Posted on 10/05/2014 1:29:25 AM PDT by Din Maker
Shocker: The GOP candidate in SD Senate race is only polling at 35% in a four man race.
It has been a "given" that SD, along with WV and MT, was "in the bag" for the GOP so, I have not followed the SD Senate Race. I had to do a Google Search to find out which dude in the poll was the Pubbie and which one was the Dem. Come to find out, there is a former GOP Senator, Larry Pressler, running as an Independent(24%) and another guy, Gordon Howie (another former GOP office holder) running as a Conservative Independent (8%) and the Dem (28%) if my memory serves me correctly. Now, if either Pressler or Howie drop out or start falling in the polls, who will reap their votes; the Pubbie or the Dem? Who knows?
I do know this: The GOP candidate, Mike Rounds has an unfavorable rating of 51%. If the GOP messes around and loses SD.... Turn out the lights, the party's over.
Direct link to the article, about this SD race, posted here on Free Republic a few days ago with comments from FReepers. I missed it, so, I know some of you did also.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3211309/posts
Governor Rounds is a solid prolife conservative. He is getting trashed by 3 opponents but still leads the polls. He only needs a plurality to win.
—and Weiland ( the Dem) is flooding the local TV with snickering ads about the EB scandal while Rounds campaign stuff is mediocre-—
Three republicans splitting the vote, against one democrat - why does that sound like a plan. I wonder whether the two extra republicans are being paid generously for their betrayal, or are they just being played by a plant with flattering words?
See this would never happen in the Rat party. Because the two spoilers would be told their lives would be a living hell from then on....
Georgia is also an unrecognized threat.
Romney won the state by 8%.
But the Republican Senate candidate is only polling with a 3%-4% lead.
If the Democrats figure out how to get their Black voters to the polls in an off year election, they could win this election.
Georgia is a Republican Senate seat.
A loss there means we need to win 8 Democrat seats to gain the majority.
The Democrats have a different plan for practically every seat out there:
1.Drop out in Kansas, support the “independent”
2.Talk up third-party and independent candidates, as in South Dakota, but also Libertarians in Georgia, North Carolina and Virginia
3.The Air War - Irradiate our candidates, call them extremists, play the race card, and the “war on women” in advertising. Out-spend us big-time.
4.The Ground War - Get out the vote (which tactic the eRepublicans adopted in the Mississippi run-off)
The Democrats’ big advantage is that they are focused and united so that, even though we’re fighting these battles on our ground (half Red States and half Purple States), they still have a plan to maintain control of the Senate.
IN SPITE OF THIS
We’re well ahead in SD (don’t believe the PPP poll), as well as KY, MT and WV, and maybe AK. We’re slightly ahead in AR, CO, GA, IA and LA (run-off).
Considering KS as lost, this is +7 and control of the Senate (52 seats).
BUT we can and should win KS and NC (54 seats). PLUS, we have good momentum in NH, all up and down the ticket.
As to whether we will win every place we’re currently ahead, or whether they will win every place they’re currently ahead, there’s no telling. The odds may favor us, but nothing’s automatic.
Why are Republicans so stupid? Bill Clinton would not have been President had it not been for Ross Perot. The Left gains their power from the division of the Right.
libertarians always work well with the left when it comes to elections. What libertaraisn do is to keep shouting about less Govt bla bla but are getting backing from the Dems to bring defeat to the republicans while the rats sit in the background knowing if their libertarian pal gets elected then it helps their social change
the left will always support the liberaltarians as they know liberaltarians will push their social far left wing change if elected
Similar in North Carolina. While Tillis is a weaker than expected candidate, the libertarian is pulling in a solid 7 points in every poll. Allowing Hagan go maintain 3-4 point lead while only taking 44-45% of vote. Dens have figured out how to win in red states. Split the right-center vote and win with less than a majority.
Maybe Bush should have dropped out since he polled so badly, and let the voters shift to Perot. Assuming, like people do, that the voters will always shift to their candidate.
How about candidates that can clearly state their positions and communicate it in such a way that resonates with people. The Republicans are more prone to slamming their own people, but when it comes to taking on a Democrat they act like they are dancing on eggshells.
Voting for a RINO isn't much different than voting for a Dem.
Stack the election with willing candidates to split the opposition vote, and then have your own people count the ballots (dishonestly, of course), and call in specialist lawyers if you fall short of fraudulent ballots, so you can stuff more in the ballot boxes; the Democrats know how to win elections.
Yep. Here in NH the Dems tried to get a Independent on the US Senate race ballot but failed. You know the Indie plant would have been staking positions to the hard right (even though funded by hard left), which accomplishes two things: Peels off some right-leaning votes. But makes the GOP candidate tack more to the right than needed in a general and lose women, moderates and soft Dems who otherwise would be unhappy with the Obama Democrat puppet.
After Mississippi, the GOP does not DESERVE to win the Senate.
Luckily it’s a three man race.
“Why are Republicans so stupid? Bill Clinton would not have been President had it not been for Ross Perot. The Left gains their power from the division of the Right.”
Reading what you write a reader could conclude that republicans caused Ross Perot to run. I’m pretty sure you didn’t mean it that way. ???
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