Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

China’s ‘Carrier-Killer’ Was Born in the Balkans
War is Boring ^ | September 7, 2013 | Robert Beckhusen

Posted on 09/08/2013 2:32:05 PM PDT by neverdem

The DF-21D is China’s answer to America’s carriers, with an unusual origin in the Kosovo War

In 1999, the U.S. was engaged in an air and missile war with Serbia. As NATO bombs exploded around Belgrade — part of a campaign to force an end to the ethnic cleansing of Kosovar Albanians by Serb forces — several U.S. missiles slammed into the Chinese embassy. It was the most controversial U.S. action of the war.

China’s leaders were outraged, but could do little in response. The result? The bombing became a pivotal moment in the decision to pursue a sophisticated weapons project: a ballistic missile that can sink American aircraft carriers from 1,900 miles away.

That’s the history according to a new book from Andrew Erickson, a specialist on the Chinese military at the U.S. Naval War College. The book has wonky title: Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Development: Drivers, Trajectories and Strategic Implications. But it’s the most comprehensive overview of a weapon — the DF-21D anti-ship ballistic missile — that poses perhaps the greatest threat to American aircraft carriers that’s not a nuclear bomb.

“The bottom line is that the era of ‘ASBM denial’ is over,” Erickson writes. “China’s ASBM is not science fiction. It is not a ‘smoke and mirrors’ bluff. The DF-21D is not an aspirational capability that the United States can afford to ignore until some point in the future.”

Usually, carriers are incredibly tough to kill, sitting far off a coastline and outside the range of whatever most countries can throw at it. Escort ships are prowling for submarine threats, and air-defense missiles and carrier-borne fighter jets scan for enemy bombers that can launch sea-skimming cruise missiles. But a ballistic missile that can target ships can bypass all these defenses while being launched from land at the same time.

There’s still a lot of...

(Excerpt) Read more at medium.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: albania; asbm; asbmdenial; bosnia; china; df21d; kosovo; nato; serbia; syria; yugoslavia
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-53 next last
China’s ‘Carrier-Killer’ Was Born before that. Big Clinton donors let let the Chicoms know what was going wrong when they tried to put satellites into orbit. Capitalists selling the rope with which they'll be hanged.
1 posted on 09/08/2013 2:32:05 PM PDT by neverdem
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Word is that some of the functions of Milosevic’s secret police were being carried out at the Chinese Embassy as a de-facto safehouse.

The JDAM simply glides to the GPS coordinates it is supplied with:

How likely is it that the US military programmed in the WRONG coordinates...?

The Embassy was struck because it was being used as an instrument of WAR.

I didn’t agree with that war, but that’s not the point.


2 posted on 09/08/2013 2:36:52 PM PDT by gaijin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gaijin
Then be prepared to go to WAR with the country of the embassy you bomb...

And be prepared for them to bomb your embassy and assets...

The Embassy was struck because it was being used as an instrument of WAR.

3 posted on 09/08/2013 2:40:24 PM PDT by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam and we want to kill them)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Everything the Chinese produce is junk. Their military is incompetent. The only advantages they have are numbers and our treasonous political leadership.


4 posted on 09/08/2013 2:43:27 PM PDT by Ajnin (Wolves don't lose sleep over the opinion of sheep.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

IIRC, that was a brand new Chinese embassy that was not open for business yet or only partially open.

Many speculated that there might have been ‘reasons’ it met with the ‘accident’.


5 posted on 09/08/2013 2:50:23 PM PDT by TomGuy (.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ajnin

In a conventional war the asymmetry in troop strength between China and its adversaries will make up for a lot of weaknesses.


6 posted on 09/08/2013 2:50:44 PM PDT by lbryce (The 22nd Amendment Lives:1142 Days Until America's Greatest Nemesis Gets the Heave "Ho")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Also recall that a Chinese sub came up undetected in the middle of a US fleet not so long ago.

China may be itching to try out their new ‘bath tub’ toys.


7 posted on 09/08/2013 2:51:45 PM PDT by TomGuy (.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: gaijin

what i heard was actually the downed f117 that was shot down there was not destroyed by the air force, (stupid) so they sold it to the chinese. They moved it into the embassy garage... THEN they decided it probably wouldnt be good to let the chinese have it. BOOM.


8 posted on 09/08/2013 2:51:54 PM PDT by Walkingfeather
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: 2banana

Well...the US took this action because the Chinese would deny they’d been permitting any illicit activity at their Embassy, and the US would averr their, “embarrassing mistake”.

The agreement was prolly:

1. China gets to operate ALL whizbang gear to collect the US electronic order of battle in-situ, with that take being harvested for use in some possible future conflict with the US (Straits).

2. Milo’s guys get to use some some large portion of the Embassy to do their dirty work.

But then the big, unexpected whoosh-BOOM.


9 posted on 09/08/2013 2:53:59 PM PDT by gaijin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: gaijin

“How likely is it that the US military programmed in the WRONG coordinates...?”

About as likely as NASA calculating orbital velocities in feet per second, but imputing them in meters per second thus causing a billion-dollar Martian space probe to crash on the Martian surface. Bureaucratic error. It happens. Also, nobody is shooting at the engineers at JPL while they go a out their business.

