Yup.
Posted on 07/08/2013 1:48:59 PM PDT by neverdem
Over the last few days I have begun the exhausting, yet wonderful process of moving. Considering the fact I have not moved in twelve years and I am relocating from a suburban single-family home to a small apartment urban setting in Washington D.C. I have some tough decisions to make on what to keep and what to trash.
In going through my endless collection of foreign policy, national security and defense articles (I print everything) I found quite the gem that needless to say made the save box. Instead of cleaning out our soon-to-be former home, I decided to take a small break (please don't tell my wife) and travel down memory lane.
The article in question is one you may know. From the Winter 2010 edition of Orbis, James Kraska's "How the United States Lost the Naval War of 2015" was always a piece that I have gone back to over and over again. In fact, the article was one that sparked my interest in anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) and the DF-21D. Several years back, myself and fellow CSIS:PACNET WSD Handa scholar Daryl Morini had planned to write a follow-up piece -- but alas -- other projects always seemed to get in the way (I am still willing if you are my friend!).
The article creates a fictional scenario where China "sinks" a U.S. carrier. The scenario itself is rather, well, interesting:
"Americans woke up to a different world the day after the attack. The war was over almost as soon as it had started. Outmaneuvered tactically and strategically, the United States suffered its greatest defeat at sea since Pearl Harbor. The incident—could it really be called a 'war'?—had been preceded by a shallow diplomatic crisis between the two great powers. No one in the West expected the dispute to..."...
(Excerpt) Read more at realcleardefense.com ...
How many of those skippers will be in place because they are female, black, or homosexual (Affirmative Action placements) and not because of years of proven service?
We would back down and Taiwan would be lost within a week....
We need to untie Japan’s hands and Taiwan’s hands because another Obama will sink both of them by lack of strength....
‘In 1996, at the end of the Third Taiwan Strait
Crisis, PLA General Xiong Guangkai warned a visiting U.S. envoy, ‘‘. . . you care more about Los Angeles than you do about Taipei.’’’
Yeah, and they care more about Peking than Taiwan...
The destruction of a carrier would call for the destruction of similar value military facilities of the attacker.
Nuclear war would be inevitable- unless a cowardly fool is in the White House ... I guess that’s why the author picked 2015 for the scenario.
How about a fictional scenario where the Chinese launch an SLBM off Catalina Island prior to an economic summit...?
Oh SNAP!!!
I hate to say it, but it -is- a done deal!
Our ‘fearless Ferdinand’, displaying a loss of words over what is going on in Egypt, and the loss of his puppet Morsi, would be completely dumbstruck and mentally paralyzed, ESPECIALLY if it were the Chinese, to do the dirty!
We have also already lost this, because all the free-thinking, knowledgeable military leaders have been sacked, in psychological narcissistic fears of a military sacking of the President. (not bad to dream, though.)
Wars nowadays are lost on television, in the Media, just like Walter Cronkite summarizing the results of the Tet Offensive incorrectly and saying we could never win--when for all practical purposes the Viet Cong had just been eliminated as a major force in the war.
The White House and Congress may make the decisions which get us in a bind, but the media proclaim wars to be "unwinnable". Then the WH and Congress respond to the polls...
Where did you find the “not equal to” sign?
Ping!
ping
Yup.
leave out the spaces
We need to untie Japan’s hands and Taiwan’s hands because another Obama will sink both of them by lack of strength....
I am pretty sure Japan and Taiwan have already untied their own hands.
I'm looking for other symbols also, e.g. less than or equal to.
The basic premise of the article is that the ChiComs are prepositioned to exploit, on humanitarian grounds, the sinking of a CVN by rescuing the surviving crew.
It neglects to consider the fact that a CVN doesn’t go anywhere without at least one (usually two) Aegis Cruisers, 2 or 3 Aegis Destroyers and a couple SSNs. THEY’D be the ones picking up the survivors ... and turning back (if not just blowing to hell and gone) any ‘rescue flotilla’ that suddenly appeared in the area offering to help.
There’d be MOUNTAINS of evidence showing the ChiCom culpability in the attack, from the moment the ballistic missile lit off.
The biggest misconception about a naval war with China is that the US would send one or more carriers on a “Charge of the Light Brigade” style sweep up through the Strait. Not a chance of that happening - the carrier(s) would provide supporting cover (CAP, offensive fighter sweeps, long-range SEAD) from well East of Taiwan while SSNs, SSGNs and strategic bombers (B-2s and B-52s with CALCMs) took the fight to the Chinese mainland and naval forces. The ChiComs could try to pop off some “guided” (as they claim) ballistic missiles at the carrier, but even if they had something that was actually capable of distinguishing a CVN AND accurately guiding onto a target maneuvering aggressively at 30kts, the missile would still have to run the Standard SM3 (ABM missile) gauntlet thrown up by the carrier’s Aegis escorts.
The only thing stopping the US from reducing the ChiComs to a land-based continental power (IOW, obliterating their navy) would be political restraint by the President ...
Did you know William Tell is a fictional character?
Useful as a metaphor, though.
That said, if a moron like Obama would be President he probably wouldn't do a thing about it.
Symbols in Word.
Had to open a Word document, insert the symbol and the copy and paste it into FR.
If the ChiComs are willing to use aircraft launched tactical nulear weapons, It would be an interesting time to be at sea.
If a war goes nuclear, it will do so first at sea.
Yep. Next to the pure advocacy coverage given to 0bama from day one, the Tet lie is about the worst betrayal the press has ever committed against the American people.
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