Early voting results 2012: AP reports latest figures from Ohio, Florida

Examiner.com ^ | NOVEMBER 6, 2012 | JENNIFER WAITE

[Smogger]

Ohio Votes: 1.6 million Democrats: 29 percent Republicans: 23 percent

Florida Votes: 4.3 million Democrats: 43 percent Republicans: 40 percent

North Carolina Votes: 2.7 million Democrats: 48 percent Republicans: 37 percent

Iowa Votes: 614,000 Democrats: 43 percent Republicans: 32 percent

Colorado Votes: 1.6 million Democrats: 35 percent Republicans: 37 percent

[SamAdams76]

They are early voting tally’s by party affiliation. They are NOT results. Democrat voting for Romney or a Republican voting for Obama would not be reflected here. Just that a partisan cast a ballot.

Also, don't forget about the Independents. As Romney leads with Independents, this will further cut into the early voting margins for the Democrats. I'm thinking we are in pretty good shape and today's actual voting should easily erase any Democrat EV advantage and put Romney over the top.

[Smogger]

That’s right. Throw in independents and I think these numbers look damn good. People have to understand that McCain won on election day in many of these states.

[LibLieSlayer]

Ohio SoS numbers are much better for us than these... beware... we have the enemy within.

LLS

[jwalsh07]

Iowa has gone from D+18 in early voting to D+11.

Colorado has gone from D+2 to R+2.

North Carolina has gone from D+16 tp D+10.

Ohio has already been well discussed.

[rlbedfor]

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

[God luvs America]

actually the Miami Herald did a story on this yesterday and had similar numbers...they also stated that if true these numbers spell big trouble for obama as his lead from early voting in 2012 is half what it was in 2008 and even with a huge lead from early voting he won the state by barely 1.5%...the gist of the Miami Herald article yesterday was if Florida gets similar voting results on election day 2012 compared to 2008 obama loses the state in a big way...

[Ravi]

Sigh. We’ve already gone through this many times. Not to you smogger, but I wish people would understand what they are posting completely before posting something - an informed freeper community is something we should welcome. Anyways, here’s how it shakes out:

Short answer, we’re overperforming everywhere compared to 08.

CO: We’re ahead 2% when we were behind 2% in 08.

FL: We’re down 3.1% when we were behind 8.3% in 08.

OH: We’re down 6.5% when we were behind 15.5% in 08.

IA: We’re down 10% when we were behind 18% in 08.

Also these percentages refer to more dems than repubs voting. Of course, we are aware we are getting more crossovers this year than the dems are.

Enjoy!

[FightforFreedomCA]

Thanks everyone for the clarification on the early voting. It also sounds like this entire batch of numbers is suspect anyway...continuing with my regularly scheduled programming :)

Go R/R!

[Eagle of Liberty]

Vote like you’re stranded in Benghazi and Obama is your lifeline.

Grabbing and sharing!!

[montag813]

These numbers do not surprise me given how much fraud I have been told there was in early voting. that is why Cutrter & Co. have been gloating about it for weeks - it is their rabbbit in the hat - MASSIVE fraud.

[nclaurel]

True in NC. Many use this-— the way to vote in Dem primaries to pick lousy Dem candidates is to register as Dem then vote GOP in real election. Know quite a few of them.

[ImJustAnotherOkie]

The party affiliation count is available at the polls to poll watchers immediately.

[traditional1]

"The party affiliation count is available at the polls to poll watchers immediately."

Okay, that's good, then.

Since about 5% of the Dem's will vote Romney (or more), then it's not quite as biased.

[CA Conservative]

Keep in mind that these numbers are supposed to reflect returned ballots by party affiliation - it says nothing about who each vote is for. These are not vote counts - just how many ballots were returned or cast in the early voting process.

[tanknetter]

JEEZE PEOPLE!!!!

How many times does this have to be repeated? These are not, rpt NOT, numbers from today!

These are the early voting numbers from the last several weeks. They only show partisan affiliation of those casting ballots. They do NOT show how those people actually voted.

So everyone just calm the eff down, m’kay?

The only thing that matters with these numbers is that, compared to 2008, they show that in most cases (not NC or IA) Republicans took advantage of early voting this year. THAT can be interpreted all sorts of ways, but since early vote GOTV was a critical piece of Obamas strategy, it doesn’t appear to have worked out as well as planned. Right now: advantage (probably) to Romney and the GOP)

[RedPriest73]

These numbers are actually very good for us! These are Early vote percentages based on party affiliation, NOT how they actually voted. Considering that Dems usually win the EV percentages and that it is much more likely that Dems will vote for R than O these numbers are great. Let's take OH for instance. 1.6 million voters are approximately 32% of the electorate. In 2008 McCain won election day in OH by 2 points. If R wins conservatively by 5 points on election day, he would win OH by 1 percent. And those numbers assume that each candidate gets 100% of their party. As I said earlier it is more likely Dems will vote R than Reps for O. Also, this is assuming that Inds vote 50/50. Again it is more likely that Inds voted for Romney. So for instance if you just move the Ind vote to 55/45 R, the election would be a complete blowout!

I'm actually a bit skeptical of the numbers because of caution then anything else. These numbers are so good that I question them so I don't get too excited. Let's hope these numbers are real and that it keeps going the way it's going!

[cld51860]

“So the answer is Obama has already burned up many of his votes by yesterday.”

And that is what the wonks are calling “cannibalizing,” no?

[memyselfandi59]

Looks to me that this has to do with affiliation to party, not who they actually voted for, and independents aren’t listed at all. So it’s sort of useless.

Because more Dems voted than Republicans in early voting, and we don’t know who they voted for or how many Independents voted, I don’t know what can actually be deduced from that.

[cornfedcowboy]

These are totals of early voting by party affiliation. Not actual rests. This actually looks good for Romney.

[memyselfandi59]

Looks to me that this has to do with affiliation to party, not who they actually voted for, and independents aren’t listed at all. So it’s sort of useless.

Because more Dems voted than Republicans in early voting, and we don’t know who they voted for or how many Independents voted, I don’t know what can actually be deduced from that.