Posted on 12/10/2013 6:00:49 AM PST by SeekAndFind
Kellyanne Conway’s group did the polling. It’s not one of the news group polls, which use a Democratic and Republican pollster together. Can’t make Pryor feel good:
Democratic Sen. Mark Pryor trails his Republican challenger, Rep. Tom Cotton, by seven points among likely voters in Arkansas, 48 percent to 41 percent, according to a new poll from a conservative group that says his support of the health care reform law is costing him.
The survey, shared exclusively with POLITICO, was conducted Friday and Saturday for the Citizens United Political Victory Fund by Republican pollster Kellyanne Conway of the polling company, Inc./WomanTrend.
Now, let’s check out the individual questions:
Cotton is ahead among independents by 21 points and among women by 4 points.
As Politico points out, the last polling on this race showed it virtually tied back when the government was shut down and Obamcare had not yet revealed itself to be, well, Obamcare:
In this latest survey, 62 percent of those polled have an unfavorable view of the health care law — 56 percent strongly so.
“Mark Pryor is synonymous with Obamacare and Obamacare is synonymous with making life worse for the American people,” said David N. Bossie, president of Citizens United. “That’s why Pryor is losing to Cotton in the Arkansas Senate race.”
Stick a fork in him. Done.
Pretending your a Christian after voting for abortion-funding O-Care will fool nobody, Mark.
I was right in my prediction that the Republicans actually start off with a net gain of +4.
“Mark Pryor is synonymous with Obamacare and Obamacare is synonymous with making life worse for the American people,” said David N. Bossie, president of Citizens United.
So is Mary Landrieu. Hope we can oust her, too.
Reading Cotton’s background, he is a very very impressive person.
I pick Cotton!
“I was right in my prediction that the Republicans actually start off with a net gain of +4.”
Please elaborate.
Sounds like they’re picking Cotton again in Arkansas.................
Arkansas will soon be known as “The land of Cotten.”
Most had it down as 3, ‘West Virginia, South Dakota, and Montana’, where they’ve had retirements. I never thought Arkansas would be competitive with Obamacare up and running. It’ not. Look for Cotton’s lead to widen.
Come Jan. 2015 we will have the punk POTUS on continious veto mode....sweet!
Just curious what your predictions is on how the GOP will then blow it? ☺
It’s hard to see how they can. Not through any wisdom on their part of course. Just utter clusterf*** on the Democrat side.
All we need is the four locks WV, SD, MT, AR, all of which we are leading handily.
And then 2 more.
Hagan is the first, then all you have to do is drop Begich, Landreiu, or Udall, or pick up one of the open seats in Iowa and Michigan.
And then 2 more.
Hagan is the first, then all you have to do is drop Begich, Landreiu, or Udall, or pick up one of the open seats in Iowa and Michigan.
_________
I want all of them...
Surprising news; Arkansans have not rejected a Pryor since the 1972 Democratic Senate runoff election. The AR legislature is now full of very conservative legislators after term-limits threw out a plethora of Democrat “moderates” and liberals.
Very risky, according to history, to trust the state of MT in Senate elections
MT, SD and WV - red states with open Democratic seats, where we have strong candidates and they do not, the most recent polls show our guy above 50 and ahead of their guy by 10 or more. These are now SAFE GOP.
AK, AR, LA, NC - red states with Democratic incumbents; these range from LEANS to LIKELY GOP. I am tempted to move AR to PROBABLE. Let’s see if Kelly’s survey is replicated. The main reason AR looks better is because the Republican field has coalesced. I suspect that when the Republican nominee emerges in the other three states, we will be moving them to PROBABLE.
CO, IA, MI - purple states, two with open Democratic seats and one (CO) with a Democratic incumbent. I’m calling these states TOSS-UP.
MN, NH, OR - purple states with Democratic incumbents; these range from LEANS to LIKELY DEM.
As of right now, I’m think FOUR to TEN. Winning control of the Senate in 2014 is very important.
Winning ten or more seats is also very important. We will have only two or three pick-up opportunities in 2016. I only count Mancin of WV and King of ME as non-Republicans we may be able to work with. So, getting at least to 55 this time, will be important for getting to 60. This assumes that what remains of the filibuster rule will remain after 2016.
I thought that to, but Daines has a 17 point lead right now, and he’s no novice.
Shaheen to. Wish Steyn would run.
Mark is going to need commercials with a bigger Bible.
[Shades of BJ and the increasing sizes of his Bible(s)]
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