Posted on 10/24/2013 9:22:33 AM PDT by Maelstorm
A new poll, provided exclusively to Breitbart News, finds the Virginia Governor's race a virtual dead-heat, with Democrat Terry McAuliffe leading Republican Ken Cuccinelli 41%-40%. Libertarian Robert Sarvis garners 10% and 9% of likely voters remain undecided. With less than two weeks to go, the race is a toss-up that will likely be decided by turnout, a critical factor in an off-year election.
The poll comes from Wenzel Strategies, which accurately predicted closing momentum for Sens. Ted Cruz, Rand Paul and Deb Fischer, among others. The slight edge McAuliffe holds is due mostly to stronger support within his partisan base. 81% of Democrats support McAuliffe, against just 68% of Republicans who support Cuccinelli.
Cuccinelli's support seems be building, however, has public attention moves away from the recent government shutdown to the failing implementation of ObamaCare. Cuccinelli was a leading national figure suing to overturn the health care law.
The closeness of the race is apparent in the millions spent by left-wing groups to support McAuliffe in the closing days. In addition, Hillary and Bill Clinton, close allies of McAuliffe have made themselves permanent fixtures in the Commonwealth campaign on his behalf.
“There’s a reason the Clintons have been called in to spend a week campaigning for McAuliffe and that Bloomberg is pouring in millions with 2 weeks to go,” Brian Baker, President of Ending Spending Action Fund, which commissioned the poll told Breitbart News. “Their internals must be showing what our poll indicates -- that his unfavorables are high and they must try to suppress Cuccinelli turnout to prevail. All indications are that the numbers are closing, especially post shutdown. The focus will be where the undecideds go and what will Sarvis draw. With the race this close, the poll indicates a vote for Sarvis is a vote for McAuliffe.”
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
BTTT! Virginia ping!
toss up?
I thought McApparatchik was 15 points up?
lol
WHAT??? Wasn’t McA$$ ahead by like 33% the other day??
I know, right.
This is what third party candidates accomplish, especially Libertarians since they never take any votes from the democrat candidate.
Interesting....
I know we’ve been called umpteen times to be polled and we don’t answer the phone.
We just send money to the campaigns...
Think it matters?
Exactly!
It’s much easier to hide fraud in a national election and every swing state had examples of fraud in highly dim districts...running up the overall state-wide numbers. The House stayed Pubbie nevertheless...
Also, some saw the “conservatives who did not vote for the Pub candidate” number go up in 2012 from 2008...no question in this state, Ken’s a conservative...
But it could all be delusion on my part. Has been in the past....
NARROW? He lost by 16 points the same day that Mitt Romney beat Obama in Missouri by 10 points. That's a 26 point shift from the top of the ticket -- not a narrow loss, but an extraordinarily huge one. Wenzel's polling on the other hand predicted Akin would beat McCaskill by 4 points a two weeks before the election. That clearly bogus poll may have given him "momentum" among koolaid drinkers, but it was also 100% bull crap. And it diverted GOP resources from other, more winnable places.
> “The focus will be where the undecideds go and what will Sarvis draw. With the race this close, the poll indicates a vote for Sarvis is a vote for McAuliffe.”
I’ve said before that the Cuccinelli campaign needs to cut a deal with the Sarvis campaign.
Here’s the issues from Sarvis’ webpage:
* Empower parents by championing school choice
* Provide tax relief and job growth through tax reform
* Protect gun rights
* Recognize gay marriages
* Reform our drug laws
Cut a deal on all except perhaps gay marriage and IMO drug legalization. By cutting a deal we mean putting Sarvis’ people in state positions where they influence school choice, work on state tax reform legislation, and work on all the other issues listed above.
Most of the issues of Sarvis are not embraced by democrats.
If Cuccinelli can grab 5% of Sarvis’ 10%, McAuliffe 2% and 3% stay home, then Cuccinelli wins of this poll is accurate.
Fingers crossed that good conquers evil.
“In many respects Akin’s loss was very narrow, but if not for the Wenzel poll providing much needed momentum for Todd, Akin’s loss would have been much worse.
NARROW? He lost by 16 points the same day that Mitt Romney beat Obama in Missouri by 10 points. That’s a 26 point shift from the top of the ticket — not a narrow loss, but an extraordinarily huge one....”
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Akin certainly did blow it and the way he conducted his campaign was a major disappointment. He had the option of withdrawing after his self-destruction in the polls and selfishly chose not to. I can never forgive him for that.
The funny thing is, as a contributor to his campaign, I just today I received a fund raising appeal from Akin. The letter basically said they “miscalculated” their campaign spending in the closing period of their campaign. They said they planned to be $200K in the black at the end of the campaign and instead ended up $200K in the red. So they did as piss-poor job of money management as they did in managing what Akin said.
Needless to say, I’m contributing nothing to help Akin retire his debt.
-—Reality, it’s the libertarian screwing this up.-—
Nonsense and you know it. If there are 10% of dissatisfied R voters, they’re perfectly free to find someone who they think will work for them.
—They don’t realize that the Republican base rejects libertarians 1) Because many times libertarians overlap with kook conspiracy (and anti-Semitism/racist) craziness,—
I guess it’s okay to be kook conspiracists as long as the craziness is directed at blacks, women, and muslims.
Sorry, for some reason I thought that Akin’s loss was a bit more narrow than 16 points.
But if you are going to by a glass half full guy, you should also look at Wenzel’s outstanding work in picking Ted Cruz’s victory in Texas and Rand Paul’s victory in Kentucky.
As for Virginia, Ken really needs this poll to be published widely and broadcast on conservative talk radio in order to motivate Virginia voters and get cash from donors nation wide.
Who’s directing any hate at blacks, women or Muslims?
There are times when it is necessary for the Tail to Wag the Dog.
And if Ken can promote a poll that shows him close, it will undoubtably motivate his voters while depressing turnout among Democrats.
But Wenzel wasn’t the outlier in those polls. Other polls also had Cruz & Paul winning. Wenzel is always wrong when they’re the outlier.
7 kids? You know he can be productive... :) He has to beat that Oily McAuliffe...
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