Posted on 11/05/2012 6:39:32 AM PST by SoftwareEngineer
Monday, November 05, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 48%. Two percent (1%) prefer some other candidate, and one percent (1%) remains undecided.
Rasmussen Reports will conduct our final tracking poll tonight and release the results early Tuesday morning. Later today, we will issue our final swing state polls including Ohio, Virginia and New Hampshire.
Since mid-September, after the convention bounces faded, the candidates have generally been within three points of each other on a daily basis. Heading into the first presidential debate, Obama had a slight edge. After that debate, Romney had the advantage. For a few days in late October, Romney reached the 50% level of support and opened a modest lead. But the candidates have been tied or within two points for each other for the past eight days. See daily tracking history
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
This time around, even the densest of Republicans has to see that an Obama second term would be devastating. I see 97 or 98% of Republicans going for Romney this time around. The other 2 or 3% were either not Republicans to begin with or they need to be committed to the nearest mental institution.
So true. I thought this was going to be the nastiest campaign in history but it really wasn't. Well at least from the Republican side. Romney ran the classiest, most positive campaign since Reagan in 1980 and nobody can take that away from him.
I also think he'll be okay if he loses. He's got a good life and a good family to go back to. But I don't think he needs to worry about that for barring massive election fraud, Romney is headed to victory tomorrow.
Regardless of how people here feel about Romney, we need somebody competent as president who will be positive and upbeat for the next four years. We know Obama and his crowd won't be that.
Once in office, Romney will either be a pleasant surprise for us conservatives or we will need to get busy finding somebody who can primary him out in 2016. Either way, nobody can argue that Romney will not be a huge improvement over who we have now.
” The Gov Christie bump is fading!
But the bump in his midsection continues to grow. “
I think the Muslim communist Obama impregnated gov Christie after their romantic walk on the beach(hence the growing midsection). this whale’s name will live in infamy!
That guy’s not a Republican.....he’s a sandbagger.
A country where Obama has 50% approval, or anything close to it, is f***ed, no matter what happens tomorrow.
ping
“Either way, nobody can argue that Romney will not be a huge improvement over who we have now.”
I totally agree! Romney will definitely be an improvement over Obama. We all need to remember to get out and vote tomorrow!
I hope there’s no one out there still sore about Romney being the GOP nominee. Yes, he wasn’t the first choice for many of us (I would have preferred Sarah Palin or Rick Perry), but I am supercharged and very encouraged to see the massive crowds and enthusiasm for Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan and am now firmly behind them!
Let’s keep this election in our prayers and stand firm together! We can and will win this!
I think Romney will win, and I actually think he's going to be more conservative on a number of issues than FReepers give him credit for. But, that all said, I don't believe this is much more than a holding action.
The problem is not Barack 0bama per se. The problem is with a country in which 53% of the electorate could be fooled to vote for him in 2008, and 46-47% of the electorate will still vote for him despite his abysmal and very left-wing record.
I think we need to stop believing our own propaganda: A country in which 47% of the electorate can vote for a man like this despite everything we now know is NOT a right-of-center country any more.
Despite RAS saying that he thinks the final turnout will be D/R/I of 39/37/24 (and I disagree) it turns out that for the full week ending SUN 11/04 he was using a D+4 sample!
No wonder his Republicans for Romney number was low
For those of you that have subscriptions:
Also, it is clear that for the full week, the Governor loses one point due to rounding. The Leaning Romney number is shown a 0, which is why the poll is R:49 O:48
However 1% of whites (74% of sample) lean Romney. But that got rounded down
BOTTOM LINE: Scott Rasmussen believes that in the general populace Republicans outnumber Democrats by 6% (as per his October release)
However, he believes that on Election Day, we will get a D+2 sample
ON TOP OF THAT, he polls with a D+4 sample!!
Did Battleground (Ed Goeas) give their final projection? I know last week they said R52/O47 but I didn’t think that was their ‘final’ projection. In a Weekly Standard article today by Fred Barnes, they quote Ed Goeas who said that the Battleground projection for Romney was 51 but I can’t find the official projection based on yesterday’s tied poll.
There were washed away by Sandy.
Huh?
I think the storm put them out for the season.
They published their poll (48/48) this past weekend but not their ‘projection’.
Gallup doesn’t weight their polls by party affiliation. There were several articles to this effect a couple weeks ago. They did release a “turnout forecast” which showed R+1 (Compared to D+8 actual in 2008).
did anyone see brit hume on bret baier tonite? when talking about the gallup r+1 poll, he said “wow, if thats true, its over”.
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