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Tropical ocean key to global warming ‘hiatus’
Nature News ^ | 28 August 2013 | Jeff Tollefson

Posted on 09/03/2013 11:30:11 PM PDT by neverdem

Surface cooling in equatorial Pacific drives decade-long pause in global temperature rise.

A new study adds to mounting evidence that cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean is the cause of the global warming hiatus, a slow-down in the rise of average temperatures that began around 1998.

The eastern equatorial Pacific is well known to have an outsize influence on global weather. Years-long ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña cause alternate warming and cooling of the sea surface there, with effects on monsoons and temperatures around the world. Now a modelling study by researchers at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla, California, indicates that a decadal La Niña-like cooling trend affecting as little as 8% of Earth’s surface can explain the slower rise in global temperatures.

“The equatorial Pacific cooling turns out to be strong enough to offset the general rise in temperature induced by anthropogenic greenhouse gases,” says Shang-Ping Xie, a climate modeller at Scripps and co-author of the study, which is published today in Nature1. Just as importantly, he says, the model helps to explain regional trends that seem to defy the global warming hiatus, including record-breaking heat in the United States last year, and the continued decline of Arctic sea ice.

Hot topic

Scientists have explored various explanations for the hiatus, including a reduction in energy reaching Earth, attributable to a prolonged minimum in solar activity2; a decline in the amount of heat-trapping water vapour in the stratosphere3; and an increase in atmospheric levels of sun-blocking particles produced by industrial activities and volcanoes4. Previous studies have also linked Pacific cooling to the hiatus, and have suggested that as the ocean surface cools, currents deep beneath the surface are burying heat from the atmosphere5, 6...

(Excerpt) Read more at nature.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; cliamtechange; elnino; globalwarming; globalwarminghoax; lanina; ocean; tropical

1 posted on 09/03/2013 11:30:12 PM PDT by neverdem
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To: neverdem

“general rise in temperature induced by anthropogenic greenhouse gases,” says Shang-Ping Xie, a climate modeller at Scripps and co-author of the study”

Frogging a dead horse.


2 posted on 09/03/2013 11:34:58 PM PDT by Cyman
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To: neverdem
a modelling study

The old GIGO problem, Garbage In / Garbage Out.

3 posted on 09/03/2013 11:54:15 PM PDT by fella ("As it was before Noah, so shall it be again,")
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To: Cyman

Does any one know or has heard what FEMA is preparing for in region III. A variety of info but nothing concrete may be found by Googling for it.


4 posted on 09/03/2013 11:54:57 PM PDT by saintgermaine
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To: neverdem

A new study adds to mounting evidence that cooling in the tropical Pacific Ocean is the cause of the global warming hiatus, a slow-down in the rise of average temperatures that began around 1998.

To accept X, one must first believe in Y.


5 posted on 09/04/2013 12:03:57 AM PDT by wita
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To: neverdem
"Scripps Institution of Oceanography in La Jolla"

Is this near Rio Linda?

6 posted on 09/04/2013 12:09:28 AM PDT by Eagles6 (Valley Forge Redux)
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To: neverdem

They found a few straws to grasp. Alas, my theory of El Nino and El Nina from 20 ago has come full circle. Remember when they were barking about that? Guess they’ve pulled that rabid Chi out of the backroom.


7 posted on 09/04/2013 2:11:46 AM PDT by poobear (Socialism in the minds of the elites, is a con-game for the serfs, nothing more.)
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To: neverdem

When you readily accept models and theories that don’t work, it easy enough to make up a new one to cover up the old one.


8 posted on 09/04/2013 3:41:11 AM PDT by SampleMan (Feral Humans are the refuse of socialism.)
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To: neverdem
and the continued decline of Arctic sea ice

Except that it's increasing.

Interesting that a Chinaman is flogging the scam.

9 posted on 09/04/2013 3:47:22 AM PDT by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise. N)
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To: neverdem

They should have left “global warming” out of the report. A better angle would have been that scientists identify another factor that contributes to global climate.

Of course, to get grants, many scientists feel they must ultimately tie their research to “global warming.” This is because Congress—which holds the purse strings—reads a synopsis of all grants. Mentions of “global warming” make Congress happy, especially those members salivating over their chance to use science to justify their power grabs. To illustrate, if a study on the white fungus killing bats in the northeast can be tied to “global warming”, it is much more likely to get funding than another study which merely seeks to reveal how and why the fungus attacks bats.


10 posted on 09/04/2013 4:29:34 AM PDT by exDemMom (Now that I've finally accepted that I'm living a bad hair life, I'm more at peace with the world.)
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To: neverdem

More bulls#t from the masters of bullsh#t!


11 posted on 09/04/2013 4:31:16 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (FROM MY COLD, DEAD HANDS!)
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To: neverdem

Global warming is happening, it’s just stopped due to the cool water in the ocean tropics.


12 posted on 09/04/2013 4:47:20 AM PDT by Jabba the Nutt (Obama is an historic President. He's America's first 'Dear Leader' President.)
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To: neverdem
I thought their last explanation for the reason global warming isn't happening (in-between the times when they say this last decade was the hottest ever in the history of the universe) was that “dwarves dressed as clowns driving around in the ‘several million degree’ subterranean strata caused the break in warming.”*

Has that theory changed?!?!

*”Boy, It Sure is Hot” p.43, Man-Bear-Pig, 2013

13 posted on 09/04/2013 5:42:38 AM PDT by PATRIOT1876
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To: Jim Noble
...Interesting that a Chinese is flogging the scam....

A Chinese scholar working for the Scripps Institution, apparently, an entity almost entirely dependent on government grants for funding. It is really no surprise.

In today's fallen world, research follows the money not the science. Therefore, it is no surprise that when nature refuses to conform to the politically correct computer model, it isn't the model that is wrong. Rather, some innocent natural phenomenon — like the temperature cycle of the oceans — must take the blame.

14 posted on 09/04/2013 5:49:10 AM PDT by irish_links
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To: neverdem
"Years-long ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña cause alternate warming and cooling of the sea surface there, with effects on monsoons and temperatures around the world."

Since the cause of recent cooling was "years-long ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña", it logically follows that the warming that preceded it was ALSO caused by "years-long ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña". This proves that the the global climate models are ALL WRONG. Calling Captain Agore, calling Captain Agore.

15 posted on 09/04/2013 6:42:57 AM PDT by norwaypinesavage (Galileo: In science, the authority of a thousand is not worth the humble reasoning of one individual)
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To: wardaddy; Joe Brower; Cannoneer No. 4; Criminal Number 18F; Dan from Michigan; Eaker; Jeff Head; ...
Did the White House Help Plan the Syrian Chemical Attack? Youssef Bodansky

The Syrian ‘Rebels’ and Chemical Weapons: Remembering Your Al-Qaeda History (Andrew C. McCarthy)

Syria: Outrage is Not a Strategy Michael Yon

Latest result of global warming: cooler temperatures (Michael Barone)

Some noteworthy articles about politics, foreign or military affairs, IMHO, FReepmail me if you want on or off my list.

16 posted on 09/04/2013 11:00:56 AM PDT by neverdem (Register pressure cookers! /s)
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To: neverdem

Global warming is anomaly.

Climate change is the only constant. The variation is the result of changing solar radiation.


17 posted on 09/04/2013 12:49:30 PM PDT by bert ((K.E. N.P. N.C. +12 ..... Travon... Felony assault and battery hate crime)
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To: neverdem

Thanks for the ping!


18 posted on 09/04/2013 7:20:01 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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