Posted on 10/31/2012 6:26:57 PM PDT by TonyInOhio
You've heard about Mitt Romney's problems with the women's vote, the black vote, the Hispanic vote, the union vote and the young Democrats vote. But there's one major voting group that's fallen off the map since the primaries.
The evangelical vote.
When Mitt Romney's 2012 candidacy was gaining traction in the primaries, the conventional wisdom instantly conveyed that the evangelical vote, skeptical of Mormonism, would sink him.
What if in Ohio next week the opposite is true? There and in other swing statesWisconsin, Iowa, North Carolina, Floridathe evangelical vote is flying beneath the media's radar. It's a lot of voters not to notice. In the 2008 presidential vote, they were 30% of the vote in Ohio, 31% in Iowa and 26% in Wisconsin.
~ snip ~
Mr. Reed notes that in several opinion pollsNBC, Pew and ABCthe percentage of evangelicals claiming to support Mr. Romney has been in the mid-70s. "We estimate that in 2008 there were 350,000 evangelicals who didn't vote in Ohio," Mr. Reed says. "Obama carried the state by 260,000." If that support of 70% or more holds for Mr. Romney in Ohio, and if the share of the evangelical vote increases by a point or two, then the challenger could carry the Buckeye State.
(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...
I would have voted for Palin on the top of the ticket but could not vote McCain. Luckily, I live in Utah....
I would have voted for Palin on the top of the ticket but could not vote McCain. Luckily, I live in Utah....
It is there, and that is why Obama is fighting for his own States.
And the internal polls have to fudged to give a much higher +D in these States.
Looking at the REAL internals, it does look like 1980 or even 1984.
Any poll that has a +10D is DOA.
If he is spending money in NC, he is just wasting money.
As a church-going Catholic, I have noticed an increase in political messaging at church (against the HHS mandate, for religious liberty), but they are treading pretty carefully. Carefully though it may be, there is some every week, and it is coming from the top of the Church in the US, so it is pretty consistent across the country.
Well, not exactly. It very much depends on the polling service. Rasmussen didn’t exist back in the Reagan days, and if you look at their history they tend to be the most accurate. They say Romney is about tied or ahead in Ohio and in the swing states, so that is the cause of my optimism. Were that not the case, I would not be nearly as optimistic.
Most pollsters tend to be crap so are worthy of being ignored. Rasmussen is not of this sort. They seem to have better methodology and hence better results. It is rather amusing that Democrats tend to ignore this evidence, but hey, they love the kool aide.
I know that in the heady days of Viet Nam, weekly anti-war messages were heard (my Catholic friends told me) that turned many a Catholic against the war and other social messages have come on many a Sunday from Catholic parishes.
I didn't know if the faithful were hearing enough anti-abortion, anti-homosexual union messages were being mentioned, as a local group that pushes abortion is headed by a woman who serves as a lay leader in her Catholic parish.
Obama wasting money is the norm for him. It’s his habit even addiction. Romeney’s up by 3 in NC and Obama is still firing just as many ads as before the 1st debate. When the story came out that he was conceding NC, CO and VA. and he said he was conceding nothing, he wasn’t kidding. I’m telling you, it doesn’t matter how much the war chest is, he’s doing the norm. Spending what he doesn’t have. I don’t know if anyone can tell me that they are seeing more Romney ads than Hussain ads in their state.
we have 5 R/R votes in VA, my 18 year old has been volunteering for Romney since June and this is her first vote also. my 21 yo son voted absentee from College, and my 24 yo will be voting next tuesday along with my husband and i. i DO answer polls, and i love to screw with them. i always say i am voting for Romney, but sometimes i am a black union member, sometimes i am hispanic church-goer, sometimes i am an Asian American, but ALWAYS i am a dem and a disillusioned former Obama voter : ) i LOVE the demographic questions! LOL!
We go to a neighboring church to hear our former Catholic priest give his sermons during this election season. he is FANTASTIC, the week before last in his homily he spoke of how he had gotten many complaints [as well as compliments] on his sermons, that he was being TOO passionate and too political. He spoke about how he was not there to tell us what we wanted to hear, but to preach the word of God and if it conflicted with policies espoused by any candidates then we needed to hear that. He said he’s not concerned with it making us uncomfortable, or boring us bc we have heard it all before, that his job was to preach God’s word. i wish all priests had his gift, and his fearlessness.
Ofcourse, he is just destroying what is left of the Democrat Party in the process.
I got a robocall today from a large Catholic fraternal organization urging me to vote, and to help support a culture of life and the sanctity of marriage.
First time I have ever received such a call.
I wonder if the big move of independents against Obama in the South has been due to preaching among Evangelicals?
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