Why Democrats may keep the Senate

New York Post ^ | 10/08/2104 | John Podhoretz

[SeekAndFind]

[SNIP}

So why aren’t Republicans sitting pretty? The answer, I think, is far more technical than ideological. Democrats are vastly superior when it comes to the mechanics of American politics, and have been for nearly a decade, while the GOP’s technical skills have withered since 2004.

President George W. Bush was re-elected in ’04 with a vote total 22 percent larger than in 2000, in part because the GOP harnessed the power of volunteers to get out the vote block by block in key states.

Democrats, who’d begun to master the use of the Internet as an organizing tool in 2003 and 2004, saw what the Bush campaign did and realized they could duplicate those efforts and then blow them out of the water using then-nascent social-media and mapping techniques.

These began to bear fruit in 2006, were crucial to the Obama 2008 primary victory and subsequent landslide — and made all the difference in 2012.

The great triumph of Obama’s re-election was his campaign’s success at turning out so-called “unenthusiastic voters” — people who would, if pressed, pull the lever for the guy but who were unmotivated to do so.

If Democrats do better in 2014 than the fundamentals suggest, it’ll be because they’ve been able to bring these techniques to bear on the midterm electorate, which has always been significantly smaller and far more engaged than the presidential electorate.

But why couldn’t the Democrats press their technical advantage in 2010, when Republicans won 63 seats in the House and nearly 700 down-ticket races across the country?

The answer: Technique doesn’t mean everything. When the electorate wants to send a message to Washington in no uncertain terms, as it did after Obama’s legislative overreach in 2009 and 2010, the message will be sent.

[Political Junkie Too]

the Dem vote in this country is highly concentrated in dense urban areas. Many of the precincts in these areas have few, if any Republicans, and there is little or no bipartisan oversight supervising the voting in these precincts. And of course lax or no voter ID laws in most of the blue states.

In addition most of the big cities are run by Democrat political machines which work hand in glove with unions getting the vote out and with so little GOP representation in most of our inner cities, there are endless opportunities for cheating and fraud in these one-party strongholds.

2012 voting differentials.

-PJ

[CSM]

It is even more simple than this article suggests. Quite frankly, the R’s are more apt to actively fight against their base, than they are to act in opposition to the marxists. The R’s pee’d all over the Tea Party, who gve them the House in 2010, and they have been deriding the TP ever since.

You don’t crap where you eat.....Unless you don’t WANT to win a majority and are simply happy with the status quo and maintaining power.

[sarge83]

What platform? We are not obama/democrats, vote for us? Or we suck less?

Lets see the GOPE/Republican track record is atrocious and yet they pull out the same old loser playbook and off they go.

I found it interesting in another thread yesterday one of the FR “conservative” GOPE apologist was calling everyone who wasn’t all rah-rah for the Republicans losers and purist. Really you want to stick with the losers put down? We have ran conservatives in 1924 and won big, in 1980 and 1984 and won big.

We brought you 1994 and 2010, our only loss was Goldwater in 1964 and the Republicans were most certainly not following Reagan’s 11th commandment then, just ask Romney about what his father thought of Goldwater, or the Rockefeller and how they supported the sacred Party nominee. To be honest no Republican was going to win that year because of the JFK assassination the previous year.

The Losers are the GOPE, they have a copyright on that term.

[sarge83]

Not to worry the Chamber of Communist Commerce will shell out to pay, who I am quite sure will be “enthusiastic” volunteers to get out the vote.

Perhaps the triple CCC/GOPE could get some of their hiding in the shadows illegal immigrants to do the leg work.

[itsahoot]

When you refuse to fight back or in any way defend yourself, people believe your opponents’ lies.

'Truth is stranger than fiction, but it is because Fiction is obliged to stick to possibilities; Truth isn't.' Mark Twain -

[itsahoot]

The GOP offers no message, no vision, no plan on what they would do with power, if given power.

Bingo!

[itsahoot]

The GOP-E stopped seeing that kind of "citizen grass roots" enthusiasm when they first nominated Juan McCain in 2008 ...

You forget Bob Dole?

[fortheDeclaration]

Americans are going to send a message to DC on Nov.4th DESPITE the GOP.

[tennmountainman]

With Bonehead as Speaker of the House and McConnell as majority
leader?

Get real.

[Patton@Bastogne]

[hawkaw]

OMG. Calm down.

[Dave W]

You must have that post on a magical paste button since you post it so much. However, multiple studies have shown that the major motivating force to a voter is a negative vote - to vote against someone is much more powerful and motivating than to vote for someone or some ideal or principle.

That is why negative ads are so prevalent and effective. They work!

[Dave W]

Remember Harry Reid.

[tennmountainman]

I talk about it as much as I like.
It is true tha negative ads are run all the time.
However, that is only part of the equation.

[YankeeReb]

Yup, 0bama and the regime have everything well in hand.