Posted on 01/27/2013 5:09:21 PM PST by Libloather
A white ex-congresswoman with an “A” rating from the National Rifle Association is the front-runner to replace former Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. in a majority-black Chicagoland district with inner-city neighborhoods wracked by gun violence.
At first glance, Debbie Halvorson should have no business winning the Feb. 26 special election. The former Democratic congresswoman was crushed by Jackson in a primary last year. She’s a white Democrat seeking to represent a district in which 54 percent of voters are African-American.
**SNIP**
Now, black leaders — concerned about Halvorson’s position atop polls — say they’re prepared to make gun control the central issue in the contest. The goal is to paint her as an NRA ally who’s too conservative for the seat and insensitive to Chicago’s rising tide of gun violence.
(Excerpt) Read more at politico.com ...
She has no chance at all of winning that district.
Seems like the perfect place to slot in Chelsea Clinton-Mezvinsky.
Then in 10 yrs Malia Obama can take over.
How long do I have to live there to vote...or maybe don’t have to live there?
An AWOL, Bi-polar womanizing candidate who is under Federal investigation would have more of a chance than Halvorson.
Oh, wait...
BTW: The only way that she wins that district is if the urban welfare recipients stay home on voting day, and the far south/soutwest suburban voters show up and vote.
It's very much a black vs. white race in that district. (I live just outside it, thank God.)
“an “A” rating from the National Rifle Association”
The NRA supports senatewhore hairy reed and used to support senatewhore gillibrand when she was a congresswoman in New York. halvorson will lick obozo’s boots anytime he wants her to. The NRA are fools to support any dem-o-rat.
You got that right Brother.
usconservative and ought-six, before declaring that Halvirson has “no chance” in Jesse Jackson, Jr.’s old district, you should consider the fact that at least a half dozen prominent black Democrats will run in the primary, and that IL does not have a run-off if the winner gets below 50%, so Halvorson could win the primary with as little as 25%. That’s exactly how the black-majority Memphis district represented by the Fords for over 30 years ended up electing a white Democrat in 2006 (when Ford, Jr. ran for the Senate): several black candidates split the black vote and Cohen waltzed in with maybe 40%.
While it may appear to be a quixotic run for any Republican in that district, GOP primary voters should pick a black conservative with crossover appeal to Democrat constituencies because it would improve greatly the GOP’s chances of winning (and if Democrats nominate Halvorson or some other white, who knows?, we may shock the world, since black pols may refuse to lift a finger fir the “white interloper,” thinking the odds of a black Democrat reclaiming the seat in 2014 would be much higher if the incumbent is a Relublican than a white Democrat.
“The goal is to paint her as an NRA ally who’s too conservative for the seat and insensitive to Chicago’s rising tide of gun violence.”
Yeah, who cares about solving the problem, as long as she is “sensitive” to it.
Liberals are such idiots.
Gun violence in Chicago? I think I've heard something about that with the wall to wall coverage in the Lame Stream Media! /S
You have to see this:
Many true believers in a firearm fantasy
http://muscatinejournal.com/news/opinion/editorial/columns/many-true-believers-in-a-firearm-fantasy/article_f345f468-6683-11e2-999f-001a4bcf887a.html
You are right she damn well could win with the vote so split. I might even bet on it. Low turnout helps her too.
That would make me laugh, hard.
And while I don’t know how pro-gun she REALLY is (NRA A means jack, they give Reid an A also while GOA gives him an F-) I don’t believe she’s a total marxist on the issue.
A Black Republican named Lenny McAllister is running according to politics1.com. I doubt we can win that seat under any circumstances but him versus a White rat would be intriguing.
But Republicans can vote in the rat primary yes? I don’t really agree with doing that but it’s something for residents to consider since this is just a special election and nothing else is on the ballot. The Jerksons would be sooooo pissed if Halvorson won.
Since 17 Democrats are running, one of them could win the primary with 8% of the vote. I think that Halverson will win with 10%-15%.
I hope that Eric Wallace will win the GOP primary. In the fall of 2009, I worked for his U.S. Senate campaign. He got about 7000 petition signatures. He’s a vice-chairman of the Cook Co. Republican Party. He’s pro-life and pro-gun rights.
A lot of those Democrats will get 1%-2%, though. I think the winner of the primary will need over 20%.
“And while I don’t know how pro-gun she REALLY is....”
Republicans in the CD should vote in the GOP primary and make sure that the best possible candidate (with the “least impossible” chance of winning) gets nominated. But if I were to vote in the RAT primary, I’d probably choose that newly elected state senator who played football at Northwestern and who appears to be pro-marriage.
Napoleon Harris? He’s against Adam and Steve?
Cool name, Napoleon. Much better than say, Clarence, or Willem-Alexander.
Napoleon quit and endorsed Robin Kelly.
I guess he feared the election would be his Waterloo.
Heh.
Napoleon seemed to be the least liberal of the Dems running. Oh well.
That’s one fewer black candidate running, so it slightly reduces Halvorson’s odds of winning, but I still think she’ll win, unless the Jacksons convince a couple of white candidates to run to take votes away from Halvorson. But then again, maybe at this stage Jesse prefers Halvorson to win so that he can handpick someone to run against her one-on-one in the 2016 primary.
I hope that a Halvorson victory convinces black state legislators in IL to (i) push through runoffs when the leading votegetter in the primary gets beliw 50% (or maybe below 40% as in NC) and (ii) not allow white Democrats to draw black districts well into the suburbs to help white Democrats in other districts.
Oops, I meant 2014, not 2016, primary.
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