Party: Republican 39% Democrat 38% Other 23%
Posted on 10/24/2012 5:18:24 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
With just two weeks to go until Election Day, the race for Ohio’s 18 Electoral College votes is a tie.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, shows both President Obama and Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote. Two percent (2%) plan to vote for some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Party: Republican 39% Democrat 38% Other 23%
Additional information from this survey:
Whom do you trust more to handle the economy….Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle national security issues…Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
46% Mitt Romney
50% Barack Obama
4% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle energy policy….Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not sure
If Mitt Romney is elected president and Republicans win control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
46% Better
36% Worse
14% Stay about the same
4% Not sure
If President Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
37% Better
40% Worse
20% Stay about the same
3% Not sure
Generally speaking, how would you rate the U.S. economy these days? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?
1% Excellent
17% Good
38% Fair
43% Poor
1% Not sure
Are economic conditions in the country getting better or worse?
41% Better
35% Worse
20% Staying the same
4% Not sure
Sometimes, unexpected things come up that prevent people from voting on Election Day. Are you certain that you will vote in this year’s elections, or is it possible that something could come up that would prevent you from voting?
97% Certain
3% Something could prevent you from voting
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?
36% Strongly approve
15% Somewhat approve
7% Somewhat disapprove
41% Strongly disapprove
0% Not sure
Yes. Basically, if Romney takes the south, and gets a NH, NV, IA combo, he does not need OH.
Additional informations for this survey:
Whom do you trust more to handle the economy….Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle national security issues…Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
46% Mitt Romney
50% Barack Obama
4% Not Sure
Whom do you trust more to handle energy policy….Mitt Romney or Barack Obama?
51% Mitt Romney
44% Barack Obama
5% Not sure
If Mitt Romney is elected president and Republicans win control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
46% Better
36% Worse
14% Stay about the same
4% Not sure
If President Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress, is the economy likely to get better, get worse, or stay about the same?
37% Better
40% Worse
20% Stay about the same
3% Not sure
Generally speaking, how would you rate the U.S. economy these days? Excellent, good, fair, or poor?
1% Excellent
17% Good
38% Fair
43% Poor
1% Not sure
Are economic conditions in the country getting better or worse?
41% Better
35% Worse
20% Staying the same
4% Not sure
Sometimes, unexpected things come up that prevent people from voting on Election Day. Are you certain that you will vote in this year’s elections, or is it possible that something could come up that would prevent you from voting?
97% Certain
3% Something could prevent you from voting
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?
36% Strongly approve
15% Somewhat approve
7% Somewhat disapprove
41% Strongly disapprove
0% Not sure
Ohio's Democrat roots are as long and deep as the KKK and Unions. About the only thing that could get most of them to vote for a Black guy is that he was/is the Democrat's choice. I say this as one who acquired in-laws from the Sprigfield area and have raptly watched/listened/debated with them over the last 20 years. The in-laws now claim that Obama has to go and that everyone they know feels the same, but how much a sectional of Ohio is represented is questionable. You won't see many Romney/Ryan signs in the area, but probably even fewer Obama signs. I still have hopes that Ohio is polling closer than it really is and that they aren't turning into San Francisco (depsite their open disgust at Homosexuality) and Ohio might be ours by 2-5 points come election day.
“The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters, taken the night after the final presidential debate, shows both President Obama and Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote.”
THIS is the change I was waiting to see (along with Ras’ report today that Iowa is now 48-48, as well).
So long as Obama held his lead in both of the above states, it was going to be a tough climb for Romney to “run around him”.
But now that Mr. Romney has pulled neck-and-neck, getting to the finish line ahead of Obama becomes MUCH easier for the Romney campaign (because of the “uncommitteds” who will break in favor of the challenger).
I think we may have both Ohio and Iowa. If so, Obama is defeated.
(Aside — Obama will likely still win PA, MI, MN, NV and WI, but it won’t matter so long as Romney wins both IA and OH).
I’ll predict the final Electoral College tally as Romney - 277, Obama - 252 (assuming Mr. Romney gets the one Congressional district in Maine that is leaning towards him, otherwise, it will be 276-253).
A very tight win — but still a victory.
I saw my first Obama yard sign yesterday and I am in WA State.
This poll has more R’s than D’s, the first that I have seen.
I will admit, THIS ONE does concern me here.
It does oversample women, which may counter that, but I am not going to lie....Ohio is my one worry state.
Ohio has an uncanny ability to mirror the nation.
If the nation goes for Romney, then Ohio will go for Romney.
IF Obama is rolling then Ohio will be rolling along with Obama.
If it’s close nationally, then it’ll be close in Ohio.
Ohio is almost a perfect cross-section that mirrors America at large. It is 4 large statistical areas, a lot of small city/town/village and a large section of rural. Two of the largest statistical areas, Cleveland and Toledo, are bastions of rust-era unionism and minority enclaves. Cincinnati and Columbus were more union resistant, so their inner cities tend democratic but the counties surrounding are conservative.
The rural/small town tend to be conservative.
I’m in Portage county Ohio which went to Obama in 08 (53/44). We are getting an average of 2 to 4 calls a day from Romney/RNC. On top of this, we get a couple of daily calls from the Portage County Tea Party. Damn phone never stops ringing. We’re also getting a couple automated polling calls a week. We have received zero calls from Obama/DNC. Sign wise there are very few Obama signs. I remember those in my neighborhood who had them in 08 and very few have signs up this year. No doubt about it, Romney signs and empty chairs surpass Obama signs by a substantial margin.
Ohio and Michigan benefitted the most from the auto bailout and Obama’s advertising apparently has pressed that hard. That unique event could stop Ohio from mirroring the nation so closely this time.
I think if the election is close, Romney loses Ohio. If he wins every other 2004 Bush state except New Mexico, it’s a 269-269 tie (this includes Nevada and Iowa for Romney). If Romney can flip New Hampshire or the 1 Maine EV over to his side, then he can break the tie.
I just called the Portage county RNC to make sure they still had signs available so I could pick one up. A pleasant lady answered telling me they had as many as I needed. Out of curiosity, I called the DNC to see if they had signs available and it went to an answering machine “No one available to take my call”. I’m still wondering if the lack of Obama signs in the area is due to a bad ground game or are people too embarrassed to put one in their yard.
Ohio remains very iffy, even though Obama has lost ground there. IMHO, Republicans need to make a play for Pennsylvania, as Obama has really slipped in the Philadephia suburbs recently.
Somebody’s going to call you a troll.
More info on Ohio from today’s post by Bill Spetrino (he says Mitt is ahead significantly there:
“It’s all over but the Crying”
http://www.billspetrino.com/2012/10/24/crying/
Has there been any poll in *any* state during the election cycle that has the independents breaking for Obama? This would be the first.
53% women seems a little high.
I hope that guy knows what he’s talking about.
Romney just opened some offices in PA last week I believe.
“Somebody’s going to call you a troll.”
I don’t see why. Obama could win Ohio and still lose the election.
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