man got it. Both wore hazmat suits.
We don't know that he did that in the apartment. We also know Jallah ("stepdaughter") disinfected and also told the ambulance workers to go back and get their gloves and masks.
“You know, and we all will probably die with something sooner or later.”
Joselyn Elders, Sergeon General
“What difference does it make?”
Hillary Clinton, Secretary of State
conservatively, I think Ebola is up between 3.0 and 4.0 spread per infection cycle.
That means every two weeks or so, the number infected will rise by a factor of three:
1
3
9
27
81
243 [Christmas]
729
2,187
6,561
19,683
59,049
177,147 [Easter]
531,441
1,594,323
4,782,969
14,348,907
43,046,721
129,140,163 [4th of July]
387,420,489 [More than American’s population]
Latest case is health care worker in Dallas, who treated Duncan and they say was wearing full protective gear - obviously not as difficult to catch as they are telling us.
What I can't find the answer to (and I did look) is if the polio virus is more "robust" outside the body. Does anyone know?
The reason I ask is that being old enough to recall the times before a polio vaccine there were in the neighborhood of 500k cases a year worldwide.
When you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs ... perhaps you have misread the situation.
I retired this year after working for 25 years for a fire department in the second largest city in our state. I was on the hazmat team for many years. I agree with you... if Ebola gets to be a major problem in this country it will most likely have little to do with the characteristics of its lethality and transmission. If Ebola gets out of hand in the United States it will most likely be because of extreme incompetence of government agencies, political leadership and medical facilities. Unfortunately, most government agencies, most politicians, and many of those working in medical facilities are extremely incompetent.
In the meantime Cancer will continue to kill over 8,000,000 people per year. HIV will continue to kill approximately 1,700,000 people a year. Tuberculosis will continue to kill well over 1,200,000 people a year. Hepatitis will continue to kill over 1,000,000 people per year. Malaria which we had almost eradicated before DDT was banned... will continue to kill over 500,000 people a year.
Ebola will probably kill at least 10,000 people this year, and maybe 30,000 - 40,000 next year. Because of lax border control I would expect at least a few hundred cases in the USA. But unless some unlikely doomsday scenario develops Ebola will probably not become a problem that is anywhere near as devastating as the diseases mentioned in the previous paragraph.
It is a reminder however that taking common sense precautions such as getting enough sleep, washing your hands frequently, and not shaking other people’s hands when you are sick (unless you don’t like them) are always a good ideas. If you do end up with Ebola symptoms despite these precautions do the rest of us a favor... make sure and attend some left wing political rallies and slobber all over the other attendees... ;)