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The Numbers That Scare Senate Democrats
Wall Street Journal ^ | February 6, 2014 | Karl Rove

Posted on 02/08/2014 10:12:38 PM PST by neverdem

Voting with Obama 97% of the time is going to end some careers.

Three sets of numbers have emerged in recent weeks that bode ill for Democratic hopes to keep the U.S. Senate. The first came from new Federal Election Commission filings and news reports on campaign fundraising for the fourth quarter of 2013, and cash-on-hand on Dec. 31.

Seven states carried by Mitt Romney have Democratic senators whose seats are up in November. Overall in these states, the leading Republican candidates raised $6.5 million while their Democratic opponents—including four incumbents—raised $6.7 million during the last quarter. Five Republicans outraised their Democratic opponents, including in all three states (Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia) where the Democratic senators are leaving and in two of the four states (Alaska, Arkansas, Louisiana and North Carolina) where Democratic incumbents are trying to hold on.

Republicans also whittled away at the Democratic cash-on-hand advantage in these states. Democrats had an $18.5 million to $11.5 million cash advantage at the end of September. By the end of December, Democrats had roughly $21 million, Republicans $15.5 million.

The second troubling number for Democrats is Gallup's presidential job-approval rating, which was 42% the week ending last Sunday. The president's average approval in these seven Senate states is roughly 36%. If that's the case on Election Day, he will likely sink his party's candidates, who probably cannot run more than five points ahead of Mr. Obama's rating.

Then there is the nonpartisan Congressional Quarterly's summary of last year's legislative voting patterns. The four red state Democratic senators running for re-election gave Mr. Obama's policies almost perfect support, led by Louisiana's Mary Landrieu and Alaska's Mark Begich at 97%, followed by North Carolina's Kay Hagan at 96% and Arkansas's Mike Pryor at 90%...

(Excerpt) Read more at rove.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: 2014election; demsobamacare; obama; senate2014election
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1 posted on 02/08/2014 10:12:40 PM PST by neverdem
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To: neverdem
Swell. I guess we're really doomed this time....
2 posted on 02/08/2014 10:16:27 PM PST by Cyber Liberty (H.L. Mencken: "The urge to save humanity is almost always a false front for the urge to rule.")
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To: neverdem

Hey, that’s great, Karl!

Now President Romney will have a Republican Senate to work with!


3 posted on 02/08/2014 10:21:02 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: Cyber Liberty

No sweat. The stupid party will figure out how to piss it away.


4 posted on 02/08/2014 10:22:30 PM PST by glock rocks (If you like your health plan, you're a racist !)
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To: neverdem
More advice from the Rover?


5 posted on 02/08/2014 10:23:08 PM PST by Slyfox (We want our pre-existing HEALTH INSURANCE back!)
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To: smoothsailing

Well, I am crossing my fingers and hoping its true (what OTHER choice do we have). The probability is, of course, that Republican senators in the majority wit out-RINO each other, thinking that that is their best path to the presidency.


6 posted on 02/08/2014 10:25:51 PM PST by fhayek
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To: Slyfox
More advice from the Rover?

No, just analysis, he's pretty good at that.

7 posted on 02/08/2014 10:29:17 PM PST by neverdem (Register pressure cookers! /s)
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To: neverdem

And Karl my boy, it’s even better than you describe because not only are we going to rout the RATs, we’re going to “off” some of the RINOs as well.


8 posted on 02/08/2014 10:47:47 PM PST by vette6387
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To: neverdem

Hagan gonna lose! Hagan gonna lose! I CAN’T WAIT.


9 posted on 02/08/2014 10:53:09 PM PST by JSDude1 (Defeat Hagan, elect a Constutional Conservative: Dr. Greg Brannon!)
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To: neverdem

Lmao. For a sec I thought the 97% was Republicans.


10 posted on 02/08/2014 10:55:13 PM PST by enduserindy (A painted trash can is still a trash can.)
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To: neverdem

I am starting to get worried if Karl Rove, a known loser, says we are going to win.


11 posted on 02/08/2014 11:01:27 PM PST by The_Media_never_lie (The media must be defeated any way it can be done.)
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To: neverdem

Now we’ll just have to wait, IF the GOP is going to take over the Senate, that they will undo the crap Obama has created or if they will just act as if nothing has happened and try to reach across the aisle so as not to piss off the MSM.


12 posted on 02/08/2014 11:03:07 PM PST by 353FMG
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To: neverdem

He’s trying to assure the big donors that the Party doesn’t need the help of the Tea Party groups. They forget how he threw away some $300 million in 2012 and convinced his candidate to go easy on the President.


13 posted on 02/08/2014 11:23:50 PM PST by RobbyS (quotes)
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To: neverdem

You are brave to post something Rove wrote here given the extreme level of disdain in which he’s held. I think some freepers practically like Harry Reid better than Rove.


14 posted on 02/08/2014 11:24:50 PM PST by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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To: 353FMG

If McConnell wins re-election, he will do this just to throw mud in the face of the more militant conservatives.


15 posted on 02/08/2014 11:25:31 PM PST by RobbyS (quotes)
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To: The_Media_never_lie

This is like listening to the advise of Jerry Jones about how to build a winning football team.


16 posted on 02/08/2014 11:26:48 PM PST by RobbyS (quotes)
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To: neverdem

Forget all the other numbers, they’re irrelevant.

ObamaCare, and all its unintended consequences, is single-handedly killing the Democrats right now, and will continue to do so until November - and there’s no way Big Media can cover that fact.

Once Congress is fully back in Republican hands, Obama is in a box. With at least a few competents in the House and Senate (Cruz, Rand, etc.), the real fun begins.


17 posted on 02/08/2014 11:34:17 PM PST by canuck_conservative
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To: neverdem
If the Democrats are able to turn out their non-white voting base, they will easily hold on to their seats in Alaska, Louisiana, and North Carolina.

Republicans can easily lose their vacant seat in Georgia, where Sam Nunn’s daughter will be the Democrat nominee.

Contrary to what Rove hopes for, Republicans have no chance at all in New Mexico, Oregon, and Iowa.

New Mexico is 50% Hispanic, and a majority of whites in both Oregon and Iowa voted for Obama.

If the GOP does win in Michigan, New Hampshire, and Minnesota, I think we are guaranteed 3 more RINO senators.

My 2014 prediction.....

We gain 2 seats in the Senate.

We lose a few House seats, almost certainly in Georgia and Texas, and we hold on to our completely useless majority.

18 posted on 02/08/2014 11:54:12 PM PST by zeestephen
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To: canuck_conservative
RE: “ObamaCare, and all its unintended consequences, is single-handedly killing the Democrats right now.”

I think the 7 million new people on Medicaid might disagree with you.

19 posted on 02/09/2014 12:00:34 AM PST by zeestephen
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To: zeestephen

I don’t think the “non-white” voting base will be nearly as motivated to vote in 2014 as they were when Obama was on the ballot. A funny thing is happening in NC. Despite the propaganda and weekly protests by the Democrats since Governor McCrory and the Republican majority enacted their pro-growth tax policies, the unemployment rate is down and the job market is improving every day. Hagan is very unpopular in the state and her case will not be helped by ads showing her parroting Obama, “If you like your plan, you can keep it.”


20 posted on 02/09/2014 12:27:25 AM PST by srmorton (Deut. 30 19: "..I have set before you life and death,....therefore, choose life..")
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