Politico/GWU/Battleground Poll - O49/R48 w/leaners (BRIT HUME WAS WRONG!)

http://images.politico.com/global/2012/10/politico_gwbgp_oct29_questionnaire.html ^ | Oct 29, 1012

[profit_guy]

On Fox News Sunday, Brit Hume said the poll would show Romney +5. He was very wrong.

[Mikey_1962]

Hume was talking about the “vote election model,” that is projecting that Mitt Romney will defeat President Obama 52 percent to 47 percent.

Battleground also has a poll which shows O 49% R 48%.

One is a snapshot one is a projection.

[jocon307]

“...among likely voters. Romney +5”

That explains it!

I just saw this piece on the Weekly Standard

http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/new-poll-projects-romney-52-obama-47_658066.html

and I couldn’t figure out how that made sense, since I remembered this thread.

[central_va]

All wood ships usually do pretty good in a storm.

[GLDNGUN]

What a foolish, foolish thing to say. These guys are HIGHLY respected Republican pollsters. Karl Rove speaks very highly of them too.

I don't care who does or says what. When you look at the internal numbers you realize what a joke the poll is. And I'll ask again...do you know the difference between a poll and a prediction?

[WashingtonSource]

The voter Battleground projection model has the 52 Romeny to 47 Obama.

See here: http://weeklystandard.com/blogs/new-poll-projects-romney-52-obama-47_658066.html

[rollo tomasi]

I hate to disagree with your disagreement.

Anyone who thinks/votes for shortsightedness is moronic even if they game the system with their "cleverness". Their children and children's children will feel the wrath of their here in the now attitude, hence morons.

[GLDNGUN]

However I am concerned (as others here will be) that Brit Hume announced it on FNS today that it would show Romney +5, and it missed by 6 points (as it now shows Obama +1). I sure as hell hope I am worrying about nothing, but these guys have a solid track record over the last 5 Presidential elections:

As was pointed out previously, there's a difference between their "poll" and their "prediction" (the one you take as gospel). Their ridiculous "poll" does show Obama up by 1, but only when they include those who are only at least "somewhat likely" to vote and who are only at least "likely" to vote for Obama.

Their PREDICTION out today (no doubt the one Hume was referring to) is...(drumroll please)...ROMNEY 52 OBAMA 47...

http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/new-poll-projects-romney-52-obama-47_658066.html

Even they know a poll (even their own) showing Obama +1 is a joke.

[profit_guy]

“And I’ll ask again...do you know the difference between a poll and a prediction?”

I assumed their prediction was based on their final polling numbers. I was wrong. Thanks for clearing it up for me.

[japheth88]

Looks like Brit Hume is another one I can’t listen to anymore.