Posted on 04/22/2014 10:29:44 AM PDT by blam
Get Ready For One Of The Worst El Niños Ever
Eric Holthaus
April 22, 2014, 11:52 AM
With apologies to Game of Thrones fans, there’s a new climate menace on the prowl: El Niño is coming.
New data released late last week added to the mounting evidence.
To be declared an official El Niño, surface water temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean must warm by half a degree Celsius averaged over three months and maintain that level for five consecutive three-month periods. That’s an arbitrary definition, sure, but it gives us the ability to crunch the numbers on weather patterns that tend to associate with El Niños on a global scale.
Statistically, this time of year has the least predictability at any time all year. But peering below the ocean’s surface, water temperatures are already off-the-charts-hot. If that warm water makes it to the surface, the planet could be in line for one of the most intense El Niños ever recorded.
That would be enough to shift weather patterns worldwide and make the next couple of years among the hottest we’ve ever known. Earlier this month I wrote that taking into account current forecasts, El Niño could be the biggest global weather story of 2014. The new data shows that forecast is still on track. And that means El Niño could officially begin in a matter of weeks.
Recently people have been tweeting me questions like: “Will El Niño destroy my family’s avocado plantation in Sweden?” or “Will El Niño finally banish the Eye of Sauron from the drought-stricken Mordor formerly known as Sacramento?”
While the answer to both of those questions is a qualified no, there are some parts of the world that have a relatively predictable weather signal when El Niño rolls around.
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(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
I’m ready. I’ve just “battened down” the hatches.
Well, batten them down again. We'll teach those hatches!!
Perpetual “State of Fear”
Brush it off...just like new ice age in the (70’s), global warming (90’s), Climate change (2000’s).
“This will be a more active than usual hurricane season”....NOT! They’ve predicted this for the last three years....and they were not just wrong, they were way off.
This just so happens to have been the slowest tornado season this year.
Sweeeeeet!
Sorry for the coastal folks but in AZ we love us some El Nino, we get mild wet summers from it.
Does this give weather geeks a woody?
COOL I am for it here in Cali Blam LOL!
No such thing as El Nino - it’s global warming/climate change. /sarc
My fault.
Well, global temps could rise again, providing “I told you so” cover for the CAGW alarmist Watermelons.
My main concern is how this is going to affect the whale oil futures I just bought last week...
Perpetual “State of Fear”
The last time we had a serious bird flu scare in this country I didn’t find out about it until it was over. I saw a couple of headlines but just assumed they were talking about asia.
And my life was better for it.
My main concern is how this is going to affect the whale oil futures I just bought last week...
Just this morning, in another post on FR, Jeffrey Folkes from American Thinker said there's not going to be a summer and things will be miserably cold...
I am concerned as well I just invested in a company that is planing on building a new whale oil pipe line.
Weather patterns do not INCREASE heat around the globe. It shifts it. If Seattle is hot, Munich will be cold, or whatever.
Heat - ENERGY - comes from the sun.
Drought areas get more rain. Seattle and Portland gets less, which if you know the weather in Seattle and Portland, this would be an improvement. Oh, and fewer hurricanes in the Gulf.
Finally, the global warming people are going to get some warm temperatures like they’re always hoping for. I guess they’re happy about this news.
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