Posted on 10/27/2012 9:07:48 PM PDT by Arthurio
Ohio Poll: Romney, Obama Tied Among Likely Voters
11:56 PM, Oct 27, 2012 | 0 comments
By JANE PRENDERGAST Cincinnati Enquirer
The race for the White House continues to be too close to call in Ohio, according to a new Cincinnati Enquirer/Ohio News Organization Poll that shows President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each with 49 percent support from likely voters.
That's a slip for the president, who took 51 percent of likely voters in the newspaper group's September poll.
Romney's support grew among males, among high school and college graduates and among respondents in every age category except 18 to 29.
The two candidates also tied in scaring voters -- 29 percent of poll respondents said they'd be scared if Obama won, and the same amount said they'd be scared if Romney won. Half said they were very enthusiastic about voting, 21 percent said they were not so enthusiastic or not enthusiastic at all.
(Excerpt) Read more at 13wmaz.com ...
In reality, Romney is ahead.
So much for Nate Silver’s plugging in those numbers that postulated the state polls are the ones that really count, we should just dismiss national polls as outliers.
State polls are always lagging indicators and they’re aligning slowly but surely with the national trend.
Silver’s 75% Obama win projection now looks laughable!
Poll Ping.
Woo! Romney at 49 in Ohio! :)
‘The party breakdown of the randomly selected respondents: 47 percent Democrats, 44 percent Republicans, 10 percent independents. The data were weighted to correct for potential sampling bias on gender and region of residence for respondents.’
The trend is looking good. Obama is trending down while Romney is trending up. In 10 days Romney will be ahead is this poll.
These statewide polls with their statistical models and methodology are not reflecting the huge shift toward Romney in Ohio coal company. There is a turn around from 2008 of more than 50,000 votes. This is very significant is a state that may be decided by two or three thousand votes overall.
These statewide polls with their statistical models and methodology are not reflecting the huge shift toward Romney in Ohio coal company. There is a turn around from 2008 of more than 50,000 votes. This is very significant is a state that may be decided by two or three thousand votes overall.
Are reflecting or are not reflecting?
Don’t tell Nate Silver, his dream world will come crashing down, thus for all liberals.
10 percent independents. That’s lower than in other states.
Sincerely doubt the poll’s statistical design adequately records the major shift. The original design of the poll would not sample heavily in the coal country since it is not a high population area. Therefore the final poll would miss a big shift in this area.
my immediate thought also.. a tied poll where the party number for the Rats is probably too high(I think it will be closer to even) and they under polled Independents .. add that to the big mo being on Romney’s side and I’m liking it
By the end of the week Obama will be at about 10%. The Libya thing is going balistic.
I wouldn’t be at all surprised if the talking head shows tomorrow morning show a whole new vent on this.
It’s over. They know it. Now it’s CYA or else.
I don’t know this newpaper but it sounds like a Push-poll based on the questions...They asked about Romney’s ‘47%’ remarks...Did they ask about Barry’s disaster in Libya? His disaster with the economy?
If you’re from Ohio, maybe you can weigh in on the bias of this paper.
I’m a Cincinnatian by birth now living a coupla hours away. The Cincinnati Enquirer is the flagship newspaper in the area and has been for a long time. It has always leaned Republican, always endorses Republicans, and has a special place in its heart for Rockefeller Republicans, i.e., it’s a moderate republican newspaper in terms of its endorsements over the years.
Do I have confidence in their poll? Pretty much. They probably want to get it right. The most recent Rasmussen agrees with them, and the poll shows advancement by Romney which is what seems to be happening.
Romney needs to turn Storm Sandy into an economic argument.
“We strongly approve of helping in times of natural disaster or crisis. As always, though, we are BETTER able to help when our economic house is in order than when it isn’t. The same as with the military, we are stronger when our economy is stronger.”
Make no mistake Soros has his tentacles in all the battleground states to manipulate the voting. He needs to be jailed
Was Somalia County polled?
From talking with the in-laws in Springfield, I get the sense that Romney is really up about 5% in Ohio.
Who is this Nate Silver I keep hearing about and why is his opinion so important?
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