How/Why are they coming up with an 8 point enthusiasm gap?
Poll ping.
I really wish ONE of these would have Romney leading...
Funny how every poll has it tied magically.
Another laughable +8 poll.
Look at the approve/disapprove numbers and the right track/wrong track numbers. Obama is cooked.
Another great poll for Romney. Indy’s go 18% for Romney. +8 D sample. This means probably a 5-6 point Romney win Nationwide if you look at an unskewed polling sample. Actually many of the polls I think would be pretty similar if they all weighted D/R/I the same or within a couple points. The key is the Indy’s are going to Romney in most every poll and many by double digits. NO WAY that Romney doesn’t win , rather soundly, if Indy’s vote Romney by 8% or more.
They show the race “tied” so that when Obama loses they can say “Well we showed it tied, didn’t think the GOP enthusiasm would be that high” they are trying to give themselves cover
Strange, I thought Gallup was predicting an R+3 advantage in this election. I guess Gravis didn’t get the memo.
D+8. Another very encouraging poll. So Romney will win at least 54% of the vote. Wicked good.
D+8 wow. Hey MSM why don’t you just do D+16 or D+20? Because that would give you the results that you really want!
The sample was Nov. 3-5? November 5 is tomorrow. What’s up with that? So D+7 instead of D+8 would have Romney up by 1%?
Man, everyone is pulling their punches
The tentativeness and inconsistency of these polls reminds me of the final days of the ‘80 campaign, but with a heaping helping of PC Affirmative Action White guilt.
Holy $&?€#...did anyone notice the biggest problem with this poll - much worse even than the D+8?
They have the white voting percentage at only 64%!!
This is insanely low. 2008 was 78% by comparison.
I won’t often say this, but THIS poll is complete crap.
Hank
My gut instinct is that all these polls are BS. I really feel like most Americans are ready to kick him out. I don’t really understand how any one other than the loony left would even consider voting for him.
Then I hear people who I know have above average intelligence, say they think he hasn’t done so bad, and that really makes me very uncertain.
Hey here is the kicker - another poll oversampling Democrats by +8 - and Bamster still cannot crack 50%!
I feel pretty good about tomorrow.
Even with the 2008 turnout model they’re still using, O cannot get over the top.
When an incumbent President is polling under 50% the final day before the election, that’s all that really matters.
My understanding as to why the numbers on so many of these polls look out of whack is because the pollsters are not weighting the polls to an specific previous model.
If a poll, say this one, decides they will contact 874 voters and ask them a series of questions, they will accept the input of the 1st 874 recipients of the call who agree to answer the questions. They will then break down the demographics of those folks as to Party, race, etc. So if of the 874 who answered the questions only 64% identified themselves as white, that is the number they report. Same for party affiliation, and all the other demographics they wish to report on.
This is what Gallup says they do and have always done, explaining they have never weighted their polls for any demographics.
In an age where media is not trusted and Conservatives especially may feel their time will be wasted answering questions because the results will be skewed, many simply hang up. This would mean an unbalanced and unrepresentative sample is used to assemble the final results of the poll since more Dems than Rep chose to take part.
As everyone one rightly says, the only poll which matters is on election day and the party which turns out more voters wins.