NOW you cannot trust republicans either..
Posted on 01/20/2014 5:37:37 PM PST by Innovative
"The authors found that by age 18, 30 percent of black men, 26 percent of Hispanic men and 22 percent of white men have been arrested. By 23, those numbers climb to 49 percent for black men, 44 percent for Hispanic men and 38 percent for white men."
To get from 22% arrested to 38% arrested in 5 years would require 3.2% of young white men to be arrested each year. IMO, they either questioned a non-random sample of 7000 males, or moved a decimal point!
According to the FBI, http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/crime-in-the-u.s.-2012/persons-arrested/persons-arrested:
Definition The FBI’s Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR) Program counts one arrest for each separate instance in which a person is arrested, cited, or summoned for an offense. The UCR Program collects arrest data on 28 offenses, as described in Offense Definitions. (Please note that, beginning in 2010, the UCR Program no longer collected data on runaways.) Because a person may be arrested multiple times during a year, the UCR arrest figures do not reflect the number of individuals who have been arrested; rather, the arrest data show the number of times that persons are arrested, as reported by law enforcement agencies to the UCR Program.
The estimated arrest rate for the United States in 2012 was 3,888.2 arrests per 100,000 inhabitants. The arrest rate for violent crime (including murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, and aggravated assault) was 166.3 per 100,000 inhabitants, and the arrest rate for property crime (burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson) was 528.1 per 100,000 inhabitants. (See Table 30.)
I think it's very unlikely that it's a completely different 3.9% that's getting arrested every single year -- so IMO, this study must be bogus!
Idle hands are the devil’s playground.
Young men need to work, be physically active, and physically exhausted by dinnertime. I played football, baseball, and ran track. It was rare that I could stay up past 10 on a school night.
The move by many school districts away from recess and mandatory PE class has really hurt boys. Of course the pharmaceutical industry has seen great windfalls from it. Gotta dope them boys up to get them to sit still don’tcha know.
That being said, take those stats and remove misdemeanor possession of marijuana and minor in possession of alcohol. That would be a better indicator.
That's what I was thinking. My son, and a number of his friends, got misdemeanor DUI. As they lower the threshold for DUI, and increase the penalties, it only stand to reason that more young people (especially young men) would be caught up in it. My son had to do 3 days in jail (plus massive fines +loss of license) for his first (and only) DUI because the thresholds and penalties had just changed.
http://www.ccjs.umd.edu/facultyprofile/Paternoster/Ray
http://scholar.google.com/citations?user=LiBUfSUAAAAJ&hl=en
http://www.albany.edu/scj/shawn_bushway.php
I found the actual article, haven’t read it yet:
http://cad.sagepub.com/content/early/2013/12/18/0011128713514801.full.pdf+html
In Crime and Delinquency magazine.
I’ve got a very strong feeling this figures in municipal citations and similar non-criminal issues as “arrests.” Underage drinking, disorderly conduct for some minor issue.
I wonder if it would count a buddy of mine who got a disorderly conduct ticket after we were shooting BB guns behind his house in the People’s Republic of Madison.
But the episode was witnessed by the Park Police, and I got a citation.
I hope this counts as having an arrest record, because I need to build up my street cred.
wonder how they compare if you norm it for single parent households?
Those are crazy statistics. There is not a single person I know that has ever been arrested. Maybe I just hang out with the right people.
One of my friends has a son with drug problems, and my uncle tells some stories about hijinks in the Far East. Other than that ... who are these people?
In 2011, a total of 9,499,725 were arrested, 6,578,133 were white and 2,697,539 were black.
According to the US Census Bureau, 77.9% of the US population is white, and 13.1% of the US population is black.
0.779 x 308,747,716= 240,514,400 = about 2.7% of whites arrested.
0.131 x 308,747,716= 40,445,950 = about 6.7% of blacks arrested
A sign of decline, yes, but is that decline evidenced principally in more immoral behavior on the part of the young — things that would have been recognizably criminal in, say 1900 or even 1975 — or is it evidenced more in the decadent attitude that wishes to criminalize everything that is mildly disturbing or inconvenient, fancies that more laws (even in the absence of morals) will improve behavior, and the rise of a police state supported by this latter sort of decadence?
Had current attitudes prevailed back in the 1970’s, I’m sure I’d have been run on various and sundry charges (including criminal trespass for tramping around an abandoned quarry and the local cemetery after hours, some sort of explosives charges for the little incendiary devices I and my schoolmates used to make out of home-made black powder or a mixture of sugar and saltpeter, and underage drinking) before hitting 23. How many bar room or barracks brawls between soldiers or students back in the 1940’s and 50’s ended in criminal charges? How about fist fights in junior highs or high schools ending in arrests? Plenty do now, and I’ll warrant with the pressure our schools put on young men to get them to act like well-behaved girls, such events are less common than they were in 40’s and 50’.
Good point. My friend's son has been arrested at least 3 times.
My three oldest children have all had speeding tickets, but the article said "non-traffic offenses."
Twice here, not counting the times I was let out of handcuffs without being charged. In the charges I did get, I beat the charges both times. My personal motto is “Hey, Never Convicted”.
It’s part of the reason I left California: The charges I did face there aren’t even arrest-able charges where I live now. It was only a matter of time before I drew a ‘public nuisance’ wobbler charge in California for having a smart look on my face near a protected wetlands or not saluting the gay rainbow flag or something.
You’re right. Somehow I thought that meant like speeding tickets—but you don’t get arrested for that. In that case, I don’t believe the stats.
I bet it still includes ‘failure to appear’ to answer to traffic-related crimes.
It's about revenue enhancement more than public safety. In the old days, the schoolyard fight is just that. These days, it's a police matter.
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