All that said, the chances of that kind of error are less than the chances that the US attack was intentional. And if it was, the Chinese certainly know the reasons for it.


10 posted on 09/08/2013 2:55:57 PM PDT by Tallguy (Hunkered down in Pennsylvania)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: gaijin
The JDAM simply glides to the GPS coordinates it is supplied with: How likely is it that the US military programmed in the WRONG coordinates...?

Exactly. You can't claim missile malfunction when what, 3 hit? The odds of three missiles suffering the same oddball malfunction are about the same as Capt. Kirk beaming down beside me as I type this.

Putting in the wrong numbers? Highly doubtful. I don't know the procedures for loading them. But I've got to assume the basic intel would be checked, double checked, and triple checked. Then the strike approval would be checked and double checked. Finally, the target load has to have at least one check, if not several. All along the way nobody pulled up google maps and took a peek? Seems like it was intentional.

Then again, we did fly a B-52 with nuclear weapons to the wrong base. So who knows. I believe the missiles were probably in the concept / requirements stage long before that. The Chinese have always struck me as extremely practical, pragmatic, and patient when it comes to military strategy. Why spend trillions on a blue water navy (carriers, escort ships, air wings, etc.) to oppose the US fleet. A fleet with decades of a head start? Why not a fraction of the resources to build a weapon that can directly oppose the carriers. Then build out a regional navy to project influence just as far as you want to. For now.

11 posted on 09/08/2013 3:00:05 PM PDT by ThunderSleeps (Stop obarma now! Stop the hussein - insane agenda!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

The strike on the Chinese embassy in Belgrade had nothing to do with an aircraft carrier. It was carried out by B-2’s operating from Whiteman AFB, MO.


12 posted on 09/08/2013 3:02:12 PM PDT by NYFreeper
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

A carrier is a formidable weapon against a technologically inferior enemy. When used against another superpower such as Russia or China it is dead meat, as theirs would be dead meat if used against us. If you can see it from orbital altitude or know where it is by other means, you can kill it.


13 posted on 09/08/2013 3:09:22 PM PDT by cpdiii (Deckhand, Roughneck, Mud Man, Geologist, Pilot, Pharmacist. THE CONSTITUTION IS WORTH DYING FOR!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Oh, Bernie.


14 posted on 09/08/2013 3:09:54 PM PDT by Hardraade (http://junipersec.wordpress.com (Obama: the bearded lady of the Muslim Brotherhood))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Aircraft carriers were problematic in WW-II, they may in fact be outmoded now. You couldn’t design an easier target for a missile.


15 posted on 09/08/2013 3:14:33 PM PDT by varmintman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jeff Head

Ping.


16 posted on 09/08/2013 3:16:57 PM PDT by Army Air Corps (Four Fried Chickens and a Coke)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Black powder rockets are not a threat to our carriers.


17 posted on 09/08/2013 3:18:53 PM PDT by Conspiracy Guy (To stay calm during these tumultuous times, I take Damitol. Ask your Doctor if it's right for you.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: neverdem

Warfighting ping.


18 posted on 09/08/2013 3:20:27 PM PDT by Chainmail (A simple rule of life: if you can be blamed, you're responsible.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ajnin
Everything the Chinese produce is junk.

They have the resources to make a lot of that "junk" and all you need is one piece of junk to make it through and you've got nearly $10 billion dollars worth of ship and aircraft at the bottom of the ocean, along with potentially thousands of dead Americans.

The Brits lost ships in the Falklands to what is now 40 year old technology, and the amount of technological advances over the past 40 years is staggering.

Go ahead and blow it off while you type out a reply on your Chinese-made computer that is published through your Chinese-made networking equipment, to be hosted on FR servers made up of Chinese-made hardware.

Rest assured, China is not going to engage in a physical/military war with the US - we are their biggest trading partner, and it would destroy their economy, which they've spent decades building up.

Besides, they also happen to be one of the largest holders of US debt and one of the biggest modern investors in the US in terms of land/infrastructure/businesses. They could do more damage to our nation economically with a few financial moves in a few days than they could do military-wise in a year.

You need to be a lot more worried about China's defense industry angling to take away foreign contracts from US aerospace and military manufacturers. Once they take those contracts away, those high-paying American jobs are gone for good, and our economy is in even worse shape.
19 posted on 09/08/2013 3:27:13 PM PDT by af_vet_rr
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: lbryce
In a conventional war the asymmetry in troop strength between China and its adversaries will make up for a lot of weaknesses.

They can't deploy those troops in any large numbers outside of mainland China. Maybe they could to South Korea since they could use the rail system, but even that is fraught with danger since they would be tied to the rails. That, and they have no reason to go to war with SK, since they are important trading partners and China's #1 concern is not having NK refugees fleeing into China.

Remember, China recently announced the use of cruise ships as troop transports. Given how easily troop transports are to sink, and how cruise ships are even easier (the Germans did it a lot with incredibly crude weapons by our standards), it's pretty clear that China has no serious plans on projecting troop power. I can't even imagine what a cruise ship heavily loaded with Chinese soldiers would look like to an American sub.
20 posted on 09/08/2013 3:32:47 PM PDT by af_vet_rr
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-53 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson