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It Is Time to Throw the Social Conservatives Out of the GOP (Not)
redstate.com ^ | November 9th, 2012 | Erick Erickson

Posted on 11/10/2012 8:05:19 PM PST by neverdem

It is time to throw the social conservatives out of the GOP. Look at what they got us — Barack Obama. It was the social conservatives who did it. They insisted the GOP support real marriage and children. To hell with that.

I’m getting this, in various forms, from lots of tea party activists. The GOP establishment in Washington is whispering it to each other. They look at Todd Aiken and Richard Mourdock and conclude that they, not Tommy Thompson, Heather Wilson, George Allen, Scott Brown, etc. are the problem.

It is time to get rid of the social conservatives.

What’s really going on here is that the people who voted Republican, but who disagree with pro-lifers and defenders of marriage, have decided it must be those issues. They can’t see how what happened actually happened unless it happened because the issues on which they disagree with the base played a role.

This is a psychological avoidance of larger issues and does not stack up to the data.

Mitt Romney won about a quarter of the hispanic vote and a tenth of the black vote.

Those numbers may not sound like much, but in close elections they matter.

A sizable portion of those black and hispanic voters voted GOP despite disagreeing with the GOP on fiscal issues. But they are strongly social conservative and could not vote for the party of killing kids and gay marriage. So they voted GOP.

You throw out the social conservatives and you throw out those hispanic and black voters. Further, you make it harder to attract new hispanic voters who happen to be the most socially conservative voters in the country.

Next, you’ll also see a reduction of probably half the existing GOP base. You won’t make that up with Democrats who suddenly think that because their uterus is safe they can now vote Republican. Most of those people don’t like fiscal conservatism either — often though claiming that they do.

If you really need to think through this, consider MItt Romney. He is perhaps the shiftiest person to ever run for President of the United States. He shifted his position on virtually every position except Romneycare. Of all the politicians to ever run for office, he’d be the one most likely to come out and, after the Republican convention, decide he’d changed his mind. He’d be okay with abortion and okay with gay marriage.

Had he done that, he’d have even less votes.

Several million evangelicals did not vote for George W. Bush in 2000. His campaign had to work to get them back in 2004.

You may mentally decide, to escape having to deal with the other implications of this election, that if only the GOP would abandon its social conservatism it would do better. But if you do, go find yourself a new coalition because you won’t have half the votes the GOP has now. Good luck with that. In fact, if the GOP really wanted to expand with minorities, it’d keep the social conservatism and throw out the fiscal conservatism.

Richard Mourdock was one of two of the poster children for abandoning social conservatives this year. He was beaten by a pro-life Democrat.

The problem is not social conservatism. The problem is social conservatives have gotten so used to thinking of themselves as the majority they’ve forgotten how to speak to those who are not and defend against those who accuse them of being fringe, most particularly the press. Couple that with Mitt Romney’s campaign making a conscious decision to not fight back on the cultural front and you have a bunch of Republicans convinced, despite the facts, that if only the social conservatives would go away all would be fine.

It’s not time to throw out social conservatives. It’s time to accept that without them the GOP would be even a smaller party even less able to reach out to the hispanic demographic all the smart people say they need to embrace. Addition through subtraction never really works well.


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Editorial; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: conservatives; gopcivilwar; socialconservatives
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To: Utmost Certainty
Yep. I kept saying Romney wasn't a good idea even around convention time. lol. I mostly shaddup after that, well not totally, but I tried to bite my tongue.

I never did take this off my FR homepage:


121 posted on 11/11/2012 3:21:26 AM PST by GeronL (http://asspos.blogspot.com)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Why don’t we run a conservative and test that hypothesis?

Right now the evidence seems to show that nominating a moderate squish leads to republican losses.


122 posted on 11/11/2012 3:27:06 AM PST by JCBreckenridge (They may take our lives... but they'll never take our FREEDOM!)
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To: neverdem
This is more of the GOP-e denying that it was Sarah Palin who brought McCain votes, votes he otherwise would not have had, instead following the libmedia meme that she cost him votes instead.

But face it, they're city folks who think God-fearing America, y'know, those people who have actually read The Constitution of the United States, who might get a bit of dirt under their fingernails at work and occasionally break an honest sweat--from exertion, not just a suit and tie in hot weather--are just a bunch of stupid hicks from the sticks.

After all such sanctimonious condescending attitudes are far from limited to the urbane Liberal, and anyone measurably to the right of the Left considers themselves "conservative" in those environs.

This led to the rise of the exceptional conservative, who is conservative, except_____________ (fill in the blank with the issue of their choice).

Somehow these folks hijacked the GOP about the same time the Communists hijacked the Democrat Party.

Maybe it was blue dog Democrats who jumped ship, maybe simple subversion of conservative aims, but somehow the backbone, bread, and butter of the GOP became the people who got thrown under the bus, election after election, simply because they had no one to vote for but whomever the GOP-e put up as a nominee.

As a result the GOP has had POTUS election results decline from the landslide of Reagan to GHW Bush's 2nd term loss, to the Clinton Era, to the squeakers of Dubya getting elected, to the latest string of losses to someone who can't even (or won't) provide so much as a college transcript and who is obviously taking the country down the wrong track, full steam ahead.

Sadly, despite losses to or close victories over increasingly poor Leftist candidates, the GOP-e still isn't getting it--which makes me wonder if they aren't part of a greater plan to provide a choice between two flavors of the same thing.

There is little consolation in having a choice between oatmeal with or without raisins and brown sugar when what you ordered for breakfast was steak and eggs.

It is high time America got back to listening to the producers, the hard-working by-the-sweat-of-their-brow people who have built and continue to build America--at times under the most difficult conditions, back to people who value Life, Liberty, and the opportunity to build, for themselves and their progeny, an economically sound and morally just future.

Slackers, scammers, and parasites need not apply.

Please, Almighty Father, send us some statesmen and rid us of these damned politicians.

123 posted on 11/11/2012 4:01:44 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
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To: Utmost Certainty

Me too.


124 posted on 11/11/2012 4:40:09 AM PST by tsowellfan (Allen West for Speaker!)
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To: Utmost Certainty
Begging the question -- interesting Marxist tactic, troll.
125 posted on 11/11/2012 4:53:28 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: neverdem
The GOP needs to get rid of the RINOs, regardless of what else they call themselves.

Anybody who wants to enforce a social agenda using the power of the federal government inconsistent with it's enumerated powers is no republican.

126 posted on 11/11/2012 5:05:06 AM PST by tacticalogic ("Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as he chambered his last round.)
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To: neverdem

It’s time to throw the “moderates” out of the GOP. (”Moderate is a base-stealing word for liberal Republicans.” — William F. Buckley, Jr.)

Either that, or just put the GOP out of its misery altogether. I’d love it if both major parties would just evaporate.


127 posted on 11/11/2012 5:45:04 AM PST by TBP (Obama lies, Granny dies.)
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To: RegulatorCountry
Maybe you should direct that question to Mitt Romney, John McCain and the RNC. Not advocating conservative values appears to be more of a loser than advocating them.

So why did conservative candidates lose senate races in conservative states that Romney carried?

128 posted on 11/11/2012 5:47:38 AM PST by Drew68
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To: RegulatorCountry
Maybe you should direct that question to Mitt Romney, John McCain and the RNC. Not advocating conservative values appears to be more of a loser than advocating them.

So why did conservative candidates lose senate races in conservative states that Romney carried?

129 posted on 11/11/2012 5:47:38 AM PST by Drew68
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To: Smokin' Joe
Joe, stop whining: it is the setup of the GOP machinery and rigging of the process -- I hate to mention it, since it will be easily mocked, but read Jesse Ventura on his early days in Minnesota politics: the GOP system is designed to PREVENT the grass roots from having a say; and the primaries for the President being held in more liberal states first, and with open primaries, is geared to PREVENT the conservative base from influencing the choice of the top of the ticket.

Go over to RedState.com and search through their archives for the Precinct Committeeman project. Your answer in fact is there.

We must do the work of taking over the nuts-and-bolts of the minor functionary positions within the party, those who chose, or from whose ranks ARE chosen, the higher-level representatives. Cheers!

130 posted on 11/11/2012 5:50:25 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Drew68
Let's see if any liberal candidates lost races in liberal states that Obama carried?

Hint -- your argument shows that Romney was not able to pull in coattails. Not a good argument for him or for his positions.

Cheers!

131 posted on 11/11/2012 6:51:35 AM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: ari-freedom

Where do we learn right and wrong? From God, or government schools?

You’re missing the forest for the trees. You want a tax cut without social conservatism? Welcome to the Libertarian Party.


132 posted on 11/11/2012 6:53:47 AM PST by Colonel_Flagg ("Don't be afraid to see what you see." -- Ronald Reagan)
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To: grey_whiskers
Hint -- your argument shows that Romney was not able to pull in coattails. Not a good argument for him or for his positions.

So conservative candidates lost in conservative states that Romney won because Romney wasn't conservative enough? OK. If you say so...

133 posted on 11/11/2012 7:03:44 AM PST by Drew68
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To: grey_whiskers
I'm not whining, just pointing out the mindset that enables the people who do as you say to sleep at night. They have thus rationalized their actions.

I have seen the mechanism of which you speak in action: Santorum took the Caucuses in ND, Ron Paul was second, Mitt was barely in the double digits, and Newt brought up the rear. When the delegate slate for the state was presented, 16 of 24 were committed Romney people.

When that was objected to, the power to the microphones was cut and the dissenters ignored. Romney had been picked, and no objection was going to be tolerated.

We must do the work of taking over the nuts-and-bolts of the minor functionary positions within the party, those who chose, or from whose ranks ARE chosen, the higher-level representatives.

We're in agreement there, I just want those going in to understand what attitudes they are up against.

134 posted on 11/11/2012 7:07:51 AM PST by Smokin' Joe (How often God must weep at humans' folly. Stand fast. God knows what He is doing)
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To: neverdem; All

Good luck GOP with that coalition of Illegal Aliens and Fiscal Conservatives (which are neither).....maybe next election the Libertarians come in 2nd


135 posted on 11/11/2012 7:18:55 AM PST by SeminoleCounty (Political maturity is realizing that the "R" next to someone's name does not mean "conservative")
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To: tsowellfan

I hear ya. After watching for months while people here trashed Reagan so other politicians would look better, you kind of wonder how many here could do it.


136 posted on 11/11/2012 7:38:14 AM PST by DoughtyOne (Hurricane Sandy..., a week later and 47 million Americans still didn't have power.)
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To: Drew68
And how on earth have you reached this conclusion?

Gallup over a 15 year trend.

137 posted on 11/11/2012 8:10:23 AM PST by Darren McCarty (If most people were more than keyboard warriors, we might have won the election)
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To: Drew68

It is NOT the conservatism that cost us the election, it is the lack of it.

Do you believe the Pro-Life Hispanics or Pro-Marriage Blacks, in the Republican party will continue to support a party that abandons those values?

In fact the 3 million Republicans who voted for McCain, claim they stayed home precisely because Romney wasn’t conservative enough.
(Just in case you hadn’t noticed that sentiment expressed on this site)


138 posted on 11/11/2012 8:11:53 AM PST by G Larry (Which of Obama's policies do you think I'd support if he were white?)
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To: Drew68
How does fielding losing candidates help protect babies? How many babies did Akin and Mourdock save while giving their concession speeches?

Akin and Mourdock didn't lose because of their abortion stance. They lost because of their mouth. Akin should have stepped down when asked.

139 posted on 11/11/2012 8:12:06 AM PST by Darren McCarty (If most people were more than keyboard warriors, we might have won the election)
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To: neverdem

The problem is that 7 out of 10 Republicans wanted someone other than “Frontrunner” Mitt during the primaries, and yet the GOP did everything THEY could to force him on us anyways

The insisted on the candidate THEY wanted, instead of who THE PEOPLE wanted


140 posted on 11/11/2012 8:15:37 AM PST by Mr. K (We need a TEA PARTY MARCH ON GOP HEADQUARTERS!)
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