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High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate
Reuters ^ | October 5, 2014 | By Kate Kelland

Posted on 10/05/2014 8:43:35 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer

Scientists have used Ebola disease spread patterns and airline traffic data to predict a 75 percent chance the virus could be imported to France by October 24, and a 50 percent chance it could hit Britain by that date.

Those numbers are based on air traffic remaining at full capacity. Assuming an 80 percent reduction in travel to reflect that many airlines are halting flights to affected regions, France's risk is still 25 percent, and Britain's is 15 percent.

"It's really a lottery," said Derek Gatherer of Britain's Lancaster University, an expert in viruses who has been tracking the epidemic - the worst Ebola outbreak in history.

"If this thing continues to rage on in West Africa and indeed gets worse, as some people have predicted, then it's only a matter of time before one of these cases ends up on a plane to Europe," said Gatherer.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; United Kingdom
KEYWORDS: ebola; ebolaoutbreak; ebolatransmission; france; uk
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1 posted on 10/05/2014 8:43:35 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

This is possibly a form of C.B.R. A little early to tell but certainly not out of the question.


2 posted on 10/05/2014 8:45:21 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Multiculturalism is fun.


3 posted on 10/05/2014 8:45:30 AM PDT by Telepathic Intruder (The only thing the Left has learned from the failures of socialism is not to call it that)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Considering that west Africans are already transiting through both countries, it's there now. Restrict Travel from West Africa..!

😷

4 posted on 10/05/2014 8:48:04 AM PDT by cardinal4 (Certified Islamophobe..)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

instead of the word “calculate” it should read “planned”....why else would educated western countries permit any travel from those countries....


5 posted on 10/05/2014 8:50:17 AM PDT by cherry
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To: Don Corleone

New acronym. What is C.B.R, please?

Also brings to mind the daily flights from Monrovia to Brussels — are these people held in airport for connecting flights ONLY — or allowed into Belgium proper?


6 posted on 10/05/2014 8:51:15 AM PDT by bunster
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To: null and void

Ping.


7 posted on 10/05/2014 8:57:06 AM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
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To: bunster

CBR= Chemical, Biological and Radiological warfare. Its the worst kind and can incapacitate whole cities, killing the weak and elderly while leaving the remainder too pooped to defend themselves. Imagine a whole city the size of New York exhibiting the symptoms of Ebola, not having the actual disease, just vomiting, lethargic, and weakened to the point that they could not care for themselves for a week or so. We have chemicals that can do that on a massive scale. It is unrealistic not to think that others have them too. Its really not rocket science in this case.


8 posted on 10/05/2014 9:02:20 AM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

WAIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Is our ‘glorious leader’ wrong again?

Did he not say (in his best A E Neuman pose)

“WHAT? Me Worry”?

Didn’t a Judge in TX ride in a car to take people supposedly exposed to a NEW HOME? (And what do we have for the _____ family JOHNNY? a NEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEW HOME Bob)

If this ‘family’ is safe enough to expose them to a ‘gated community’ why didn’t the Judge, Drs or Pols just let them move into their own homes? (I know, ridiculous BUT you say they are safe enough to be moved next door to “ME”)

Like it has been said many times, Put the halfway houses in the same block as Judges, Police Chiefs or Mayors PRIVATE homes and you will see a sudden ‘change’ in the procedures.

AND they will always use the ‘excuse’ “I don’t care about me, but why should I have to put ‘my family’ at risk?”

Of course, it doesn’t matter that OUR families are being affected with these decisions.


9 posted on 10/05/2014 9:04:59 AM PDT by xrmusn ((6/98) Close your eyes. Think of a place where your opinion may matter. GO THERE.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

The article’s study link doesn’t work. Use www.mobs-labs.org .


10 posted on 10/05/2014 9:05:51 AM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "we still do not know exactly how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: xrmusn

Bet the nice gated community was putting for sale signs out the minute they found out.


11 posted on 10/05/2014 9:10:49 AM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "we still do not know exactly how people are infected with Ebola")
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To: Oldeconomybuyer; neverdem; ProtectOurFreedom; Mother Abigail; EBH; vetvetdoug; Smokin' Joe; ...
Bring Out Your Dead

Post to me or FReep mail to be on/off the Bring Out Your Dead ping list.

The purpose of the “Bring Out Your Dead” ping list (formerly the “Ebola” ping list) is very early warning of emerging pandemics, as such it has a high false positive rate.

So far the false positive rate is 100%.

At some point we may well have a high mortality pandemic, and likely as not the “Bring Out Your Dead” threads will miss the beginning entirely.

*sigh* Such is life, and death...

12 posted on 10/05/2014 9:13:15 AM PDT by null and void (If the wage gap were real, American companies would be hiring millions of women to save a buck)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

13 posted on 10/05/2014 9:13:46 AM PDT by jiggyboy
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

one is a tragedy
100,000 IS STATISTICS


14 posted on 10/05/2014 9:18:01 AM PDT by traumer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

What would Bones say about this situation?


