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GOP poll shows McConnell up big over Bevin
The Hill ^ | 3/10/14 | By Alexandra Jaffe

Posted on 03/19/2014 6:48:50 AM PDT by ChildOfThe60s

Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has a nearly 40-point lead over his primary challenger, Matt Bevin, in a new Republican survey of the Kentucky Senate GOP primary.

The survey, conducted by Public Opinion Strategies for the pro-McConnell group Kentuckians for Strong Leadership, gives McConnell 61 percent support to Bevin’s 23 percent support.

That’s an increase in support from an early-February independent survey of the race, which showed McConnell ahead by only 26 points. But it’s actually a decrease from the last GOP survey of the race, conducted by Wenzel Strategies at the start of February, which gave him a 42-point lead.

It’s likely McConnell’s primary lead is somewhere between those two numbers — significant double-digits, still a favorable position just over two months out from Election Day.

The polling memo also notes McConnell maintains a 33-point lead over Bevin even among voters who say they’ve heard of the GOP challenger, an indication that, even if Bevin manages to increase his profile in the state, he’ll find it difficult to break ahead.

McConnell's persistently high unpopularity has given Democrats reason to believe he's one of the GOP's most vulnerable senators this cycle, but the new survey gives McConnell a surprisingly high approval rating among GOP primary voters, with 67 percent approving of his job performance, while just 25 percent view him unfavorably.

Bevin, in contrast, is seen favorably by just 21 percent of primary voters and unfavorably by 15 percent.

McConnell has sparked the ire of conservatives throughout his career but that frustration ran particularly high last month, when he was one of a handful of Republican senators to vote to raise the debt limit.

The fallout from the move was on display last week when McConnell received a lukewarm reception from activists at the Conservative Political Action Conference just outside of Washington, D.C.

But this survey, which was conducted Feb, 24-26, about 10 days after the vote, seems to indicate he still retains some good will with Republicans.

The survey was conducted among 400 likely Republican primary voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.

McConnell is favored in his primary, and expected to encounter Democrat Alison Lundergan Grimes in the general election in Kentucky.


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Kentucky
KEYWORDS: bevin; kentucky; lundergangrimes; mattbevin; mcconnell; mitchmcconnell
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To: Zenjitsuman

I agree. Tt would tell the gop they need the conservative base to win and that the liberals will never vote for them no matter what.


61 posted on 03/19/2014 10:15:26 AM PDT by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: Mr. K; TADSLOS; deport; Theodore R.

Cornball did NOT score easily in Tx. He did not even get 60% of the vote.

For an incumbant, that is terrible.......and that was with only 10% of eligible voters...Cornyn only got 59.44% of the vote with the remainder split amongst seven hopefuls with one getting 19.33% and another 10.71%.

**********

Thank you, thank you, thank you.


62 posted on 03/19/2014 10:45:19 AM PDT by Jane Long (While Marxists continue the fundamental transformation of the USA, progressive RINOs assist!)
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To: SomeCallMeTim

I disagree. McCornyn has been put on notice.


63 posted on 03/19/2014 10:46:23 AM PDT by Jane Long (While Marxists continue the fundamental transformation of the USA, progressive RINOs assist!)
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To: Jane Long
McCornyn has been put on notice.

On notice?? LOL!

Might as well put him on "double secret probation".

He's SENATOR now... for 6 more years. He won't care at all what the people of Texas think for the next 5.5 years.

64 posted on 03/19/2014 10:57:06 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Oh crap!!!


65 posted on 03/19/2014 11:56:32 AM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: ChildOfThe60s

Don’t give up; anything can happen between now and the Primary in May.


66 posted on 03/19/2014 12:02:24 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: peeps36; All
This can work both ways. The Liberal Pubbies could get over confident and not bother to vote in the numbers they normally would. Like I said in an earlier thread: Anything can happen between now and the Primary Election Day in May. You just never know. Don't give up hope completely.
BTW, can someone tell me: Are the "Ditch Mitch" signs still up in KY?
67 posted on 03/19/2014 12:09:03 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: SomeCallMeTim; Linda Frances
But, during the 2008 crisis, he told investors in a letter that the TARP bailout was
an "effective policy". I'm not sure those two positions are entirely contraindicative...
Wasn't Bevin a Sr. employee (an board member?) ...
of the firm and HAD to sign the certified documents?

68 posted on 03/19/2014 12:12:47 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi)
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To: Georgia Girl 2; All

Well it looks like Mitchie may get to be majority leader.
_____________________________________________________________

Not necessarily. I’ve been beating around the bush and saying: “Don’t give up; anything can happen before the GOP Primary Election Day.” But, I’ll just come right out and say it. It sounds terrible to say this, but, old codgers like Mitch McConnell, Pat Roberts and Thad Cochran could have a stroke and be in a wheel chair and adult diapers drooling by the time their Primary rolls around. Or, they could go on home to that big Senate Cloak Room in the sky. Their Primary opponents will just need to practice looking sad upon receiving the news.
(No, I don’t feel bad about saying that!)


69 posted on 03/19/2014 12:27:39 PM PDT by Din Maker (Rand Paul, Rick Perry endorse Mitch McConnell over Bevin. Neither will ever get my vote in 2016.)
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To: Din Maker
well, with "the *itch" sleeping around, stroke city is not impossible
and in KY, We have a 'Rat governor & House of Representatives.

70 posted on 03/19/2014 12:35:29 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi)
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To: skinkinthegrass
Wasn't Bevin a Sr. employee (an board member?) ... of the firm and HAD to sign the certified documents?

Yes... but that's harder to say in a 30 second commercial. Anyway... some things might be good for a specific group of investors, and still be bad for the country and/or against what YOU would do if given an option.

71 posted on 03/19/2014 12:58:48 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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To: Din Maker
Don’t give up; anything can happen between now and the Primary in May.

No question.... People still don't really know much about Bevin. Despite all the ads in the air, people are NOT focusing on the election yet.

Turnout is likely to be puny in this election too. So, a concerted Get Out the Vote effort could make a difference. I'll be helping with that.

72 posted on 03/19/2014 1:02:13 PM PDT by SomeCallMeTim ( The best minds are not in government. If any were, business would hire them!)
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To: SomeCallMeTim; All
yeah..and since, Matt's campaign is somewhat "under
financed" makes it very difficult to go statewide.

perhaps he'll (MM) just croak and save the state the embarrassment
won't matter though; even in death, he'd still vote 'rat..either way, KY loses.

73 posted on 03/19/2014 4:20:58 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi)
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To: Old Retired Army Guy
that means Crews will get appointed to the “Sanitation Committee”

Crews? Really? You know what Old RAG.......nevermind. Carry on 'soldier'.

74 posted on 03/19/2014 11:08:22 PM PDT by houeto (We intend to liberate Democrats from the dreaded Job-Lock this November!)
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