Posted on 10/30/2013 6:10:59 AM PDT by ScottinVA
The Virginia governor's race is going down to the wire with Democrat Terry McAuliffe clinging to a slight 45 - 41 percent likely voter lead over Republican State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, and 9 percent for Libertarian Party candidate Robert Sarvis, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to the results of an October 23 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing McAuliffe up 46 - 39 percent, with Sarvis at 10 percent.
Today's survey shows that if Sarvis were not in the race, McAuliffe would have 47 percent to 45 percent for Cuccinelli, too close to call.
In the three-way matchup, 4 percent of likely voters remain undecided and 7 percent of those who name a candidate say there's a "good chance" they will change their mind in the next six days.
McAuliffe leads 91 - 2 percent among Democrats, with 4 percent for Sarvis, while Cuccinelli leads 86 - 5 percent among Republicans, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Independent voters go to McAuliffe 46 - 31 percent, with 16 percent for Sarvis.
Women back the Democrat 50 - 37 percent, with 7 percent for Sarvis. Men go to Cuccinelli 45 - 39 percent with 11 percent for Sarvis.
"State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli is nipping at Terry McAuliffe's heels as the race to be Virginia's next governor enters the final week of the campaign," said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "It goes without saying that turnout is the key to this race and the harshly negative tone of the campaign is the kind that often turns off voters."
"With the race this close, the final decision by the roughly one in 10 voters who are supporting Libertarian Robert Sarvis has become even more critical. Nationally, third-party candidates often lose support in the end as voters enter the voting booth and back someone they consider the lesser of two evils. Only six in 10 Sarvis supporters say they definitely will vote for him. Almost nine in 10 McAuliffe and Cuccinelli backers are committed.
"Cuccinelli seems to be benefitting from Republicans coming home, but McAuliffe still does a little better among Democrats than Cuccinelli does among GOPers. And, McAuliffe leads among independents, perhaps the key voting group. It is difficult to see Cuccinelli winning if he can't run at least even or slightly ahead among independents. Here, too, Sarvis' voters matter greatly since the libertarian is getting 16 percent of independents, but only 9 percent overall."
Well, Clay, I guess you won’t be able to do anything but accept the unhappy outcome. DC dominates the whole state now; rural areas must have low turnout too, but ultimately they are just outvoted by the sheer numbers.
If they can get those Sarvis voters (AKA: McAuliffe Voters) to come home, he can win.
I suspect these “republican is leading” is just a propaganda motivation tool for democrats to get out the vote.
“Will the TEA Party be able to field enough candidates who can “Primary-Out” the Democrats and the Democrat-supportive RINO politicians”
Fyi, the democrats usually support the conservative challenger in the republican primary. Gray Davis, former democrat governor of CA spent heavily to help conservatie Dan Lundgren defeat moderate Riordan in the republican primary. Davis went on to stomp Lundgren in the general election.
The same goes for the Akin fiasco in Missouri. The democrats wanted the conservative Akin nominated over the “rinos” and McKaskill later went on to stomp Akin in the general election.
It's not like Akin didn't do a lot to help her.
Oh Clarence..you are too funny.
I predict POTUS will decide to spend more time with the “family” this weekend. (they don’t call him Bathhouse Barry for nothing).
Tuesday, Nov. 5
what could be done to “convince” Sarvis to throw his support behind Cooch?
The race is even or Cuccinelli is ahead if the Lib Quinnipiac U. poll shows it this close.
There is not enough time to explain things to the people of VA. They nearly always get it wrong.
this morning’s poll shows Cucinelli down 2 and showing the Libertarian with 13%....the 13 would never vote dem man that’s a killer.
What are the chances for Democratic Party shenanigans at the polls? I don’t trust those people anywhere near a ballot box or voting machine, and especially now if the polls are accurate and Cuccinelli is staging a comeback.
As with anywhere, the likelihood of democrat shenanigans is ever-present... maybe even more so in Virginia with the lucrative prospect of having a Clinton/Obama sock puppet in Richmond doing their bidding.
I wish y’all luck
But the Yankee....and foreign influx into NOVA has been crippling
Sad
You might eek it out
Remember that on the
5th
Freepers always claim unpleasant polls are outliers
Yet time and again they aren’t
Correct me if I’m wrong....hope I am
McAuliffe is an absolute creep and an ass kissing Clinton sycophant. A vote for him is proof that voters need to pass a minimum IQ test. Imbeciles, morons, and dolts do not deserve to vote. The only way Democrats win is by having too many voters with limited mental capacity allowed to vote. You need to pass a test to get a license to drive. LIBERALS scream about the fact that casting a VOTE is an awesome responsibility. Why do we make it so easy then?
CUCCINELLI 52.38%
MCAULIFFE 39.97%
with 20% of precincts
I hope it holds.
No, I think they would be putting together the militias...
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