To answer Rush’s question, it’s a presidential year, which means far greater turn out than a mid-term. Conservative motivation may have not diminished, but the libs will be coming out this time too. Blacks will be much more likely to turn out with Obama’s presidency at stake.
I’m still hoping for victory and think it’s within Mitt’s reach, but that’s the difference between now and 2010.
I'm not making predictions either way. But I do think an awful lot of white people have had enough of the nation's first Affirmative Action President and would vote for a bag of rocks over that jug-eared dope.
Just looking at Ohio, which Obama won by 267,000 votes -- Ohio recently purged about 500,000 dead and duplicate voters from its registrations (all of which likely voted Democrat in 2008). Several other states have done similar purges.
Several additional states have voter ID laws now active.
Obama is polling down in every single demographic from his 2008 percentages.
Look at the voter enthusiasm on the right, and the depression on the left. It's like Sam Houston's army storming through the camp at San Jacinto screaming "Remember the Alamo".
I see it like 2010 on steroids. Obama may have stolen the 2008 election with seven or ten million fraudulent votes. They would have to fabricate 20 or 30 million votes to win this one, and that would start a war for sure.
So then all the polling showing a diminished enthusiasm for Dems across ALL demo groups and a record high enthusiasm (PEW RESEARCH) among Rep is wrong?
The swing indicated by pollsters showing Ind voters who went for obama +8 in 2008 and are now +8 to as high as +19 for Ro,mey are also wrong?