Despite RAS saying that he thinks the final turnout will be D/R/I of 39/37/24 (and I disagree) it turns out that for the full week ending SUN 11/04 he was using a D+4 sample!
No wonder his Republicans for Romney number was low
For those of you that have subscriptions:
Also, it is clear that for the full week, the Governor loses one point due to rounding. The “Leaning Romney” number is shown a 0, which is why the poll is R:49 O:48
However 1% of whites (74% of sample) lean Romney. But that got rounded down
BOTTOM LINE: Scott Rasmussen believes that in the general populace Republicans outnumber Democrats by 6% (as per his October release)
However, he believes that on Election Day, we will get a D+2 sample
ON TOP OF THAT, he polls with a D+4 sample!!
Did Battleground (Ed Goeas) give their final projection? I know last week they said R52/O47 but I didn’t think that was their ‘final’ projection. In a Weekly Standard article today by Fred Barnes, they quote Ed Goeas who said that the Battleground projection for Romney was 51 but I can’t find the official projection based on yesterday’s tied poll.