Posted on 11/01/2013 11:00:14 AM PDT by tn_cruzin
According to a new poll, Democrat Terry McAuliffe’s lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli has shrunk to 2 points in the Virginia gubernatorial race (42% to 40%, with Libertarian Robert Sarvis at 13%). At the beginning of the month, McAuliffe was up five points (43% to 38%), suggesting Cuccinelli is gaining momentum going into the last weekend of the election. The survey was conducted October 25 to October 30, with 874 likely voters at a 3.24% margin of error. Despite his slim lead in the poll, 55 percent of Virginia likely voters believe that McAuliffe will be elected, with only 28 percent predicting that Cuccinelli will be their next governor. Twenty percent of self-identified independents are in support of Sarvis, who is leeching votes from Cuccinelli with 11 percent of Republicans supporting his candidacy versus only 6 percent of Democrats who said they would vote for him. All the candidates continue to have higher unfavorable than favorable ratings, with McAuliffe’s at 37 percent favorable to 52 percent unfavorable and Cuccinelli at 38 percent to 56 percent. Third party candidate Sarvis is also disliked with a 22 percent unfavorable rating and a 19 percent favorable rating. McAuliffe’s strongest area of support are in the north within Congressional district 8 (75%-13%), district 11 (58%-32) and district 10 (52%-37%). Cuccinelli is winning all the other districts with his strongest support in district 7 at (49% to 27%). Sarvis is pulling support in Cuccinelli areas of district 1 at 13%, district 2 at 16%, district 4 at 20%, district 5 at 16%, district 6 at 18%, and district 7 at 14%.
(Excerpt) Read more at emersoncollegepollingsociety.com ...
my neighbor has a few.. friggin annoying type-a beotch that nobody likes.
The Black neighborhoods will vote at their normal 108% to get the commie elected.
Pray America is Waking Up
McAuliffe 45 Cuccinelli 38 Sarvis 10
I"m not sure Sarvis will secure that high of a vote and polls show a lot of GOP
voting for McAuliffe. Hopefully that won't be the case when they actually pull the lever.
From what I’ve read, Cuccinelli seems to be a bonafide Conservative. Am I mistaken; are there precursors that would show that he will turn left once in office? Is it a facade and am I reading it all wrong?
Because for some unbelieveable reason, they love to play the spoiler role, even though in 99% of the races with 3rd party candidate, it hurts the Republican.
I'm from MN and not such a big fan of former Senator Norm Coleman but in that 2008 race against buffoon socialist Al Franken, the 3rd party candidate pulled 15% of the vote, of which nearly all of it would have gone to Coleman I believe. As a result, the stealing of the election by DemTurds & Al Franken by just a couple hundred votes provided the final Senator vote, in order to inflict 0dumb0Care upon Amerika.
Methodology, Survey and results of questions here:
http://emersoncollegepollingsociety.com/ECPS_VA_GOV_10.30_results.pdf
McAuliffe’s favoribility is -14(down 2 pts from last survey)
Cuccinelli’s favoribility is -18(up 5 pts from last survey)
Last survey had it Mcawful 10 ahead.
Expected to win: McAuliffe +17(Last survey)
now it is up to McAuliffe +26
Still 5.5% undecided
Party ID:
D 35.9/R 32.5/I 31.6
Hope so ... I've been bugging all my Virginian friends to get out and vote for Cuccinelli. I'd love to vote for him too, but my sense of ethics prevents it; vote fraud is just not my thing ....
Absolutely nothing. He may not be the biggest dirtbag in America, but he is the biggest dirtbag in the Commonwealth of Virginia.
I was terribly disappointed in VA going for the Marxist in the White House both times; in 2008 and 2012.
I’m just a newbie, but you and Mountain Mary are dreaming if you think Sarvis is going to drop out of the race because we ask/tell him to do so. Let’s be realistic. Let’s use our energies and resources in an area that would, in a practical way, really help KC.
It’s interesting that the CNU poll that has McAuliffe +7 was R+1 and the Emerson poll was McAuliffe +2 with a D+4.
I agree that these polls have been all over the place and I’m sure we will get alot that are all over the map after the weekend as well.
Hopefully this vacillation is a sign that voters
may still reject McAuliffe and vote for Cuccinelli.
That close, it will all come down to turnout (living, dead, and undead voters).
Libertarian Robert Sarvis at 13%, there is no way he is receiving 13 pct of the vote
A lot of people have been learning to screw with the pollsters when they call....we need to learn how to make the pollsters sweat !
I would like to agree, but the most disturbing element of this poll is the support Sarvis is supposedly pulling in heavily GOP districts. For example, Sarvis is supposedly getting 13% of the vote in the 1st Congressional District, which runs up the Tidewater Peninsula from Yorktown to the I-95 corridor. Romney got well over 60% of the vote last year, and McCain did as well in 2008. For Cuccinelli to win, he has to carry the first with at least 65% of the vote, and he won’t do that if Savris can pull even 10% of the vote.
I’m hoping that the bloom will be completely off the Sarvis “rose” by Tuesday. If libertarians want to give the governorship to Terry McAuliffe, a vote for Sarvis will do just that. If Sarvis falls back to the normal range for a third party candidate by election day (3-4%), Cuccinelli will win. The Obamacare backlash in killing McAuliffe, while Ken is benefiting from a late surge. At last report, McAuliffe had very few events planned through the weekend; if you see his calendar change, you’ll know that he really is in trouble.
Undoubtedly? I wish had your faith.
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