Poll shows Romney leading in blue Pennsylvania (Shock poll-Drudge)

Washington Examiner ^ | October 18, 2012 | Susan Ferrechio

[MiddleEarth]

A new poll shows Republican Mitt Romney leading in Pennsylvania, a state that Republicans had all but written off just weeks ago but which is now listed as a toss up by the Real Clear Politics website.

Susquehanna Polling and Research provided The Washington Examiner with a poll it conducted for state party officials that shows Romney with a 49 percent to 45 percent lead over President Obama.

It's the first poll to show Romney leading among likely voters in the Keystone State.

[LongWayHome]

And....that’s why PA is not going for Romney. PA is Fool’s Gold for the GOP.

[Fai Mao]

Only take people to the polls if they are voting for Romney

Otherwise tell them you’ll come and then don’t show up

[PA Engineer]

There have been a number of Susquehanna Polls before this that show a trend. The most important factor was rarely discussed by the media. The elephant in the living room was the Democrat Undervote during the primary. These are Democrats that went out to vote and only voted down ticket. Pennsylvania is a closed primary state. I expect many democrat crossovers this election.

[Doctor 2Brains]

Why is it fool’s gold? That averages to 6.8. Why can’t it be D+2 or D+4 again? The sub-human filth that we call dems are depressed.

[GCC Catholic]

PA did well in 2010. GOP governor and U.S. senator and turned six congressional seats from blue to red. An excellent showing for what is supposed to be a blue state.

If GOP turnout in PA rivals that of 2010, Romney could very well win.

If this ends up being more like 2010, I'm hoping that Romney has long enough coattails to deliver the Senate race for Smith (over Casey) and the PA-12 House race for Rothfus (over Murtha's successor Critz).

In 2010 Westmoreland County (parts of which are in PA-12) went Republican across the board, including for the two County Commissioner seats - something that hasn't happened in recent memory.

[gswilder]

2 other PA polls in the last week have had Romney down by 3 and 2 respectively. So depending on MOE and turnout, this is very reasonable.

Think about where this campaign is being waged. Is Obama trying to capture any states he didn’t win in 2008? No. Is he defending the so called swing states.. Yes. And now things are getting tight and he is going to have to defend some blue states.

What does this tell you about the state of the campaign?

[LongWayHome]

Every year since 1988 the GOP has lost PA. D +2 did not do it for the GOP nor did D +4. I would not spend any money there. Go after CO, Iowa, Nevada & WI.

[Tennessean4Bush]

Unless I see at least two collaborating polls, I would say this is a simple outlier.

I want to see corroborating polls. Too much collaboration in polls as it is.

[Anitius Severinus Boethius]

Vocabulary point to you.

[Doctor 2Brains]

Yes, but were legitimate polls showing us with a lead this late in the game in these other elections?

[Tennessean4Bush]

Just having fun ;^)