15 posted on 10/05/2014 9:40:46 AM PDT by Jack Hydrazine (Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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To: bgill

Bet the nice gated community was putting for sale signs out the minute they found out
= = = = = = = = = = = = = = =
Crazy as ‘we’ have gotten, there will probably be court orders HALTING sale and the attempted sellers will be forced to ‘donate’ to the family because of the possibility they may have ‘hurt the families feelings’.

I am still trying to figure out why the DOJ can/will intervene because I don’t want to put two men or women or worse on top of a wedding cake YET a Credit Card Company/Bank can refuse to do business with Gun Dealers or Sellers?????? (Not really— I definitely know the reason).


16 posted on 10/05/2014 10:37:35 AM PDT by xrmusn ((6/98) Close your eyes. Think of a place where your opinion may matter. GO THERE.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

HIV and EBOLA: How Political Correctness Will Get You Killed!
The ongoing – and expanding –Ebola situation and how it’s being handled (or, more accurately, NOT being handled) has a parallel with the HIV panic of a number of years ago.
It may ALSO be another manifestation of the schizophrenic nature of the hard leftists who unfortunately sit at the levers of power in this country and whose double-mindedness should now be clear to all but the dullest among us.
Allow me to explain.
A San Francisco (where else?) based and HIV infected “leader”of the homosexual community began a serious campaign encouraging fellow HIV carriers to attempt to bypass or defeat the donor screening process and actively donate into the national blood supply. When pressed as to his justification for jeopardizing the entire nation, he declared that if HIV spread out into the “straight” community, it would almost certainly catalyze and accelerate the search for a vaccine.
Am I the only “conspiracy buff” to see the similarities between that and what’s going on today vis-a-vis Ebola?
I hadn’t thought about this angle until I heard Rush recently ranting about some author who’d written that because Liberia was founded by former slaves who returned to Africa, it was our unfortunate institution of slavery that is directly responsible for Ebola in the western nations of Africa. (Please note that I stop FAR short of the recent utterances of Calypso Louie Farrakan who claims that Ebola was created by evil white men to kill blacks!)
But I digress. That reasoning that America is responsible for Ebola – if it can be called “reasoning” – holds that it is America’s place to come to their rescue with a “cure”. And how better to “catalyze and accelerate” that process than to INFECT as many native born Americans HERE with the disease as possible?
Now here’s where the schizophrenia comes into the picture:
There is a growing group of folks who believe that the earth cannot support the current population approaching 7.3 billion. The bulk of them are in the same leftist camp as those now directing the present halfhearted “effort” against Ebola. Many of them are one and the SAME people directing the Ebola thing! The most radical of them embrace the words of a speaker at an early green movement/save-the-earth rally in California. Odd coincidence that, aye? He declared that “Man is the ultimate DISEASE of nature.” He got a standing O for that line!
From that meeting and others still being conducted, the greenies now believe that the 7.3 billion MUST be reduced to around 1 billion or less. And which members of which nations, ethnic groups or races are “eliminated” is irrelevant – so long as THEY are excluded!
Scriptures informs us that “A double-minded man is unstable in all his ways.” The writer must have known a fair number of the leftists of his day.
Back to my question.
If, on one hand, the leftists are sincere in their effort to SAVE THE EARTH from overpopulation, why would they attempt to save the victims of Ebola and allow them to come here?
Could it be that allowing them to come here with the disease (and sending 3,000 potential military carriers THERE to bring it back with them) while portraying these actions to the noinfo masses as the compassionate thing to do is part of the same scheme attempted earlier by the HIV crowd?
I suggest that we prepare ourselves for the spread of the this 60% to 90% fatal disease among the population of this nation. (This may have been the reason for the Homeland Security “drills” about some “zombie apocalypse”.) This IS, after all, the same America that is hated by Obama and the One World leftists now in control here as the source of every evil committed in the rest of the world and for which evils it must be properly punished?
Do I really think these miscreants – living in their sanitized and safe gated “compounds” — would do that?
After witnessing 6 years of this gang’s criminal behavior, I absolutely think that!


17 posted on 10/05/2014 11:00:53 AM PDT by Dick Bachert (When injustice becomes law, resistance becomes duty. ~ Thomas Jefferson)
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To: 2ndreconmarine; Fitzcarraldo; Covenantor; Mother Abigail; EBH; Dog Gone; ...
Ping…

A link to this thread has been posted on the Ebola Surveillance Thread

18 posted on 10/05/2014 2:09:31 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: bgill
Bet the nice gated community was putting for sale signs out the minute they found out.

Yeah, there goes the neighborhood. "White flight" and all that...

19 posted on 10/05/2014 2:11:03 PM PDT by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing.)
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To: bgill
Bet the nice gated community was putting for sale signs out the minute they found out.

I'm surprised some enterprising reporter hasn't gotten the address and released it by 6 o'clock last night.

This HOA and the property values in it just went to near zero. The owner may as well bulldoze or torch the house for the insurance as it will never sell.

On the other hand, it might make nice Section 8 digs for some other lucky illegal alien family, courtesy of the taxpayers, after the government takes it over in foreclosure. They can get the rest of the properties for nothing as well - and especially if one of these illegal aliens gets sick.

America! The land of opportunity!!

20 posted on 10/05/2014 2:25:46 PM PDT by Gritty (Obama wants to wage war by measuring it out in teaspoons - Ralph Peters)
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